1. Proposed Modifications to the Segmented Hurricane Local Statement Formatter Objective: The objective of this compiled material is to recommend certain formatter improvements for conveying wind information in the segmented HLS product. Once established, similar improvements can be replicated for the other tropical cyclone hazards within the formatter. = D R A F T =

2. Understanding The Problem The Hurricane Local Statement (HLS) became a fully segmented product for the 2008 season, to include VTEC. In essence, this greatly changed the character of the product and the approach to its preparation. WFOs were forced into survival mode, and thereby invoked a variety of mitigation methods to meet their responsibilities. –Product Positives (opportunity & potential) Offered increase opportunity to provide detailed information segment by segment Improved potential for enhanced information feed to automated users –Product Negatives (a drag on current quality & usability) Made a long product considerably longer and, at times, needlessly so Made the product difficult to issue in a timely manner Made the product content diminish in overall value due to the enormous (manual) burden placed upon the forecaster

3. Understanding The Problem –Collateral Damage Introduced time delay and added confusion when issuing/disseminating Tropical Cyclone Watches and Warnings Multiplied woes for NOAA Weather Radio communication –Alerting –Cycle length Increased forecaster anxiety and fatigue, in an already anxious situation Customer reactions; mixed reviews We must fix the HLS Formatter !!! –As much as possible before the 2009 season –Toward a comprehensive and satisfactory long-term solution for use during subsequent seasons

4. Fixing The Problem In addressing the HLS solution, short-term efforts (those for the 2009 season) should be consistent in direction with any long-term efforts. Field consensus is that segmentation should be the sole purview of the forecaster. Yet, it is unlikely that this longer-term solution can be ready for the 2009 season. However, there are some suggested short-term contributions which might make a difference for the 2009 season.

5. Fixing The Problem Possible contributions which are consistent with the longer-term solution and may make a difference: –If VTEC must be a driver Give forecaster the ability to further segment –So that VTEC is not the sole driver Ensure that only TC hazards are used for segmentation –Not a function of tornado or flooding hazards too (at this time) Reduce the number of TC hazard types (if possible ???) –Remove differences between inland vs coastal zones (at least treat them the same within the formatter when determining segments) »For example, HU.W vs HI.W »If done formally, this is an agency decision and not a formatter issue –Code the HLS formatter to extract as much information as possible from the grids and other data sources to reduce the (manual) burden in preparing this lengthy product

6. Important Coding Notes It is important to note that once the (updated) HLS formatter is executed, it is recommended that initial output is yielded to the forecaster such that: –No areas are locked out within the body of the text The forecaster needs the ability to make all necessary changes This includes the Main Headline and Segment Headlines Forecasters understand that Sub-headlines cannot be changed since they are often tied to automated users; yet they may need to delete them once in edit mode –Forecaster remains responsible for content HLS formatter is not meant to be a black box –Quality assurance –Additional forecaster expertise

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8. Segmented Hurricane Local Statement HLS product consists of three parts: 1.Header 2.Overview (Body; Sub-Part A) Main Headline (product overview; overarching) Sub-headlined Information 3.Segmented (Body; Sub-Part B) VTEC Coding Segment Headline Sub-headlined Information The HLS is issued during a variety of wind situations. However, segmentation implies that there can be sufficient diversity within a given situation, across a WFO’s County Warning Area (CWA) and/or Marine Area of Responsibility (MAOR), to warrant zone groupings.

9. VTEC Coding HLS is not the expedient vehicle for getting initial WWA information disseminated. As mentioned, VTEC is unacceptable as sole driver for segmentation. –Inflexible; forecasters need to have some ability to (re)group Proposed Solutions: –Remove VTEC as the sole driver for segmentation (2009 solution) –Remove VTEC from HLS altogether; put in separate product (2010 and beyond) However, keep in mind that Tropical Cyclone Watches and Warnings are largely governed by the wind hazard as forecast within 36 hours. So, the remainder of this material will focus on possible formatter logic for conveying wind information in both the Overview Section and the Segmented Section(s).

