1. Background   There are ethnic differences in stroke outcomes in Mexican Americans (MAs) compared to non-Hispanic whites (NHWs)   higher stroke recurrence   lower mortality   To determine if optimism, fatalism, spirituality or depressive symptoms (“factors”) explain ethnic differences in stroke outcome   Population-based stroke surveillance in Corpus Christi, TX, Jun 2004-Dec 2008   Stroke patients asked to relate pre-stroke beliefs using validated scales   Associated with initial stroke severity, stroke recurrence, all-cause mortality   Multivariable linear regression for log- transformed NIHSS   Cox proportional hazard regression for time to recurrence or mortality Role of Optimism, Fatalism, Spirituality and Depressive Symptoms in Mexican American Stroke Disparities—the Brain Attack Surveillance in Corpus Christi Project (BASIC) LB Morgenstern (lmorgens@umich.edu), BN Sánchez, LE Skolarus, J Baek, N Garcia, JMH Risser, MA Smith, DB Zahuranec, KA Kerber, LD Lisabeth Stroke Program, Depts. of Epidemiology, Biostatistics, and Neurology University of Michigan; Dept of Epidemiology University of Texas at Houston Results   53.5% were MA and 48.7% were women   MAs compared to NHWs - lower mortality HR=0.63, 95% CI:0.42,0.95 - higher recurrence HR=1.74, 95% CI:1.07,2.83 - no severity difference (4% higher NIHSS, 95% CI:-11%,22%)   Factors do not explain ethnic differences in outcomes (Table 2, comparing Model B vs. Crude or C vs. A)   Possible effect modification for depressive symptoms and optimism (Fig) Study Purpose Conclusions Methods CharacteristicN%* Age<6022733.9 60-7418928.3 ≥7525337.8 Hypertension51677.1 High Cholesterol28642.8 Atrial fibrillation619.1 Diabetes27641.3 History of stroke14922.3 Education44967.1 Presenting NIHSS, 0-121832.6 2-315723. 4-719128.6 >710215.2 2-year mortality §, 2-year recurrence § 10.7%, 9.1% Depression, median (IQR)4 (1,8) Fatalism, median (IQR)17 (13,21) Optimism, median (IQR)19 (15, 22) Spirituality, median (IQR)8 (7,8) *Unless noted, §Kaplan-Meier estimates Table 2. Crude and adjusted hazard ratios for mortality and recurrence or relative difference in stroke severity comparing MA to NHW. BASIC Project Mortality Recurrence Stroke severity Model HR95% CIHR95% CIexp(β)95% CI Crude 0.63(0.42,0.95)1.74(1.07,2.83)1.04(0.89,1.22) A 0.85(0.52,1.40)1.31(0.75,2.29)1.04(0.89,1.22) Depression models B 0.62(0.41,0.93)1.72(1.06,2.81)1.03(0.88,1.21) C 0.89(0.54,1.47)1.34(0.77,2.34)1.03(0.88,1.21) D 0.83(0.50,1.37)1.31(0.75,2.29)0.99(0.84,1.15) Fatalism models B 0.62(0.41,0.93)1.74(1.07,2.83)1.04(0.89,1.22) C 0.87(0.53,1.44)1.36(0.78,2.37)1.04(0.89,1.22) D 0.81(0.49,1.33)1.36(0.78,2.37)0.99(0.85,1.16) Spirituality models B 0.61(0.40,0.92)1.71(1.04,2.80)1.05(0.90,1.23) C 0.86(0.52,1.41)1.31(0.74,2.29)1.05(0.90,1.23) D 0.81(0.49,1.32)1.31(0.74,2.29)0.99(0.85,1.17) Optimism models B 0.62(0.41,0.94)1.74(1.07,2.83)1.04(0.89,1.22) C 0.86(0.53,1.41)1.32(0.75,2.30)1.04(0.89,1.22) D 0.81(0.50,1.32)1.32(0.75,2.30)0.99(0.85,1.16) Models: (A) Confounders only; (B) Psychological factor only; (C) Factor + Confounders; (D) Factor + Confounders+ Independent Predictors. Funding: NIH/NINDS R0138916   Optimism, fatalism, spirituality and depressive symptoms are unlikely to explain the robust MA-NHW stroke outcome disparities.   The suggestion that both depression and optimism may modify ethnicity- stroke outcome associations deserves further study. Figure: Ethnicity effect (MA vs. NHW) on stroke outcome at the 1st and 3rd quartiles of depression or optimism. BASIC Project Results Table 1. Descriptive characteristics of study population. Overall (N=699) BASIC Project