1. CANS: Wales and Scotland Richard Wyn Jones Wales Governance Centre Cardiff University

2. Context Only W & S – no funding for England / English region i.e. no data on what we know least about Problematic in terms of thinking about solidarity etc. Thus far, we have done little analysis – enough to satisfy funder in W! Simple (simplistic?) overview of key themes

3. Agenda 1. Multi-level voting 2. Support for ‘regionalisation’ 3. Identification with / perceived significance of various scales 4. Competencies 5. The devolution paradox 6. Territorial solidarity

4. Multi-level voting, CANS 2009 WALESSCOTLAND Devo.UKDevo.UK Cons1225.66.314.2 Labour23.631.823.638.5 LibDem5.69.35.38.5 NATS20.96.336.516.3 Others3.23.02.3 No vote6.75.85.15.5 DK/NA28.118.220.814.6

5. Which party best stands up for X? WALESSCOTLAND Con6.34.6 Labour21.019.9 LibDem3.319.9 NATS32.443.4 Others3.11.7 DK/NA33.728.2

6. Constitutional Preferences WALESSCOTLAND No devo9.0 6.9 Fewer powers6.34.0 Status Quo27.6 More powers41.638.9 Independence13.920.0 DK/NA1.62.5

7. Has / Should Have Most Influence? HASSHOULD HAVE WALESSCOTWALESSCOT Devolved40.138.370.373.1 UK49.149.225.823.0 EU6.27.91.71.6 Other/ DK/NA 4.84.62.22.1

8. Identities & Perceived Significance of Scale Despite significant differences (demographic etc.) ‘nested’ identities norm in W & S Neighbourhood and the two ‘national’ levels stand out in terms of attachment Local Authority and the two ‘national’ levels stand out in terms of perceived importance Of the two ‘national’layers, ‘regional’ level viewed in significantly more positive light than ‘state’ level.

9. National ID WALESSCOTLAND X not British10.719.4 More X than Brit28.640.8 Equally X & Brit33.425.9 More Brit than X9.83.8 British not X15.26.7 Other/DK/NA2.41.6

10. Scales and Attachment, % VERY attached LocalityL.A.WALES /SCOT UKEurope WALES51.424.269.349.113.6 SCOT52.827.179.943.114.4

11. Importance of decisions made, % VERY important LADevolvedUKEurope WALES45.246.750.019.4 SCOT51.257.752.426.2

12. “X doesn’t care much what people like me think”, % Agree Strongly and Agree DevolvedUK GovtEuro. WALES38.951.961.3 SCOTLAND34.749.166.1

13. Location of Policy Competences? In W & S public attitudes seem to mirror perceptions of the prevailing division of responsibilities...

14. Location of Policy Competences, Wales

15. Location of Policy Competences, Scotland

16. The Devolution Paradox... On the one hand, electorate supportive of devolution and want more of it. They also seem to be supportive of individual examples of policy divergence... However, on the other hand the electorate remains hostile to policy divergence (at the state level) per se.

17. Degree of desired policy divergence

18. Territorial Solidarity Note limitations of data here... Wales is poor Perceptions of Scotland mixed No data on a donor region Nonetheless, strong sense of solidarity in evidence in W & S

19. Perceptions of relative prosperity compared to rest of UK WALESSCOTLAND Better9.137.1 Worse39.624.3 No different48.634.9 DK/NA2.83.7

20. Territorial Solidarity