10. Tropical Cyclone Wind Situations The HLS is triggered by its relationship with TC WWAs !!! WFO Pre-Event Situation(s) –HLS comprised of: (in part or whole) Some zones having an evolving threat of interest Some zones having little to no threat at all WFO Watch Situation –HLS comprised of: (in part or whole) Some zones having a Watch in effect Some zones having an evolving threat of interest Some zones having little to no threat at all WFO Warning Situation –HLS comprised of: (in part or whole) Some zones having a Warning in effect Some zones having a Watch in effect Some zones having an evolving threat of interest Some zones having little to no threat at all

11. Tropical Cyclone Wind Situations The HLS is triggered by its relationship with TC WWAs !!! WFO Imminent/Ongoing Event Situation –HLS comprised of: (in part or whole) Some zones having imminent/ongoing conditions Some zones having a Warning in effect Some zones having a Watch in effect Some zones having an evolving threat of interest Some zones having little to no threat at all WFO Extreme Wind Situation –HLS comprised of: (in part or whole) Some zones having imminent/ongoing extreme wind conditions Some zones having imminent/ongoing conditions Some zones having a Warning in effect Some zones having a Watch in effect Some zones having an evolving threat of interest Some zones having little to no threat at all

12. Tropical Cyclone Wind Situations The HLS is triggered by its relationship with TC WWAs !!! WFO Post-Event Situation(s) –HLS comprised of: (in part or whole) Some zones having rescue and/or recovery activities in progress Some zones having imminent/ongoing extreme wind conditions Some zones having imminent/ongoing conditions Some zones having a Warning in effect Some zones having a Watch in effect Some zones having an evolving threat of interest Some zones having little to no threat at all

13. Sources of Wind Information (possible formatter inputs for wind) Tropical Cyclone Watch & Warning grids GFE Deterministic grids –Wind (sustained) –Gust GFE Probability grids (34-, 50-, and 64-knot) –Cumulative Probabilities –Incremental Probabilities GFE Analysis grids (RTMA, LAPS, H*Wind, etc.) Text (or Tabular) Products –TCP (Storm Information) –PWS (Individual and Cumulative Probabilities) –TWO (outlook information over the next 48 hours) –ZFP & CWF (for forecast consistency) –PFM & SFT (for forecast consistency)

14. Sources of Wind Information (possible formatter inputs for wind) Previous HLS text Flat Files –Emergency Management Information Closed bridges and causeways Wind damage reports –Recent METAR, Mesonet, and Micronet Observations; Peak Winds gHLS Threat/Potential Impact grids (e.g., for wind, surge, tornado, inland flooding, and marine) Meteorologists/Forecasters –Select WFO grids (for mesoscale effects); other specialized grids –WFO radar interpretation –Historical, climatological, and statistical context –Rapid/critical information exchange (media, spotters, chats, etc.) Other ???

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16. Overview Section (Body; Part A) Overview Section: The content perspective is across the entire CWA and MAOR. Question: In general, what type of wind information needs to be in the Overview Section? Recommended Answer: After the Main Headline (which can be inputted from the GUI), wind information should be standardized and streamlined. –…AREAS AFFECTED… list all zones affected by this HLS within CWA & MAOR –…WATCHES/WARNINGS… list all TC Watches/Warnings in effect within CWA & MAOR –…STORM INFORMATION… Provide streamlined storm-relative information from TCP But also provide information relative to CWA & MAOR –From the GUI, pick a major city or location within local CWA & MOAR (e.g., lat/lon)

17. Overview Section (Body; Part A) Also, perhaps create a new Sub-headline –…SITUATION OVERVIEW… According to the event and relative to your CWA and/or MAOR, briefly describe the overall situation and the expected evolution –Which hazards are of greater concern or lesser concern to the area –If adopted, this could simply be a free form sub-section for now »However, it should point to individual segments for more detailed information; this can be automatically inserted. = If necessary, provide an example later =

18. Overview Section (Body; Part A) In transitioning from the Overview Section to the Segmented Section(s), we must consider a few things. Question: What exactly is the current tropical cyclone wind situation? –Select the appropriate situation from the formatter GUI. –Aside: when answering this question we actually establish the WFO Mode of Operations according to the assessed situation. not yet accounting for tornadoes, inland flooding, coastal flooding, or marine Wind Situations (that match WFO Operations Modes): –Pre-Event Situation –Watch Situation –Warning Situation –Imminent/Ongoing Situation –Extreme Wind Situation –Post-Event Situation Pick one from the GUI

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20. Segmented Sections (Body-B) Segmented Sections: The content perspective is according to specific zone grouping. –Forecasters need to be able to choose how the zones are grouped with one another. –Forecasters need to be able to determine the order of the zone groupings according to priority; most important yielded first. –Segment Headlines Initially from TC Watch/Warning grids; defaulted but changeable –Sub-headlines Certain sub-headlines need to be always present –NEW INFORMATION, NEXT UPDATE, ETC. Certain sub-headlines need to be present according to situation or discretion –PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS, PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS, ETC. If present within a segment, sub-headlines need to occur in a standardized order except for the “hazard” sub-headlines (e.g., wind, surge, tornadoes, inland flooding, and marine). –Forecasters need the ability to change the order of these sub-headlines according to importance and priority, per segment.

