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Of Prancing Horses and Bolted Stable Doors “The Chaplain’s Interesting Questions 2008/9” No 1 Sidney Sussex College 17th October 2008
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Mr. Massimo M Beber Fellow in Economics Sidney Sussex College Cambridge CB2 3HU http://people.pwf.cam.ac.uk/mb65/ INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC SECURITY Redland/ MBA - Cambridge INSTEP Programme 2010 http://people.pwf.cam.ac.uk/mb65/redland The Pitt Building,: Tue 3 rd May 2011
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Lt. Gen. Mikhail Kalashnikov with vodka (20 th September 2004) EVOLUTIONARY LIBERALISM: FROM POWER TO PLENTY?
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“Greed is good”
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Prudential Ratios in Banking AssetsLiabilities Liquidity ReservesDeposit Liabilities Government SecuritiesNon-Deposit Liabilities Loans Equity (Shareholders’ wealth.
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“You stupid boy!”
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Two Hypotheses on finance Efficient Markets – Finance “oils the wheels” of the market – It speeds up income convergence at lower cost in current consumption – Rational expectations ensure stability – Competition empowers rational expectations Financial Instability – Expectations intrinsically volatile – Volatility creates real economic damage – This damage can be long-lasting (hysteresis) – Prudential regulation must be strict
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EUROPEAN FINANCIAL REGULATION: BETWEEN EMH AND FIH Source: Committee of European Banking Supervisors Annual Report 2004.
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