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Rebecca A. Maynard, Ph.D. University of Pennsylvania December 1, 2009.

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Presentation on theme: "Rebecca A. Maynard, Ph.D. University of Pennsylvania December 1, 2009."— Presentation transcript:

1 Rebecca A. Maynard, Ph.D. University of Pennsylvania December 1, 2009

2  Brief overview of the Kids Having Kids project  Review of the methodology  Summary of findings

3  Rationale High and rising rates of teenage pregnancy Increasing proportions of pregnant teens keeping and raising babies Most babies reared by single mothers Most babies reared in poverty  Goal Document the consequences of kids having kids Estimate the costs of teenage childbearing

4  Single parent households Welfare dependence Poverty  Low school completion rates  Child abuse and neglect  Poor child outcomes

5  University of Chicago’s Harris School  Nationally prominent scholars  Research and policy advisors  Cost analysis overlay  First edition 1997  Second edition 2007

6 Call to Action: Births per 1000 Pre 1992 guttmacher.org/pubs/2006/09/12/USTPstats.p

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8 Birth Before Age 18Birth Age 18 - 19Total 140,761281,282422,023 First Birth 126,471210,312336,783 Higher Order 14,29070,97085,240

9  Consequences for Teenage Mothers  Consequences for Fathers of Children Born to Teenage Mothers  Consequences for Children Social and psychological Abuse and neglect Criminal activity Adult earnings  Consequences for Taxpayers and Society  Evidence of Effective Prevention Strategies

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11  Perspectives Teenage mothers Taxpayers Society (distribution neutral)  Assigning value/cost to some consequences E.g., incarceration spells; administrative costs of welfare; foster care; education of children  Aggregating over families Accounting for compositional effects and cohort size  Steady-state accounting  5% annual discount

12  Productivity Mother Father Children  Child Support  Public Assistance Cash/near cash  Criminal justice  Out-of-pocket health care costs

13  Tax revenues Mother Father Children  Public Assistance Cash/near cash Medical  Foster care  Special education  Criminal justice

14  Productivity Mother Father Children  Public service administration Cash/near cash Medical  Foster care  Special education  Criminal justice

15  Sexual activity risk:100 21 studies/ 40 estimates  Similar results across four types of programs

16  Pregnancy risk:100 24 studies/ 34 estimates  Small impacts  Significant only for multi-component youth development programs 3 studies/6 estimates

17  Pregnancy  :100 13 studies/ 25 estimates  Small average impacts  Impacts distributed across various program models

18  There are real costs of teenage childbearing Borne by taxpayers and society, not the teens  Solutions are not obvious Health and sex ed seems necessary, but not sufficient Social norms seem to play an important role  Consider testing more differentiated interventions


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