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AGGREGATE EXPENDITURES Frederick University 2014.

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Presentation on theme: "AGGREGATE EXPENDITURES Frederick University 2014."— Presentation transcript:

1 AGGREGATE EXPENDITURES Frederick University 2014

2 Aggregate Demand (AD) AD – the quantity of GDP, which the economic agents are planning to buy at every price level, ceteris paribus (Y = const)

3 Aggregate Expenditures АЕ – the expenditures that economic decision makers are planning to make at every level of income, ceteris paribus Planned Spending Real GDP = Nominal GDP AE = C + I + G + X - M

4 Consumption Spending (С) С – the expenditures that households are planning to make at every level of income, ceteris paribus

5 Consumption Spending (С) YCS 0

6 YCS 0500 500 – consumption spending which does not depend on income, autonomous consumption – С 0 (C a, a)

7 Consumption Spending (С) YCS 0500-500

8 Consumption Spending (С) YCS 0500-500 500 C = C 0 + ( Δ C /ΔY) x Y Δ C /ΔY – the increase in consumption spending, caused by the increase in income – marginal propensity to consume – MPC (mpc, b) C = C 0 + MPC x Y

9 Consumption Spending (С) C = C 0 + MPC x Y MPC = ¾ = 0,75 If income rises by $100,households increase their consumption spending by $75 and increase their savings by $25 If income rises by $500, С rises by 5 х $75 = $375 C = 500 + 375 = 500 + 0.75 x 500 YCS 0500-500 500 875

10 Savings (S) Marginal propensity to save – the increase in savings, caused by the increase in income: MPS = Δ S /ΔY If income rises by $100, and households raise their consumption spending by $75, savings increase by $25 MPC + MPS = 1 C + S = Y S = Y – C = Y – ( C 0 + MPC x Y) = Y - C 0 - MPC x Y = - C 0 + Y - MPC x Y = - C 0 + Y(1 - MPC) S = - C 0 + MPS x Y

11 Consumption Spending (С) and Savings (S) YCS 0500-500 500 875- 375

12 Consumption Spending (С) and Savings (S) Y = 1000 C = 500 + 0.75 x 1000 YCS 0500-500 500875-375 10001250-250

13 Consumption Spending (С) and Savings (S) YCS 0500-500 500875-375 10001250-250 15001625-125 2000 0 25002375125 30002750250

14 Consumption Spending (С) YCS 0500-500 500875-375 10001250-250 15001625-125 2000 0 25002375125 30002750250 45 0 C Y 500 2000 500 875 500 375 C = 500 + 0.75Y 0 A B D

15 Factors determining C Households’ income Indirect taxation Propensity to buy imported goods and services Direct taxation Consumers’ expectations Availability of consumer credit Income distribution Living standards Efficiency of market institutions

16 Investment spending I = Gross Private Domestic Investment I – Depreciation = Net Investment Net investment = Purchases of New Equipment + Change in Inventories Fixed Investment = Depreciation + Purchases of New Equipment Net Fixed Investment = Purchases of New Equipment Inventories =  Raw Material  + Unfinished Production  + Finished Goods

17 Factors determining Investment Spending (I) Interest rate (i) Expected future profits (π) Risk Excess capacity Capital-output ratio (α) Technological changes Cost of production Competitiveness of markets Depreciation policies Efficiency of market institutions

18 AE 45 0 C Y 500 2000 500 875 500 375 0 A B D C AE = C + I + G + X - M

19 AE

20 HOUSEHOLDS FIRMS Expenditures on final goods and services Primary Income imports М taxes Т savings S exports Х Government purchases G Investment І Leakages Injections Production factors Final goods and services The Circular Flow AE Macroeconomic Equilibrium I + G + X = S + T + M (I - S) = (T - G) + (M - X)

21 Macroeconomic Equilibrium Y < AE Reduction of inventories Y Y = AE Y > AE Increase in inventories Y Y = AE

22 The simple multiplier Y 2005 = C 2005 + Inj 2005 Y 2004 = C 2004 + Inj 2004 Δ Y = ΔC + ΔInj ΔY = C 0 2005 +MPCY 2005 – C 02004 – MPCY 2004 + ΔInj ΔY = MPC ΔY + ΔInj ΔY - MPC ΔY = ΔInj ΔY (1-MPC) = ΔInj ΔY = Δ Inj x1/(1-MPC) 1/(1-MPC) = multiplier = К If МРС = 0.5, К = 2 If МРС = 0.75, К = 4

23 The complete multiplier 1 K = MPS + t x MPC + MPI

24 Multiplier Constraints Factors of production bottlenecks Limited productive capacity Institutions

25 Deriving the Complete Multiplier Y 2005 = C 2005 + (I + G + X) 2005 - M 2005 Y 2004 = C 2004 + (I + G + X) 2004 - M 2004 Δ Y = ΔC + ΔInj - ΔM ΔY = C 0 2005 +MPC x (Y 2005 – t x Y 2005 ) - C 02004 – MPC x (Y 2004 – t x Y 2004 ) + ΔInj - M 0 2005 – MPI x (Y 2005 – t x Y 2005 ) - M 02004 – MPI x (Y 2004 – t x Y 2004 ) + ΔInj ΔY = MPC x Y 2005 ( 1– t x) – MPC x Y 2004 ( 1 - t) - MPI x Y 2005 ( 1– t) – MPI x Y 2004 (1– t) ΔY = MPC ( 1 - t) x ΔY – MPI x ΔY + ΔInj ΔY - MPC ( 1 - t) ΔY + MPI x ΔY = ΔInj ΔY [(1-MPC + MPC x t) + MPI] = ΔInj ΔY = Δ Inj :1/(1-MPC + MPC x t + MPI) K = 1/(1-MPC + MPC x t + MPI) = 1/ (MPS + MPT + MPI)


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