1. N A T I O N A L O C E A N I C A N D A T M O S P H E R I C A D M I N I S T R A T I O N Mark Tew Chief, Marine and Coastal Weather Services Branch Office of Climate, Water, and Weather Services Mark.Tew@noaa.gov 301-713-1677, x125 Marine and Tropical Services Update NWS Partners Meeting - August 2014

2. N A T I O N A L O C E A N I C A N D A T M O S P H E R I C A D M I N I S T R A T I O N Marine Program Overview Increasing Decision Support Services Experimental Beach Hazards Statement is planned to be operational in March 2015 Shift in focus in rip current outreach and education NWS Partners Meeting - August 20142

3. N A T I O N A L O C E A N I C A N D A T M O S P H E R I C A D M I N I S T R A T I O N Decision Support Services: U.S. Coast Guard Vision: Through a collaborative effort, deploy nationwide a NWS Coast Guard Briefing Page with a consistent user interface while providing regionally-specific data based on the diverse needs of each Coast Guard sector, district, or group 24/7 high-quality DSS to Coast Guard Air Stations Template is now being used at several WFOs to support Coast Guard partners NWS Partners Meeting - August 20143

4. U N I T E D S T A T E S D E P A R T M E N T O F C O M M E R C E N A T I O N A L O C E A N I C A N D A T M O S P H E R I C A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

5. N A T I O N A L O C E A N I C A N D A T M O S P H E R I C A D M I N I S T R A T I O N Experimental Beach Hazards Statement New segment & VTEC code (BH.S) in the NWS Coastal Hazard Message (CFW) Provides information about hazards affecting people in coastal/beach areas and in the surf zone –Locally significant weather-related hazards issued from all participating test offices –Ecological-related hazards at select offices (partnership w/NOAA LOs or gov’t agencies) Experimental at initial WFOs since 2012 –20 coastal WFOs currently participating in the experiment Operational by March 2015 All CR Great Lakes WFOs Issue Recreational Beach Forecast (SRF) and BHS NWS Partners Meeting - August 2014 5

6. N A T I O N A L O C E A N I C A N D A T M O S P H E R I C A D M I N I S T R A T I O N Rip Current Outreach and Education Outreach and Education focusing on how to avoid a rip current –Check conditions before going out –Learn how to spot a rip current Fatalities in 2014 are less than ½ of 2013 (through July 31) NWS Partners Meeting - August 20146

7. N A T I O N A L O C E A N I C A N D A T M O S P H E R I C A D M I N I S T R A T I O N Experimental Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map Operational Implementation of P-Surge 2.0 Experimental 5-day Graphic Tropical Weather Outlook NHC Products in Mixed Case 2014 Tropical Program Changes NWS Partners Meeting - August 2014 7

8. N A T I O N A L O C E A N I C A N D A T M O S P H E R I C A D M I N I S T R A T I O N Issued when a hurricane watch/ warning is in effect anywhere along the Gulf and Atlantic coasts Represents the storm surge heights that a person should prepare for before a storm Takes uncertainty in the forecast into account Lays the foundation for extra- tropical inundation graphic (beyond 2015) Additional info: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/experimental/inundation /http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/experimental/inundation / Experimental Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map NWS Partners Meeting - August 20148

9. N A T I O N A L O C E A N I C A N D A T M O S P H E R I C A D M I N I S T R A T I O N Probabilistic Storm Surge 2.0 Operational on July 8, 2014 Uses latest SLOSH basins - NAVD88 Tide included in above ground and above datum (NAVD-88) guidance Timing component (incremental and cumulative probabilities) available for above ground guidance Available 1 hour after the NHC nominal advisory time (i.e., 5 am, 11 am, 5 pm, 11 pm) Available over the SBN, NDGD and http://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/psurge2.0http://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/psurge2.0 NWS Partners Meeting - August 20149

