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Published byRobert Hutchinson Modified over 11 years ago
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This presentation includes forward-looking statements. Actual future conditions (including economic conditions, energy demand, and energy supply) could differ materially due to changes in technology, the development of new supply sources, political events, demographic changes, and other factors discussed herein (and in Item 1 of ExxonMobils latest report on Form 10-K). This material is not to be reproduced without the permission of Exxon Mobil Corporation. The Outlook for Energy A View to 2030 Danny Vermeulen Public Affairs Manager Belgium & Luxembourg High Level Group on the competitiveness of the European Chemicals Industry Ad hoc group on Energy, Feedstock and Logistics Brussels, 15 January 2008
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2 Global Economics and Energy
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3 World Energy Demand to 2030
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4 Global Power Generation Demand
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5 Global Light Duty Vehicle Fleet
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6 Global Transportation Demand
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7 Global Industrial Demand
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8 Global Residential / Commercial Demand
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9 World Energy Demand and Supply
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10 Global Oil Resource Base USGS 1984 USGS 1987 USGS 1991 USGS 1994 ExxonMobil 2006 USGS 2000 0 5 3 1 2 4 Trillion Barrels Frontier Conventional Produced YE 2005
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11 Liquids Supply and Demand
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12 Equally large and small
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13 World Energy Demand – Primary Energy Supplies
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14 World Energy and CO 2 Emissions
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15 Global CO 2 Emissions
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16 Summary
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17 Conclusion
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18 THANK YOU !
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19 BACK - UP
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20 Long-term objective: –Reduce risk of serious impacts at reasonable cost to society Near-term objectives: –Promote energy efficiency –Promote deployment of existing technologies that reduce GHG emissions –Support research and development of low-GHG technologies –Support climate research to reduce uncertainties and pace response Policy Framework for Managing Risks of Climate Change
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21 Reducing Emissions: What does ExxonMobil? Saline Aquifers Depleted Oil & Gas Reservoirs Coal Beds Pipelines Energy-efficiency Carbon Capture and Storage Cleaner vehicles Breakthrough Research
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22 Policy Design - First Principles Ensure any cost of carbon is uniform across the economy and predictable Maximize use of markets Minimize complexity to reduce administrative costs Maximize transparency to companies and consumers Promote global participation –Consider priorities of developing world –Recognize impacts of imbalances among national policies Adjust in the future to developments in climate science and the economic impacts of climate policies
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