1. Pinkerton C&I
Eric Davis-Fernald
Director

2. Managing Risk
“The expert mind misses much, the beginners mind is open to all possibilities”
Zen Saying

3. Managing Risk
“The human mind inconsistently evaluates risk (fear) thus more systematic methods must be applied”
Gil Fronsdal

4. Topics for Today Ramifications of 11 September
Recent Security Industry Change in Focus
Overarching Definition of Risk
Tools to Define the Threat

5. Aftermath Focus on External Threats Buzzwords
Business continuity shifted to survival
Large scale events / disasters
“Security Theater” – Bruce Schneier

6. Historical Definition of Risk
Consequence =
Risk

7. Change in Focus Risk Based Assessment
Clear, Holistic View of all Hazards
Gaps in Current Security
Critical Resources
Consequences of Adverse Actions
Levels of Deterrence
Risk Mitigation Recommendations

8. Current Definition of Risk
Threat x
Vulnerability x
Consequence =
Risk

9. Defining the Threat

10. CAP Index? Wide variety of information
Neighborhood demographic and physical housing data
FBI Uniform Crime Reports
National Crime Surveys
Local Law Enforcement data
Company crime loss reports from all of the major industries
It is important to note that race/religion/gender is NOT a factor

11. Glendale – Overview
189

12. What do the scores mean?
CAP Index's scores range from with one hundred (100) being the average for each geographic comparison.
A National Current CAP score of 189 means the address has a 1.8 times higher likelihood of a crime occurring there than the national average.
The County scores measure the address to the rest of the county in which it is found. This allows for an objective comparison when comparing a "high risk" location in a "high risk area", vs. a "high risk" location in an otherwise low risk area.

13. Glendale – Regional Comparison

14. National / State / County
The national score compares the crime risk at a specific location to the crime risk at "Main Street, USA". The national score allows you to compare multiple sites, regardless of location, to each other with a common baseline.
The state score compares a location to the rest of the properties in the state the site resides in, rather than to the country as a whole. We have found that clients operating multiple locations within the same state prefer this additional view of their risk.
The county score compares the location to the rest of the properties in the county the site resides in. Perceptions and anxieties about crime will be the result of experiences in that county, not the nation.

15. Marina del Rey
301

16. MDR – Regional Comparison

17. Beverly Hills
285

18. BH – Regional Comparison

19. Questions?