21. Segmented Sections (Body-B) Question: According to the situation, what type of wind information needs to be in each Segmented Section? Recommended Answer: Invoked information conveyed within HLS as organized by “scenarios within situations” –as selected from the GUI, per zone group Output must be useful according to the situation/scenario for proper decision making and responsible in its nature.

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23. Pre-Event Situation (Segmented Sections) Zone grouping not formally in Watch/Warning status –Optional HLS issuance (if no zones have a Watch or Warning) –Otherwise, optional HLS segments Must have a Segment Headline –As determined from GUI choices –Will need to wordsmith situational segment headlines per scenario here (since no TC WWAs are in effect) Scenarios for Pre-Event Situation (as selected from the GUI) –Advancing Wind Threat Scenario TC Winds forecast to pass through or very near zone group; Watch likely soon –Peripheral Wind Threat Scenario TC Winds forecast to pass by in proximity to zone group; Watch unlikely at this time –Development Wind Threat Scenario Possible (rapid) TC development in/near zone group; Watch uncertain at this time –Non-Event Wind Threat Scenario TC Winds not expected in zone group; Watch unlikely at this time

24. Pre-Event Situation: Advancing Threat Scenario Wording Examples …PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS… FOR COCOA BEACH AND VICINITY…AT THIS TIME THE OVERALL CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IS {XX} PERCENT…AND THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS IS {XX} PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL {UPWARD/DOWNWARD/STEADY} TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. IF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WERE TO OCCUR…THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD OF ONSET IS {DAY + MORNING / AFTERNOON / EVENING / OVERNIGHT}. {and so on for each additional GUI identified location within the segment} …WIND… ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA…THEY MAY BE ISSUED SOON. AS {TC Name} MOVES CLOSER…THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE. THE LATEST VICINITY FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF {XXX} TO {XXX} MPH WITH GUSTS TO {XXX} MPH ON {DAY + MORNING / AFTERNOON / EVENING / OVERNIGHT}. IF APPLICABLE {TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE AREA ON {DAY + MORNING / AFTERNOON / EVENING / OVERNIGHT}}. Include Threat Impact Statement ???

25. Pre-Event Situation: Peripheral Threat Scenario Wording Examples …PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS… FOR COCOA BEACH AND VICINITY…AT THIS TIME THE OVERALL CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IS {XX} PERCENT…AND THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS IS {XX} PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL {UPWARD/DOWNWARD/STEADY} TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. AS CURRENTLY ASSESSED…THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IS UNLIKELY TO OCCUR. {and so on for each additional GUI identified location within the segment} …WIND… AT THIS TIME…THE ISSUANCE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS IS NOT EXPECTED. AS {TC Name} PASSES NEARBY…THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS SHOULD NOT APPRECIABLY INCREASE. HOWEVER…SOME TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUSTS MAY STILL OCCUR. THE LATEST VICINITY FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF {XX} TO {XX} MPH WITH GUSTS TO {XX} MPH ON {DAY + MORNING / AFTERNOON / EVENING / OVERNIGHT}. SINCE THERE IS STILL A DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY…PEOPLE SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE WIND FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES REGARDING THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.

26. Pre-Event Situation: Development Threat Scenario Wording Examples …PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS… AT THIS TIME…THE PROBABILITY OF EITHER TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE CONDITIONS TO OCCUR IN THE AREA CANNOT BE DETERMINED UNTIL THE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM OF CONCERN BECOMES AN ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HOWEVER…BASED ON THE LATEST OUTLOOK…THE CHANCE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS {LOW / MEDIUM / HIGH}. …WIND… TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY NOT IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. HOWEVER…IF TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT BECOMES LIKELY THEN THEY WILL BE QUICKLY NEEDED. THE LATEST VICINITY FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF {XX} TO {XX} MPH WITH GUSTS TO {XXX} MPH. SINCE THERE IS STILL A DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY…PEOPLE SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE WIND FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES REGARDING THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.