10. N A T I O N A L O C E A N I C A N D A T M O S P H E R I C A D M I N I S T R A T I O N Experimental 5-day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Weather Outlook Graphics Indicates the formation potential of individual disturbances Areas are color coded based upon development likelihood (yellow 50%) Mouse over shaded areas for details; click on shaded areas or disturbance numbers to switch views NWS Partners Meeting - August 201410

11. N A T I O N A L O C E A N I C A N D A T M O S P H E R I C A D M I N I S T R A T I O N Tropical Program Changes for 2015 Experimental Storm Surge Watch/Warning Watch/Warning Process (HLS, TCV) New Interactive Tropical Web Page NWS Partners Meeting - August 2014 11

12. N A T I O N A L O C E A N I C A N D A T M O S P H E R I C A D M I N I S T R A T I O N Transformation of Tropical Cyclone Watch/Warning Program Start Transformation by the 2015 Hurricane Season –New Storm Surge Watch and Storm Surge Warning product –Disseminated through a TCV-like product from NHC and WFOs New WFO Tropical Cyclone VTEC (TCV) –Largely automated and includes all local watches and warnings and meteorological information in a one zone-one segment basis –Replaces the Hurricane Local Statement (HLS) as the WFO tropical cyclone watch/warning product Updated Hurricane Local Statement (HLS) –Discussion preparedness product conveying a succinct message on local impacts – No VTEC, Non-Segmented Product –Reformatted based on social science research NWS Partners Meeting - August 2014 12

13. N A T I O N A L O C E A N I C A N D A T M O S P H E R I C A D M I N I S T R A T I O N New HLS Affected Area Headline/Primary Message New Information primarily pulled from TCP and grids Brief Overview for entire CWA

14. N A T I O N A L O C E A N I C A N D A T M O S P H E R I C A D M I N I S T R A T I O N New HLS Potential Impacts Uncertainty wording Order based on largest expected impact –Some info such as damage category can be pulled from grids

15. N A T I O N A L O C E A N I C A N D A T M O S P H E R I C A D M I N I S T R A T I O N New WFO TCV New product header Segment Information including tropical VTEC Tropical headlines Hazard definition when hazards are NEW Locations in this segment Wind information including potential impacts and specific meteorological details tailored to the scenario 15

16. N A T I O N A L O C E A N I C A N D A T M O S P H E R I C A D M I N I S T R A T I O N New WFO TCV Surge potential impacts and scenario- specific details Rainfall potential impacts Tornado potential impacts Zone/county websites 16

17. N A T I O N A L O C E A N I C A N D A T M O S P H E R I C A D M I N I S T R A T I O N Interactive Tropical Web Page Provides all tropical information from the National Centers and WFOs on one interactive web site Contains the hazard information from the new TCV and TCIG products Enables user access to all the derived from these new products to be easily accessible through a new web interface NWS Partners Meeting - August 2014

18. N A T I O N A L O C E A N I C A N D A T M O S P H E R I C A D M I N I S T R A T I O N HLS/TCV/Storm Surge Key Milestones Date ActionStatus Apr 2013Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map approved by Social ScienceComplete Apr 2014New HLS/TCV examples approved by social scienceComplete May 2014Develop TCV requirementsComplete Jun 2014Implement experimental Potential Storm Surge Flooding MapComplete Jul 2014Develop TCV formatter and HLS requirementsComplete Aug 2014Test TCV formatter at Operations Proving Ground (OPG)On Track Oct 2014Develop HLS formatterOn Track Dec 2014SCN issued for changes to HLS and new TCVOn Track Jun 2015Implement experimental tropical Storm Surge Watch & WarningOn Track Jun 2015Implement operational WFO TCV & updated HLSOn Track Jun 2015Implement operational TCIG – approved by social scienceOn Track June 2016 Implement operational tropical Storm Surge Watch/Warning and Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map On Track NWS Partners Meeting - August 201418

19. N A T I O N A L O C E A N I C A N D A T M O S P H E R I C A D M I N I S T R A T I O N Questions Mark Tew mark.tew@noaa.gov 301-713-1677, x125 NWS Partners Meeting - August 201419