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Pulse of the Planet Series Dr. David A. Robinson Chair, Department of Geography & New Jersey State Climatologist Rutgers University September 22, 2007.

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Presentation on theme: "Pulse of the Planet Series Dr. David A. Robinson Chair, Department of Geography & New Jersey State Climatologist Rutgers University September 22, 2007."— Presentation transcript:

1 Pulse of the Planet Series Dr. David A. Robinson Chair, Department of Geography & New Jersey State Climatologist Rutgers University September 22, 2007 Liberty Science Center Understanding and Predicting Coastal Storms Atlantic City 1944

2 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson This Morning's Agenda 1. A state climatologist? 2. Two flavors of coastal storms Tropical storms & hurricanes Mid-latitude lows (aka: Nor'easters) 3. Memorable Jersey "visits" 4. Predicting storms: present and future 5. Keeping a watchful eye on Jersey weather

3 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson Before learning of this presentation, did you know that NJ had a state climate office at Rutgers? A) Yes, I’m a weather/climate enthusiast. B) Yes, whether I wanted to or not! C) No, wish I had known earlier. D) No, and I was much the better for it!

4 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson Office of the NJ State Climatologist Our mission: Monitor Understand Inform http://climate.rutgers.edu/stateclim

5 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson  Agriculture/horticulture  Ecology  Water resources  Public health & safety  Energy  Transportation  Commerce Recognizing that climate impacts life in NJ

6 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson This Morning's Agenda 1. A state climatologist? 2. Two flavors of coastal storms Tropical storms & hurricanes Mid-latitude lows (aka: Nor'easters) 3. Memorable Jersey "visits" 4. Predicting storms: present and future 5. Keeping a watchful eye on Jersey weather

7 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson In which direction do winds circulate around a Northern Hemisphere low pressure system? A) Clockwise B) Counter clockwise

8 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson In which direction do winds circulate around a Northern Hemisphere low pressure system? B) Counter clockwise

9 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson Storms redistribute heat and moisture from low to high latitudes

10 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson This Morning's Agenda 1. A state climatologist? 2. Two flavors of coastal storms Tropical storms & hurricanes Mid-latitude lows (aka: Nor'easters) 3. Memorable Jersey "visits" 4. Predicting storms: present and future 5. Keeping a watchful eye on Jersey weather

11 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson Rating Tropical Storms & Hurricanes

12 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson Which type of storm feeds off of cold and warm air clashing? A) Tropical storm B) Mid-latitude low pressure system C) Both of the above storms

13 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson Which type of storm feeds off of cold and warm air clashing? B) Mid-latitude low pressure system

14 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson Conditions Necessary for Tropical Storm Formation – Warm water: in excess of 27 o C (81 o F) – Unstable atmosphere…..to a point

15 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson Tropical cyclone structure

16 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson The Atlantic tropical storm season runs from…. A) August - September B) June - November C) July - September D) January 1 – December 31

17 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson The Atlantic tropical storm season runs from…. B) June - November

18 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson Tropical storm genesis areas and related storm tracks

19 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson The Atlantic Basin

20 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson How often does a hurricane make landfall (eye comes ashore) in New Jersey? A) Every year B) Once a decade C) About once a century D) Never

21 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson How often does a hurricane make landfall (eye comes ashore) in New Jersey? C) About once a century

22 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson

23 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson

24 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson A hurricane is approaching NJ. What is your greatest concern? A) River flooding B) Storm surge C) Damaging wind

25 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson A Solution to Many a US Hurricane Concern!

26 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson This Morning's Agenda 1. A state climatologist? 2. Two flavors of coastal storms Tropical storms & hurricanes Mid-latitude lows (aka: Nor'easters) 3. Memorable Jersey "visits" 4. Predicting storms: present and future 5. Keeping a watchful eye on Jersey weather

27 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson Conditions Necessary for Mid-latitude Low Formation – Convergence of warm and cold air – Unstable atmosphere….top to bottom

28 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson The big picture: a NJ squeeze play

29 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson

30 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson Cyclogenesis

31 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson A mature mid-latitude cyclone

32 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson Typical winter mid-latitude cyclone paths

33 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson This Morning's Agenda 1. A state climatologist? 2. Two flavors of coastal storms Tropical storms & hurricanes Mid-latitude lows (aka: Nor'easters) 3. Memorable Jersey "visits" 4. Predicting storms: present and future 5. Keeping a watchful eye on Jersey weather

34 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson The Blizzard of 1888 Derailment at Whitehall

35 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson Nor'easter of 1889, Long Branch

36 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson Asbury Park: 1890s

37 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson 1944 Hurricane Atlantic City Harvey Cedars Asbury Park

38 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson Great Appalachian Storm: November 1950 Bloomfield Keansburg

39 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson Nor'easter: March 1962 Harvey Cedars

40 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson Nor'easter: March 1962 Ocean City LBI Wildwood

41 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson Nor'easter: December 1992 Brant Beach Long Branch

42 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson Hurricane Floyd: September 16, 1999

43 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson Floyd

44 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson "Stealth Nor’easter": February 11-12, 2006

45 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson Nor'easter April 15-16, 2007 Bound Brook Manville

46 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson This Morning's Agenda 1. A state climatologist? 2. Two flavors of coastal storms Tropical storms & hurricanes Mid-latitude lows (aka: Nor'easters) 3. Memorable Jersey "visits" 4. Predicting storms: present and future 5. Keeping a watchful eye on Jersey weather

47 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson potential flooding and damage to property given a hurricane's estimated intensity: Hurricane tracks for the year prior, during and after an El Nino

48 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson Storms of all types have become worse in NJ over the past decade or two. A) True B) False C) The jury is out

49 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson Storms of all types have become worse in NJ over the past decade or two. C) The jury is out

50 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson This Morning's Agenda 1. A state climatologist? 2. Two flavors of coastal storms Tropical storms & hurricanes Mid-latitude lows (aka: Nor'easters) 3. Memorable Jersey "visits" 4. Predicting storms: present and future 5. Keeping a watchful eye on Jersey weather

51 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson NJ Weather & Climate Network http://climate.rutgers.edu/njwxnet

52 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson

53 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson TemperaturePrecipitation

54 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson Wind speed & directionWind gusts

55 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson Daily observations by trained volunteers of all ages

56 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson CoCoRaHS and New Jersey “Because every drop counts” +

57 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson

58 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson Would you be interested in being a NJ CoCoRaHS observer? A) Yes B) No

59 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson If yes, please contact me at: drobins@rci.rutgers.edu or simply Google: nj climate (find us, click on “contact us” and send a note) or sign the pad (name, town, email address)

60 Optional Presentation Title David A. Robinson Fostering an appreciation for coastal storms impacting the Garden State Thanks! Dave Robinson drobins@rci.rutgers.edu http://climate.rutgers.edu

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