27. Pre-Event Situation: Non-Event Scenario Wording Examples …PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS… AS CURRENTLY ASSESSED…THE ONSET OF EITHER TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE CONDITIONS IS UNLIKELY TO OCCUR. …WIND… TROPICAL CYCLONES WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY NOT IN EFFECT…NOR ARE THEY EXPECTED UNDER PRESENT CIRCUMSTANCES. THE LATEST VICINITY FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE. AT THIS TIME…PEOPLE ARE SIMPLY URGED TO STAY CALM AND RMAIN INFORMED.

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29. Watch Situation (Segmented Sections) Scenarios: (as selected from the GUI) –Watch In Effect Scenario; Wind TC Winds forecast to pass through or very near zone group; Watch now in effect –Advancing Wind Threat Scenario; Pre-Event TC Winds forecast to pass through or very near zone group; WWA likely soon –Peripheral Wind Threat Scenario; Pre-Event TC Winds forecast to pass by in proximity to zone group; WWA unlikely at this time –Development Wind Threat Scenario; Pre-Event Possible (rapid) TC development in/near zone group; WWA uncertain at this time –Non-Event Wind Threat Scenario TC Winds not expected in zone group; WWA very unlikely at this time

30. Watch Situation: Watch In Effect Scenario Wording Examples …PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS… FOR COCOA BEACH AND VICINITY…AT THIS TIME THE OVERALL CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IS {XX} PERCENT…AND THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS IS {XX} PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL {UPWARD/DOWNWARD/STEADY} TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. IF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WERE TO OCCUR…THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD OF ONSET IS {DAY + MORNING / AFTERNOON / EVENING / OVERNIGHT}. {and so on for each additional GUI identified location within the segment} …WIND… TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR AREAS OF {EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA}. AS {TC Name} MOVES CLOSER…THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE. THE LATEST VICINITY FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF {XXX} TO {XXX} MPH WITH GUSTS TO {XXX} MPH ON {DAY + MORNING / AFTERNOON / EVENING / OVERNIGHT}. IF APPLICABLE {TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE AREA ON {DAY + MORNING / AFTERNOON / EVENING / OVERNIGHT}}. Include Threat / Impact Statement ???

31. Watch Situation: “Remaining” Scenarios Wording Examples The remaining scenarios are the same as previous examples from the Pre-Event Situation; use same verbiage.

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33. Warning Situation (Segmented Sections) Scenarios: (as selected from the GUI) –Warning in Effect Scenario; Wind TC Winds forecast to pass through of very near zone group; Warning now in effect –Watch In Effect Scenario; Wind TC Winds forecast to pass through or very near zone group; Watch now in effect –Advancing Wind Threat Scenario; Pre-Event TC Winds forecast to pass through or very near zone group; WWA likely soon –Peripheral Wind Threat Scenario; Pre-Event TC Winds forecast to pass by in proximity to zone group; WWA unlikely at this time –Development Wind Threat Scenario; Pre-Event Possible (rapid) TC development in/near zone group; WWA uncertain at this time –Non-Event Wind Threat Scenario TC Winds not expected in zone group; WWA very unlikely at this time

34. Warning Situation: Warning In Effect Scenario Wording Examples …PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS… {This sub-headline and associated paragraph is no longer needed for zone groups within a Warning} …WIND… TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR AREAS OF {EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA}. AS {TC Name} CONTINUES TO MOVE CLOSER…THE ONSET FOR SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS IS EXPECTED SOON. THE LATEST VICINITY FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF {XXX} TO {XXX} MPH WITH GUSTS TO {XXX} MPH ON {DAY + MORNING / AFTERNOON / EVENING / OVERNIGHT}. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE AREA ON {DAY + MORNING / AFTERNOON / EVENING / OVERNIGHT}. Include Threat / Impact Statement ???

35. Warning Situation: “Remaining” Scenarios Wording Examples The remaining scenarios are the same as previous examples from the Watch and Pre-Event Situations; use same verbiage.

