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Market Update Gathering of Eagles Billionaires Meeting May 2011.

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Presentation on theme: "Market Update Gathering of Eagles Billionaires Meeting May 2011."— Presentation transcript:

1 Market Update Gathering of Eagles Billionaires Meeting May 2011

2 Market Update REAL Trends Housing Market Forecast

3 Market Update The 5% Rule Going Forward To “burn off” the ‘99-’07 overage and get back onto the 5% trendline will require no more than 3-4% sides growth until 2016 To “burn off” the ‘99-’07 overage and get back onto the 5% trendline will require no more than 3-4% sides growth until 2016 2005 peak is not supposed to trend again until 2030 2005 peak is not supposed to trend again until 2030

4 Market Update Potential Race and Age Challenges Well over half of all new household formations over the next decade are expected to come from the non-White population Well over half of all new household formations over the next decade are expected to come from the non-White population Yet the REALTOR® membership today remains 87% White with little change in trends Yet the REALTOR® membership today remains 87% White with little change in trends

5 Market Update Age Issues (2010 NAR Member Profile) REALTOR® Median age: 54 (and increasing) REALTOR® Median age: 54 (and increasing) US Population Median age: 37 US Population Median age: 37 Percent of REALTORS® under 40 years-old: 15% (and dropping) Percent of REALTORS® under 40 years-old: 15% (and dropping) Percent of US Population between 20 and 40 years-old: 34% Percent of US Population between 20 and 40 years-old: 34%

6 Market Update

7 Put Another Way…

8 Market Update Dropping Homeownership Rate U.S. Homeownership rate peaked at about 69- 70% in 2007 U.S. Homeownership rate peaked at about 69- 70% in 2007 It is currently at about 67% It is currently at about 67% Most economists are forecasting this to drop to between 63% and 65% within five years Most economists are forecasting this to drop to between 63% and 65% within five years Wide implications to brokerage industry Wide implications to brokerage industry

9 Market Update Possible Solutions?

10 Thank You Gathering of Eagles Billionaires Meeting May 2011


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