1. 1 By: Dr. Nader Said Development Studies Programme Polling Palestinian Voters (Legislative Elections 2006)

2. 2 Legislative Elections in West Bank and Gaza-January 2006; 132 seats. Mixed elections system: - Proportional:11 national lists competing to win 66 seats (with 314 candidates). - Simple majority voting for individual candidates – 16 different size – districts with 412 candidates competing to win 66 seats. 2% of the vote minimum threshold to enter the competition for seats. About the Elections

3. 3 Structure of the Exit Poll 232 Polling Stations (9%). Special Security Forces survey. More than 600 Research Interviewers. 100 Data Processing & Programming Personnel. Total workforce of over than 900 personnel including interviewing, data processing, and supervisory staff. 8000 completed questionnaires in districts, 2800 for national lists, and 956 for background Questionnaires.

4. 4 Profile of Palestinian Voters

5. 5 Profile of Palestinian Voters … Continue

6. 6 Perceived Fairness of Elections Process

7. 7 Evaluation of CEC Performance

8. 8 Why did you participate?

9. 9 Expectations from elections.

10. 10 Distribution of % vote and seats

11. 11 Votes Compared with seats HamasOthers Popular Vote Districts Vote At District Level Proportional System % of Seats 37 29 % of Seats 32% 68% 45 21

12. 12 The Popularity of Hamas (Change and Reform List) HamasOthers Valid Vote for National lists Registered Voters Voting Age Population 21

13. 13 The Popularity of Hamas

14. 14 Why a vote for Hamas (and not Fateh)

15. 15 Voting for Hamas and Fateh 1. Age Group

16. 16 Voting for Hamas and Fateh 2. Gender

17. 17 Voting for Hamas and Fateh 3. Education + -

18. 18 Voting for Hamas and Fateh 4. Work / Sector

19. 19 Voting for Hamas and Fateh 5. Religiosity

20. 20 Voting for Hamas and Fateh 6. Type of Residence

21. 21 Support for President Abbas’s Program by Political support

22. 22 74 % didn’t expect a Hamas overwhelming majority in PLC. 67% expect that a Hamas led government commit to political negotiations with Israel. Positions Regarding the Results of the Elections