1. The following table shows the number of people that like a particular fast food restaurant. 1)Is the probability of liking McDonald’s dependent on the gender of the person surveyed? Explain using calculations. 2)What about Burger King and Wendy’s? McDonald’sBurger KingWendy’s Male201510 Female201025

2. Howard is playing a carnival game. The object of the game is to predict the sum you will get by spinning spinner A and then spinner B. Howard predicts he will get a sum of 5. 1)List the sample space. 2)What is the probability Howard gets a sum of 5? 3)Suppose that Howard gets a 3 on Spinner A, what is the new probability of him getting a sum of 5? 3/12 or 1/4 1/3

3. Homework Review

4. EOCT Review Question of the Day

5. CCGPS Geometry UNIT QUESTION: What connection does conditional probability have to independence? Standard: MCC9-12.S.CP.1-7 Today’s Question: How can I find conditional probabilities from a frequency table or the formula? Standard: MCC9-12.S.CP.2-6

6. Conditional Probability

7. Conditional Probability contains a condition that may limit the sample space for an event. You can write a conditional probability using the notation - This reads “the probability of event B, given event A”

8. The table shows the results of a class survey. Find P(own a pet | female) Conditional Probability The condition female limits the sample space to 14 possible outcomes. Of the 14 females, 8 own a pet. Therefore, P(own a pet | female) equals. 8 14 yesno female86 male57 Do you own a pet? 14 females; 13 males

9. The table shows the results of a class survey. Find P(wash the dishes | male) Conditional Probability The condition male limits the sample space to 15 possible outcomes. Of the 15 males, 7 did the dishes. Therefore, P(wash the dishes | male) 7 15 yesno female76 male78 Did you wash the dishes last night? 13 females; 15 males

10. Using the data in the table, find the probability that a sample of not recycled waste was plastic. P(plastic | non-recycled) The given condition limits the sample space to non-recycled waste. MaterialRecycledNot Recycled Paper34.948.9 Metal6.510.1 Glass2.99.1 Plastic1.120.4 Other15.367.8 The probability that the non-recycled waste was plastic is about 13%. = 20.4 156.3 0.13 A favorable outcome is non-recycled plastic. P(plastic | non-recycled) = 20.4 48.9 + 10.1 + 9.1 + 20.4 + 67.8 Let’s Try One

11. Conditional Probability Formula For any two events A and B from a sample space with P(A) does not equal zero

12. Conditional Probability Researchers asked people who exercise regularly whether they jog or walk. Fifty-eight percent of the respondents were male. Twenty percent of all respondents were males who said they jog. Find the probability that a randomly selected jogs given they are male. Relate:P( male ) = 58% P( male and jogs ) = 20% Define:Let m = male. Let j = jogs. The probability that a male respondent jogs is about 34%. Write:P( j | m ) = P( m and j ) P( j ) = Substitute 0.2 for P(A and B) and 0.58 for P(A). 0.344Simplify. 0.2 0.58

13. The table shows the results of a class survey. Find P(own a pet | female) Conditional Probability – Pets Revisited Therefore, P(own a pet | female) equals. 4 7 yesno female86 male57 Do you own a pet? 14 females; 13 males

14. Classwork The Conditions are Right Task

15. Homework Practice Worksheet