1. 1 Gary Boetticher, Ph.D. Co-chair boetticher@cl.uh.edu Promise 2006 Tim Menzies, Ph.D. Co-chair tim@menzie.us

2. 2 Past, future 2004: –Predictive Software Modeling, Chicago, Jelber Sayyad Shirabad, Tim Lethbridge, Stan Matwin 2005: –Promise data repository on-line http://promise.site.uottawa.ca/ SERepository/ –Promise1, St Louis (with ICSE) Tim Menzies & Jelber –IEEE Software Special Issue (Nov’05) The Promise of Public Software Engineering Data Repositories Guest Editor: Bojan Cukic 2006: –Promise2, Philadelphia (with ICSM) Gary Boetticher & Tim & ICSM 2007: –Promise3, Minnesota (with ?ICSE) You? & Gary & Tim ICSE workshop proposals due Oct 6

3. 3 Some details Last thing today: discussion –Are we living up to the promise of PROMISE? –Should there be a PROMISE 2007? 2006 Proceedings –On CD, at web site –Authors retain copyright Sorry, no special issue this year –Submission base needs to be wider –Promise’06 & Promise’07 authors can submit A.M. & P.M. coffee: –With ICSM (with thanks) Dinner tonight –We’ll buy. Where to go? Receipts: see Tim M.

4. 4 What makes PROMISE different? Put up or shut up –If you conclude X, give others enough information to check X SE experiments –Repeatable, refutable, improvable Promise repository –http://promise.site.uottawa.ca/ SERepository/ –2004: “It’ll never work”- Lionel Briand, –2006 Currently, 2 dozen data sets

5. 5 Challenges Where is the science? –Currently, no repetition Where are the new technologies? –Text mining –Feature subset selection –Bayes nets –SVDDs –Etc Where are the landmark results? –Stop sweating the petty things E.g. 2% mean accuracy improvements –Report significant improvements over older work

6. 6 Are we getting the big picture? We are software engineers. Practitioners Where are studies on the feedback loop? What are the impacts of our learned theories on: –An evolving model? –The organization?

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8. 8 Invited Speaker Predictive Models in Software Engineering: State-of-the-Art, Needs, and Challenges –Lionel Briand Ph.D. Carleton University Software Quality Engineering Laboratory, Ottawa, Canada –Canada Research Chair in Software Quality Engineering, –co-editor in chief of Empirical Software Engineering: An International Journal –“I am now a proud Canadian (or should I say Canadien) though I still have a weakness for pungent cheeses. (well, nobody is perfect and I did not have to give it up to become a "canuck".)”