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A Study of Crime Rates from the Past Decade – By Willson Buchanan.

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Presentation on theme: "A Study of Crime Rates from the Past Decade – By Willson Buchanan."— Presentation transcript:

1 A Study of Crime Rates from the Past Decade – By Willson Buchanan

2  Population has increased from 180,697 in 2000 to 221,675 in 2009  Persons below poverty level in 2008: 13.8% or 30,591 people ◦ 13.4% or 28,557 people ◦ Average in NC: 14.6% ◦ Median income in 2008: $51,292

3  Highest Property Crime Rate in the State ◦ Burglary ◦ Larceny ◦ Motor Vehicle Theft ◦ Arson  One of the Highest Violent Crime Rates in the State ◦ Murder ◦ Rape ◦ Robbery ◦ Aggravated Assault  Highest Overall Crime Rate in North Carolina ◦ Not the highest amount of crimes, just the most per person

4

5 20062009

6 20062009

7 Index RateViolent Rate Property Rate 8,341.50882.47,459.00 7,869.80884.66,985.20 7,379.90854.36,525.60 7,522.30767.46,754.90 6,731.90715.36,016.60 6,606.60688.75,917.90 6,640.50855.45,785.10 6,438.50739.75,698.80 6,304.207605,544.30 5,965.206485,317.10

8 Year Murder Rate Rape Rate Robbery Rate Assault Rate Burglary Rate Larceny Rate MVT RateArson Rate 200012.639.3427.2403.31,818.605,036.70603.827.5 200114.435.5453.73811,695.904,753.40535.921.6 200214.636.74283751,496.804,507.50521.317.2 20039.932.8391333.61,642.404,617.40495.224.2 200414.138.9361.5300.71,517.804,061.10437.622.7 200515.738.5278.8355.81,466.204,014.8043720.7 20067.142.2417.9388.31,441.603,824.10519.322.5 200711.534.8334.43591,639.103,610.20449.515.2 20089.931.4364.1354.61,548.203,610.50385.613.9 20098.527.2287.1325.21,608.403,385.50323.213.2

9 Lenoir CountyAvery County

10 MecklenburgGuilford

11  The Police?  Unemployed Persons?  Self-Improvement?

12  Increase of 46,392 people in Durham from 2000 to 2009, a 20.8% increase ◦ North Carolina averaged 26.6%  Total Employees, Fulltime sworn policemen and civilians, increased from 555 to 608  Result? ◦ In 2000 there were 478 citizens for every sworn police officer ◦ In 2009 there were 586 Citizens for every sworn police office ◦ Crime has decreased with fewer police officers per citizen…

13  Increased from 3% to 5% from 2000 to 2003  Decreased to 3.5% by 2007  Increased to 8.5% by 2009  Result ◦ Crime has decreased during a time of economic depression.

14  The status report in 2007 suggested that the city had been able to: ◦ create 5000 new jobs ◦ create$1 billion dollars in investments ◦ grow tax revenues ◦ improve downtown entertainment ◦ increase road circulation ◦ create new county government facilities  Result ◦ The city has been able to continually improve upon itself during the economic crises. ◦ There are, however, towns and cities that have a decreased amount of crime and are not employing the same techniques as Durham…

15  There has been an overall decrease in crime in Durham ◦ Fewer Police ◦ Fewer Jobs ◦ But a City model for improvement  There are many more factors that exist in determining the crime decrease ◦ Could it be that the bad guys are in jail?  Canada had a similar unexplained effect without an increase in cops or people in jail…  There isn’t a great explanation yet or proof that points one way or another

16  U.S. Census Bureau - http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/37/37063.h tml http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/37/37063.h tml  http://crimereporting.ncdoj.gov/Reports.aspx http://crimereporting.ncdoj.gov/Reports.aspx  Durham Police Department Crime Mapper - http://gisweb.durhamnc.gov/gis_apps/CrimeData/ds p_entryform.cfm http://gisweb.durhamnc.gov/gis_apps/CrimeData/ds p_entryform.cfm  Durham Downtown Master Plan - https://courses.duke.edu/webapps/portal/frameset.j sp?tab_id=_2_1&url=/webapps/blackboard/execute/l auncher%3ftype%3dCourse%26id%3d_94796_1%26url %3d https://courses.duke.edu/webapps/portal/frameset.j sp?tab_id=_2_1&url=/webapps/blackboard/execute/l auncher%3ftype%3dCourse%26id%3d_94796_1%26url %3d  http://tierneylab.blogs.nytimes.com/2007/02/16/th e-crime-mystery/ http://tierneylab.blogs.nytimes.com/2007/02/16/th e-crime-mystery/


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