1. Bob Black Life401.com bob@bobblackdistrict4.com robertblack401@live.com

2. Climate Change Real Science

3. Factors FactorDegree of Human Control Output of the sun None Particles in the air Some Gasses in the air Some The orbit tilt None The orbit eccentricity None Relation tilt to apogee vs perigee None The building of cities and paving Complete Our location in the plane of the galaxy None

4. Earth Temperature gain ( Loss ) = Sun –Reflected - Radiated

5. It all starts with the sun Our sun is a variable star

6. Near term Ulysses spacecraft showed a 50 year low in solar wind. Recently we had a 55 year low in radio emissions from the sun

7. Orbital effects Eccentricity 400, 123 and 95 thousand years Oval makes the earth away more than near Annual cooling when away will be more than heating when away Axis tilt 41 thousand years Less tilt means cooler poles Cooler poles grow ice and cause cooling Precession (Tip to orbit position) 23 and 19 thousand years More land north of the equator than south Summer heating vs winter cooling In and out of the plane of the galaxy 63 million years

8. Things in the atmosphere Major green house gasses Carbon Dioxide Methane Major anti green house gas: Sulfur Dioxide Major green house particle: Soot Major reflectors: Fine dust Smoke ( South and East Asia ) Both: Clouds

9. Green house gasses Mona Loa Carbon Dioxide measurements

10. Recent data GISS – Goddard Institute for Space Studies and home of James Hansen, Hadley Centre – British Meteorological Office research centre UAH – The University of Alabama, Huntsville, home of Roy Spencer with his colleagues including John Christy of NASA and RSS – Remote Sensing Systems in Santa Rosa, California, a company supported by NASA for the analysis of satellite data

11. Attempts at prediction Judith Lean (NRL) and David Rind (NASA/GISS) Measured temperature Black Model predicted temperature Orange Pacific currents Purple Volcanoes Blue CO 2 in Red Sun output in Green Predicts the past with 76% of accuracy

12. Sum of effects Low sun output is now cooling Higher Carbon Dioxide is now heating Low levels of Sulfur Dioxide is heating Fine particles are cooling Larger particles are heating Orbit is warming Paving and building is warming

13. Science Conclusion Climate has always been changing Humans are having an effect but it is overwhelmed by natural processes With enough factors we are able to predict the past in the short term with 76 % accuracy The future is less predictable Some changes can be fast

14. Future climate disruption Super volcano Certain Cometstrike we can’t stopCertain Lunatics with Nuclear bombsProbable Sun output low causing ice ageCertain Plane of Galaxy coolingCertain Run away green house effectNot Known Any of the above will cause famine

15. High temperature mitigation Sea level Flood the Quatrra Depression ( sp?) (-436ft.) Increase the level of the dead sea (-1,200 ft to surface) Dams Atmospheric Gasses Seed the sea with iron Bury yard waste and organic waste Burn Hydrogen Sulfide in high altitude aircraft Wealth

16. Questions?

18. Solar output Data from Radio carbon dating