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A PERCEPTION STUDY: CLIMATE CHANGE AND FOOD SECURITY IN SOUTH ASIA Regional Meeting Climate Change and Food Security in South Asia 27 June, 2011, Dhaka, Bangladesh
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Content Objectives Methodology Farmers’ & Stakeholders’ Perception Impact on Agriculture & Livelihoods Findings from Other Stakeholders’ Survey Way Forward
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South Asia Extremely Vulnerable to Climate Change Geographical Diversity Dense Population High Incidence of Poverty
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Climate Change Vulnerability Index 2011
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Objectives Understand farmers’ experience on climate change and agricultural yield and real causes of climate change Ascertain measures to ensure sustainable livelihoods Assess perception of grassroots’ NGOs, sociologists, and agronomists Assess stakeholders’ perceptions on regional food bank Identify areas for further research
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Methodology CUTS (Consumer Unity & Trust Society, International) undertook this study with support from Oxfam Novib Four countries involved: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, India, and Pakistan Partners Afghan Development Association (ADA) Sustainable Development Policy Institute (SDPI) Practical Action Bangladesh Centre for Community Economics and Development Consultants Society (India)
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Continued… A total of 1200 small and marginal farmers Geographically representative All agro-climatic zones Drawn from 3 districts and 10 villages Official country level data Household Characteristics Nuclear and Joint BPL and APL Literate and Illiterate
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Agro-Climatic Zones
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Farmers’ Awareness & Perception on Climate Change Graph 3.5.1 Climate Change Impact Awareness 0 50 100 150 200 250 AfghanistanBangladeshIndiaPakistan Number NoYes
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Continued… Graph 3.5.2 Perception about Climate Change Occurrences 0 50 100 150 200 AfghanistanBangladeshIndiaPakistan Number 0-10 years11-20 years21-30 yearsMore than 30 years
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Change in Cropping Seasons Graph 3.5.3 Fluctuation in Length of Seasons in Afghanistan 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 WinterAutumnSummerSpring Months Average Length at PresentAverage Length in the Past
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Continued… Graph 3.5.4 Fluctuation in Length of Seasons in Bangladesh 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 AutumnLate Autumn WinterSummerRainySpring Months Average Length presently Avg. Length in the past
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Intensity of Natural Calamities
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On Food Unavailability
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On Migration Graph 3.5.22 Trend in Migration 0 10 20 30 40 50 AfghanistanBangladeshIndiaPakistan Percent (%) Graph 3.5.24 Type of Migration 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 AfghanistanBangladeshIndiaPakistan Percent (%) SeasonalStressPermanent Graph 3.5.25 Reason for Migration 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 AfghanistanBangladeshIndiaPakistan Percent (%) Opportunity (job search) Need for more income Social pressure
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Major Challenges Declined livestock, manure and increased reliance on fertilizers Declined pasture land and increased reliance on market for animal feed Declined production and productivity, leading small farmers to further poverty
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Major Adaptation Practices Migration to nearby cities Increased dependence on subsidized fertilizers Crop Insurance Use of improved variety of seeds Loan dependence
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Findings from Other Stakeholders’ Survey Perception about occurrence of climate change A key phenomenon observed over the past several decades Intensity of climate change Occurrences of Natural Hazards
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Continued… Perception of climate change impact Changes in duration of seasons Increase in average atmospheric temperature Increase in frequency of natural calamities
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Perception on Adaptive Steps taken by Farmers Switching to climate resilient agriculture oFinger millet, Pearl millet etc. less sensitive to ambient temperature and CO2 content But following mitigating strategies not adopted: o Reducing methane emissions from rice fields o Practicing better livestock management
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Perception on What Farmers need to do Replace water intensive crops Increase adoption of water and soil conservation measures Cultivate crops less sensitive to temperature and carbon dioxide concentrations Diversify crops and use insurance as coping strategies
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Way Forward Focus on pro-poor policies Bridge the gap of SAARC initiatives Create a corpus fund - to raise resources that address adaptation strategies suitable to the country Boost intraregional trade Facilitate trans-boundary learning to quickly disseminate techniques
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Thank You!
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