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POPULATION GEOGRAPHY
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WHERE DO WE LIVE? Present population of the earth Present population of the earth How rapidly are we growing? How rapidly are we growing? Where do people not live? The Nonecumene Where do people not live? The Nonecumene Where do people live? The Ecumene Where do people live? The Ecumene Most populous countries in the world? Most populous countries in the world?
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WORLD POPULATION DENSITIES
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TEN MOST POPULOUS COUNTRIES
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IS EXPANDING POPULATION A PROBLEM….OR AN OPPORTUNITY?
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RATES OF INCREASE Arithmetic v. Geometric progressions Arithmetic v. Geometric progressions
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RATES OF INCREASE cont’d. Birth rates, death rates, fertility rates Birth rates, death rates, fertility rates Natural increase = Natural increase = Birth rates less than 20/1000 considered low Birth rates less than 20/1000 considered low Birth rates 30/100 or higher considered high Birth rates 30/100 or higher considered high
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BIRTH vs. DEATH RATES
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POPULATION GROWTH = NATURAL INCREASE + NET IMMIGRATION
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CURRENT RANGE OF BIRTH RATES 10/1000 (Europe) 10/1000 (Europe) 53/1000 (Malawi, southern Africa) 53/1000 (Malawi, southern Africa)
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FERTILITY RATES Historical examples Historical examples Present high fertility rates Present high fertility rates
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FERTILITY RATES Cont’d.
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FACTORS IN FALLING FERTILITY RATES Security in old age Security in old age Lack of education for women Lack of education for women Low incomes and mobility Low incomes and mobility Need for help on farm or in city Need for help on farm or in city
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DOUBLING TIME Time that a population takes to double in numbers. Time that a population takes to double in numbers. Population growth rate divided by 69 Population growth rate divided by 69
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EFFECTS OF HIGH POPULATION GROWTH RATES High population growth consumes investment capital which would otherwise promote economic expansion High population growth consumes investment capital which would otherwise promote economic expansion Ex. “Four Tigers,” China, Thailand and Malaysia vs. Indonesia Ex. “Four Tigers,” China, Thailand and Malaysia vs. Indonesia
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HIGH RATES OF INCREASE Carrying capacity Carrying capacity The Green Revolution The Green Revolution Danger in monoculture Danger in monoculture Malthus Malthus Doubling time Doubling time
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CARRYING CAPACITY
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DANGERS OF MONOCULTURE
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PROBLEMS OF POPULATION INCREASE AND DECREASE – POPULATION PYRAMIDS
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MORE PYRAMIDS – STABLE vs. RAPIDLY GROWING POPULATION
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DEPENDENCY RATIO NUMBER OF DEPENDENTS (VERY OLD AND VERY YOUNG) THAT EACH 100 PEOPLE IN THEIR PRODUCTIVE YEARS (15-64) MUST SUPPORT NUMBER OF DEPENDENTS (VERY OLD AND VERY YOUNG) THAT EACH 100 PEOPLE IN THEIR PRODUCTIVE YEARS (15-64) MUST SUPPORT
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PROJECTIONS J-Curve J-Curve Demographic Transition Model Demographic Transition Model Effects of Government Policies Effects of Government Policies
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DEMOGRAPHIC MOMENTUM
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WORLD POPULATION FORECAST
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GROWING URBAN AREAS
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DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION MODEL
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NEW RESEARCH – GOVERNMENT POLICIES CAN HAVE EFFECT ALSO
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WORLD POPULATION GROWTH
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MIGRATION Immigration vs. emigration Immigration vs. emigration
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REASONS FOR MIGRATION Cont’d. Push vs. pull migrations Push vs. pull migrations Serial or chain migration Serial or chain migration “Birds of passage” “Birds of passage” Historic examples Historic examples
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PUSH MIGRATION World refugee concentrations World refugee concentrations
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