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July – December 2013 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey 1
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Firm distribution based on Annual Turnover (based on responses received) Category by gross annual income % of firms 0 – R1,5m 5% R1,5m – R11,5m 42% > R11,5m 52% Total 100.0% Category by gross annual income % of firms 0 – R1,5m 10.3% R1,5m – R11,5m 55.9% > R11,5m 33.8% Total 100.0% July – December 2013January – June 2013 2
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Profile of respondents – by firm size Based on full and part time employment 3
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Economic Impact Stable contribution of CESA Membership earnings as percentage of GDP Source: RBQN, CESA BECS, Industry Insight 4
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Fee earnings vs Gross Fixed Capital Formation Rbn, real prices Source: RBQN, CESA BECS, Industry Insight 5
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Infrastructure Allocations fall short of NDP target In order to achieve 10% target, need to double infrastructure allocations over the Medium Term Source: SARB Quarterly Bulletin, Budget Reviews
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NDP specifies 30% target of GFCF to GDP Percentage of GDP NDP 2030 Target Projected to increase to 24% of GDP by 2016/17
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Fee income, R billions Real 2000 prices Annualised | Deflator = CPI Source: CESA BECS 8
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Real Fee income, Real prices Annual Change | Deflator = CPI Source: CESA BECS 9
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CESA Confidence Index Source: CESA BECS 10
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Business confidence vs CESA confidence Source: CESA BECS, BER 11
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Real Fee income vs Industry confidence Income deflated using CPI Source: CESA BECS 12
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CESA Labour Cost Indicator vs CPI Year on Year percentage change Source: CESA BECS 13
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Employment vs REAL fee income (Rbn) (Deflated using the CPI & LCI) Source: CESA BECS CPI: Consumer price index LCI : Labour Cost Indicator 14
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Employment vs Salary & Wage bill Source: CESA BECS 15
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Discounting eased to an average of 24% Source: CESA BECS 16
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Fee income earned by Sub-disciplines: % Share December 2013 Source: CESA BECS 17
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Fee income earned by Sub-disciplines: % Share Change in market share in the last 12 months Source: CESA BECS 18
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Fee income earned by TOP THREE disciplines: R bn Real 2000 prices Moving average (2 survey period): 2002 – 2013 Source: CESA BECS 19
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Fee income earned by economic sector Percentage market share December 2012– December 2013 Source: CESA BECS 20
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Profile of earnings by sector R22,2bn annualised current prices 21
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Fee earnings by selected sector R billions, Real 2000 prices | Smoothed |2 survey average Source: CESA BECS 22
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Fee income (Rm, Real prices) earned by key economic sectors June 2005 – December 2013 Source: CESA BECS 23
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Provincial Market Share: December 2013 Vs change in market share from December 2012 GAIN market share GAIN market share Source: CESA BECS 24
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Fee income earned by province (Rbn, real prices) High Capacity economies |TREND Annualised smoothed, average over 2 past surveys Source: CESA BECS 25
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Fee income earned by province June 1999– June 2013| Rm real prices Source: CESA BECS 26
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Fee income earned by province June 1999– June 2013| Rm real prices Source: CESA BECS 27
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Provincial profile by economic sector where fee earnings >50% of total earnings Source: CESA BECS 28
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Fee income earned (Real 2000 prices) High Capacity vs lower capacity provincial economies |Smoothed 84% of fees were earned in high capacity provinces Source: CESA BECS 29
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Fee income earned : RSA vs EX-RSA R mill, Real 2000 prices | Annualised, smoothed 93% of fees were earned in South Africa Source: CESA BECS 30
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Fee income earned by type of client Percentage share as at December 2013 Source: CESA BECS 31 Strong increase in contribution by central government
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Fee income earned by type of client Percentage share Source: CESA BECS 32
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Fee income earned by type of client R billion Real 2000 prices | Annualised, smoothed - avg over 2 survey periods Source: CESA BECS 33
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Fee income earned by type of client R billions Real 2000 prices | Annualised, smoothed - average over 2 survey periods Source: CESA BECS 34
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Competition in tendering Percentage of respondents that reported “Keen to Fierce” vs Fierce competition Source: CESA BECS 35
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% of Firms wanting to increase staff Source: CESA BECS 36
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Engineering Skills Shortfall Source: CESA BECS 37
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Recruitment problems Source: CESA BECS 38
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% of firms that reported experiencing problems recruiting the right people Source: CESA BECS 39
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Bursaries Increased to 1.6 percentage of the Salary and Wage bill Source: CESA BECS Trend line – 2 year average 40
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Bursaries The value of bursaries increased to an estimated R350m (current prices) R mill Real 2000 prices (Annualised) Source: CESA BECS 41
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Training (Salaries and Direct Training Costs) Percentage of Payroll Data not available Source: CESA BECS Trend line – 2 year average 42
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Training (Salaries and Direct Training Costs) Rbn, Real 2000 prices Data not available Source: CESA BECS Trend line – 2 year average 43
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Training (Direct costs) Direct training costs as a percentage of payroll moderated to 0.6 percent Source: CESA BECS Trend line – 2 year average 44
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Training (Direct costs) Rand millions, Real 2000 prices Source: CESA BECS Trend line – 2 year average 45
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Industry Capacity Utilisation Of existing technical staff Source: CESA BECS 46
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Summary of selected indicators by firm size category 47 Firm Size Category Capacity Utilisation of existing technical staff during the past 6 months % of Respondents that expect capacity utilisation of technical staff to increase over the next 6 months Average discount being offered by respondents in tendering situation to clients, benchmarked against the ECSA guideline fee scales % of Respondents that reported FIERCE Competition for work during the last six months Large 85.711.040.079.0 Medium 93.930.020.913.0 Small 101.145.019.822.0 Micro 81.826.026.513.0 Industry Average 91.815.0 (Weighted)24.064.4 Source: CESA BECS
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Total fee income outstanding for longer than 90 days increase in the last six months of 2013: Percentage of total fee income earned Source: CESA BECS Trend line – 2 year average 48
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Escalation trends Year-on-Year Percentage Change CPI Basket Revised in January 2013 Forecasts based on latest Treasury estimates (Budget 2014/15 Source: Treasury estimates Budget 2014 49
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Labour unit cost indicator Slows to an increase of 7% in the last 6 months of 2013 Year-on-Year % Change (Smoothed) Source: CESA BECS 50
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Labour unit cost indicator Annual Average Year-on-Year Percentage Change Source: CESA BECS 51
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CESA labour costs outpace CPI 52
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Typical Employment Breakdown July – December 2013 Source: CESA BECS 53
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Overall Employment Breakdown, by race December 2007– June 2013 Source: CESA BECS 54
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Employment profile Black only (excluding Asian / Coloureds) representation of total employment % Share of total employment Source: CESA BECS 55
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Changing profile of female engineers 56
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Executive Staff profile Source: CESA BECS 57
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Executive Staff: % Share of total employment PTY, CC & Partnerships Source: CESA BECS 58
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Black Executive Staff : (including Asian and Coloured) % Share of total Executive Staff Source: CESA BECS 59
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African (Black) Executive Staff as % of total Executive | December 2008 – June 2013 Source: CESA BECS 60
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Quality Management System Source: CESA BECS 61
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ISO 9001:2008 Certificate Source: CESA BECS 62
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Thank you www.cesa.co.za Tel: 011 463 2022 63
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