1. Human Development Report Croatia 2008 1 www.undp.hr

2. Human Development Report Croatia 2008 2 Climate for Change: Questions for the Report What do we know about the changing climate? What would climate change affect in Croatia? What can Croatia do to change the climate?

3. Human Development Report Croatia 2008 3 Climate Predictions - In general, Croatia is predicted to get warmer and drier – especially during the summer. - Surface snow in northern Croatia will become uncertain. - Soil moisture in the spring is expected to drop. What do we know about the changing climate? Expected temperature change for 2040-2070 in the summer

4. Human Development Report Croatia 2008 4 Sectors Examined: - Tourism - Coastal resources – especially related to sea level rise - Health - Fresh-water resources - Agriculture - Fisheries/ mariculture What would climate change affect in Croatia?

5. Human Development Report Croatia 2008 5 What would climate change affect in Croatia?

6. Human Development Report Croatia 2008 6 What would climate change affect in Croatia?

7. Human Development Report Croatia 2008 7 Coastal areas will likely be in danger of flooding from sea level rise perhaps over 100 square kilometres of land.

8. Human Development Report Croatia 2008 8 What would climate change affect in Croatia?

9. Human Development Report Croatia 2008 9 Emissions Reduction and Mitigation Costs What can Croatia do to change the climate?

10. Human Development Report Croatia 2008 10 Mitigation and Institutional Analysis What can Croatia do to change the climate? -The Government has sent a clear message that energy efficiency, renewable energy and reduced emissions are important. - A fair amount of technological capacity exists for mitigation. - Opportunities for financing emissions reductions exist and are increasing. This is likely to continue to grow as Croatia moves towards EU accession.

11. Human Development Report Croatia 2008 11 A Climate for Change - Recommendations - To address current climate variability – regardless of future climate change- data is required to improve the management of specific sectors – e.g. agriculture, disaster response to heat waves/ droughts. It already impacts 1/4th of Croatian economy. - Physical impact studies coupled with economic analysis could provide the basis for developing adaptation measures. - Additional analysis related to mitigation is necessary and more stakeholders beyond the energy and industrial sector should be engaged in efforts to mitigate emissions. - Integrate climate change into longer term strategic plans for infrastructure, urban planning (on the coast and inland), agriculture, water use, etc.

12. Human Development Report Croatia 2008 12