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Importance of Javakhq. Why Should We Care? 1. Final Siege.

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Presentation on theme: "Importance of Javakhq. Why Should We Care? 1. Final Siege."— Presentation transcript:

1 Importance of Javakhq

2 Why Should We Care?

3 1. Final Siege

4 Tough Neighborhood!!!

5

6 Meskhetian Turks Meskhetian Turks lived in Javakhq

7 Meskhetian Turks Meskhetian Turks lived in Javakhq In 1944, Stalin deports Meskhetian Turks.

8 Meskhetian Turks Meskhetian Turks lived in Javakhq In 1944, Stalin deports Meskhetian Turks In 1999, Georgian government obliges to repatriate Meskhetian Turks by 2016, now numbering 200,000

9 Question: If de-Armenization of Javakhq succeeds, who will be the new settlers?

10 Question If de-Armenization of Javakhq succeeds, who will be the new settlers? Answer Meskhetian Turks

11 Consequences

12 Land link between Turkey and Azerbaijan Complete encirclement and blockade of Armenia by a Turkish element –Armenia ceases to be a viable state and becomes an “Armenian reservation” –The population of Armenia emigrates and, eventually, becomes assimilated –Final stage of the Genocide is complete

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16 Final Solution!!!

17 2. Transportation Corridor A.Export Route B.Transportation Projects

18 A.Armenia’s Export Routes

19 What are Armenia’s Options of Export Routes?

20 Turkey Blockade Azerb Blockade

21 What are Armenia’s Options of Export Routes? Turkey Blockade Azerb Blockade Iran Long/ Expensive Sanctions Turkish Population

22 What are Armenia’s Options of Export Routes? Turkey Blockade Azerb Blockade Iran Long/ Expensive Sanctions Turkish Population Georgia Short/ Cheap Good International Relations Armenian Minority

23 Currently, Georgia is Armenia’s Primary Export Route

24 “Armenian” Javakhq Guarantee of Armenia’s open communication routes to the outside world Serious restrain on Tbilisi from deepening its strategic partnership with Turkey and Azerbaijan

25 B.Transportation Projects Baku – Tbilisi – Ceyhan (BTC) oil pipeline Baku – Tbilisi – Erzerum (BTE) gas pipeline Kars – Alhalkalak – Tbilisi -Baku (KATB) railroad Kars – Alhalkalak – Tbilisi - Baku highway (planned)

26 BTC/BTE Pipeline Route BTC/BTE are Azerbaijan’s primary source of income

27 KATB Railroad Route To Baku Kars Gyumri Akhalkalak

28 KATB Railroad Goals Connect Turkey and Azerbaijan (Turkish control), bypassing the Kars - Gyumri railroad (Armenian control) Isolate Armenia and strengthen its blockade Increase flow of Turks and Georgians into Javakhq (service personnel and security forces) to push out the Armenian population

29 Solution Support and assist local Armenians so they remain in Javakhq –By not emigrating, they will continue constituting majority population Republic of Armenia will continue to assert control over Javakhq and all its transportation routes –Armenia’s control over regional transportation corridors increases its influence in the region

30 Q & A


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