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37. Imminent/Ongoing Situation (Segmented Sections) Scenarios: (as selected from the GUI) –Imminent/Ongoing Event Scenario; Wind TC Winds about to occur, or are occurring, in or very near the zone group; TC conditions –Warning in Effect Scenario; Wind TC Winds forecast to pass through or very near zone group; Warning now in effect –Watch In Effect Scenario; Wind TC Winds forecast to pass through or very near zone group; Watch now in effect –Advancing Wind Threat Scenario; Pre-Event TC Winds forecast to pass through or very near zone group; WWA likely soon –Peripheral Wind Threat Scenario; Pre-Event TC Winds forecast to pass by in proximity to zone group; WWA unlikely at this time –Development Wind Threat Scenario; Pre-Event Possible (rapid) TC development in/near zone group; WWA uncertain at this time –Non-Event Wind Threat Scenario TC Winds not expected in zone group; WWA very unlikely at this time

38. Imminent/Ongoing Situation: TC Conditions Scenario Wording Examples …PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS… {This sub-headline and associated paragraph is not needed for zone groups experiencing tropical cyclone conditions} …WIND… TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS CONTINUE IN EFFECT FOR AREAS OF {EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA}. AS {TC Name} MOVES THROUGH…SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE AREA. THE LATEST VICINITY FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF {XXX} TO {XXX} MPH WITH GUSTS TO {XXX} MPH. WINDS ARE NOT CURRENTLY FORECAST TO BEGIN SUBSIDING BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE UNTIL {DAY + MORNING / AFTERNOON / EVENING / OVERNIGHT}}. Include Threat / Impact Statement ??? {This paragraph is not needed for zone groups experiencing tropical cyclone conditions} Free form information (e.g., radar, spotter, obs, etc.) here ??? {This free form paragraph is needed for zone groups experiencing tropical cyclone conditions now}

39. Imminent/Ongoing Situation: “Remaining” Scenarios Wording Examples The remaining scenarios are the same as previous examples from the Warning, Watch, and Pre-Event Situations; use same verbiage.

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41. Extreme Wind Situation (Segmented Sections) Scenarios: (as selected from the GUI) –Imminent/Ongoing Extreme Event Scenario; Wind (EWW) Extreme TC Winds about to occur, or are occurring, in or near the zone group; Major TC conditions –Imminent/Ongoing Event Scenario; Wind TC Winds about to occur, or are occurring, in or very near the zone group; TC conditions –Warning in Effect Scenario; Wind TC Winds forecast to pass through or very near zone group; Warning now in effect –Watch In Effect Scenario; Wind TC Winds forecast to pass through or very near zone group; Watch now in effect –Advancing Wind Threat Scenario; Pre-Event TC Winds forecast to pass through or very near zone group; WWA likely soon –Peripheral Wind Threat Scenario; Pre-Event TC Winds forecast to pass by in proximity to zone group; WWA unlikely at this time –Development Wind Threat Scenario; Pre-Event Possible (rapid) TC development in/near zone group; WWA uncertain at this time –Non-Event Wind Threat Scenario TC Winds not expected in zone group; WWA very unlikely at this time

42. Extreme Wind Situation: EWW Scenario Wording Examples …WIND… TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS CONTINUE IN EFFECT FOR AREAS OF {EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA}. AS {TC Name} MOVES THROUGH…SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE AREA. IMPORTANTLY…EXTREME WINDS OF 115 MPH OR GREATER ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR THE ISSUANCE OF EXTREME WIND WARNINGS. IF ISSUED…TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION BY MOVING QUICKLY TO THE SAFEST ROOM IN YOUR HOME OR SHELTER. PROTECT YOUR HEAD AND BODY. THE LATEST VICINITY FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF {XXX} TO {XXX} MPH WITH GUSTS TO {XXX} MPH. HOWEVER…EXTREME WINDS OF 115 MPH OR GREATER MAY LOCALLY OCCUR ASSOCIATED WITH THE INNER BANDS AND EYEWALLL OF {TC Name}. AT THE PRESENT TIME WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO SUBSIDE BELOW HURRICANE FORCE UNTIL {DAY + MORNING / AFTERNOON / EVENING / OVERNIGHT}} WITH WINDS NOT FORECAST TO SUBSIDE BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE UNTIL {DAY + MORNING / AFTERNOON / EVENING / OVERNIGHT}}. Free form information (e.g., radar, spotter, obs, etc.) here ??? {This free form paragraph is needed for zone groups experiencing tropical cyclone conditions now}

43. Extreme Wind Situation: “Remaining” Scenarios Wording Examples The remaining scenarios are the same as previous examples from the Imminent/Ongoing, Warning, Watch, and Pre-Event Situations; use same verbiage.

