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 Midterm Essay Question  Review of midterm evaluation of teaching feedback  Reading takehomes  Review nuclear weapons survey (extra credit)  Facts.

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Presentation on theme: " Midterm Essay Question  Review of midterm evaluation of teaching feedback  Reading takehomes  Review nuclear weapons survey (extra credit)  Facts."— Presentation transcript:

1  Midterm Essay Question  Review of midterm evaluation of teaching feedback  Reading takehomes  Review nuclear weapons survey (extra credit)  Facts about nuclear weapons  Effects of nuclear weapons  Explaining the Cold War Peace  A nuclear taboo?  Nuclear vs. chemical / biological weapons

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5 Country1997 Strategic 2014 Strategic [undeployed] United States 7,3001,642[2,800] Russia 6,0001,643 [1022] France 482~290 China 410~250 United Kingdom 200~225 Israel 100+?80-100 India 60+?90-110 Pakistan 15-25?100-120 North Korea 06-8 Syria 0??? Iran 0??? 1997: http://www.cdi.org/issues/nukef&f/database/nukestab.html andhttp://www.cdi.org/issues/nukef&f/database/nukestab.html 2014: http://www.armscontrol.org/factsheets/Nuclearweaponswhohaswhathttp://www.armscontrol.org/factsheets/Nuclearweaponswhohaswhat Strategic Nuclear Weapons: 1997 vs. 2014

6 Country19972014 United States 4,700-11,700~500 Russia 6,000-13,000~2,000 China 120 Tactical Nuclear Weapons: 1997 vs. 2014 1997: http://www.cdi.org/issues/nukef&f/database/nukestab.html andhttp://www.cdi.org/issues/nukef&f/database/nukestab.html 2014: http://www.armscontrol.org/factsheets/Nuclearweaponswhohaswhathttp://www.armscontrol.org/factsheets/Nuclearweaponswhohaswhat

7  Decreased likelihood of total war  Increased devastation should war occur  Increased likelihood of regional wars

8 Go to WarAvoid War // || Non-nuclear (by defn)Status quo // \\ || WinLose || More Power Dead Soldiers Power and Soldiers at Same Level as Before

9 Go to WarAvoid War // \\ || Non-nuclear (by defn) NuclearStatus quo // \\ // \\ || WinLoseWinLose || More Power Dead Soldiers Dead Soldiers & Civilians Complete Destruction Power and Soldiers at Same Level as Before

10 What we want to explain Possible explanation #1 Possible explanation #2 Possible explanation #3 Possible explanation #4 Possible explanation #5 PeriodState of World Nuclear weapons Fear of escalation Memory of WWII Postwar status quo contentment Soviet ideology Pre 1945 WarNoLessNoDislike status quo Against war Post 1945 PeaceYesMoreYesLike status quoAgainst war

11  Logic of consequences: decisions as cost- benefit calculation from available means  Logic of appropriateness: decisions as "what is right in current situation, given social identity state desires"  Tannenwald: ◦ Bush 1: nuclear weapon use not considered because not “right” thing for Americans to do ◦ There WERE previous nuclear threats

12  How do they differ? ◦ Ease of acquisition: availability of components and know-how, known likelihood of success ◦ Ease of use ◦ Magnitude and type of impacts  Why do we consider some worse than others?

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