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45. Post-Event Wind Situation (Segmented Sections) Scenarios: (as selected from the GUI) –Diminishing Wind Threat Scenario; Post-Event TC Winds have exited and no longer threaten the zone group –Imminent/Ongoing Extreme Wind Scenario Extreme TC Winds about to occur, or are occurring, in or near the zone group; Major TC conditions –Imminent/Ongoing Wind Event Scenario TC Winds about to occur, or are occurring, in or very near the zone group; TC conditions –Warning in Effect Scenario; Wind TC Winds forecast to pass through or very near zone group; Warning now in effect –Watch In Effect Scenario; Wind TC Winds forecast to pass through or very near zone group; Watch now in effect –Advancing Wind Threat Scenario; Pre-Event TC Winds forecast to pass through or very near zone group; WWA likely soon –Peripheral Wind Threat Scenario; Pre-Event TC Winds forecast to pass by in proximity to zone group; WWA unlikely at this time –Development Wind Threat Scenario; Pre-Event Possible (rapid) TC development in/near zone group; WWA uncertain at this time –Non-Event Wind Threat Scenario; Pre-Event TC Winds not expected in zone group; WWA very unlikely at this time

46. Post-Event Wind Situation: Diminishing Wind Scenario Wording Examples …WIND… TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN LOWERED FOR AREAS OF {EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA}. AS {TC Name} EXITS THE AREA…THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH. THE LATEST VICINITY FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF {XXX} TO {XXX} MPH WITH GUSTS TO {XXX} MPH. CONSEQUENTLY…TROPICAL CYCLONE CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER A CONCERN. Free form information (e.g., radar, spotter, obs, etc.) here ??? {This free form paragraph is needed for zone groups experiencing tropical cyclone conditions now}

47. Post-Event Wind Situation (Segmented Sections) Scenarios: (as selected from the GUI) –Wind Threat Completely Over Scenario; Post-Event Concern for wind sensitive recovery operations –Diminishing Wind Threat Scenario; Post-Event TC Winds have exited and no longer threaten the zone group –Imminent/Ongoing Extreme Wind Scenario Extreme TC Winds about to occur, or are occurring, in or near the zone group; Major TC conditions –Imminent/Ongoing Wind Event Scenario TC Winds about to occur, or are occurring, in or very near the zone group; TC conditions –Warning in Effect Scenario; Wind TC Winds forecast to pass through or very near zone group; Warning now in effect –Watch In Effect Scenario; Wind TC Winds forecast to pass through or very near zone group; Watch now in effect –Advancing Wind Threat Scenario; Pre-Event TC Winds forecast to pass through or very near zone group; WWA likely soon –Peripheral Wind Threat Scenario; Pre-Event TC Winds forecast to pass by in proximity to zone group; WWA unlikely at this time –Development Wind Threat Scenario; Pre-Event Possible (rapid) TC development in/near zone group; WWA uncertain at this time –Non-Event Wind Threat Scenario; Pre-Event TC Winds not expected in zone group; WWA very unlikely at this time

48. Post-Event Wind Situation: Recovery Scenario Wording Examples …WIND… TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR {EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA}. THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS HAS COMPLETELY DIMINISHED. THE LATEST VICINITY FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF {XXX} TO {XXX} MPH WITH GUSTS TO {XXX} MPH. AS RECOVERY OPERATIONS CONTINUE…PEOPLE ARE ENGOURGAED TO KEEP ABREAST OF THE WIND FORECAST FOR SAFETY PURPOSES.

49. Post-Event Wind Situation: “Remaining” Scenarios Wording Examples The remaining scenarios are the same as previous examples from the Extreme Wind, Imminent/Ongoing, Warning, Watch, and Pre-Event Situations; use same verbiage.

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51. Important Note It is possible that there may need to be wording adjustments for each situation/scenario according to: –Inland vs. Coastal vs. Marine zone groupings –Tropical Storm vs. Hurricane force winds

52. = End of Draft = Before continuing, this proposal needs to be discussed and matured among several WFOs, and then vetted among the regions.