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Data SnapShot Series 1.0 February 2015 DATA SNAPSHOT Harrison County.

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Presentation on theme: "Data SnapShot Series 1.0 February 2015 DATA SNAPSHOT Harrison County."— Presentation transcript:

1 Data SnapShot Series 1.0 February 2015 DATA SNAPSHOT Harrison County

2 2 Hometown Collaboration Initiative This report is a product of the Purdue Center for Regional Development and is intended to support the Indiana Hometown Collaboration Initiative (HCI). HCI is funded, in part, by the Indiana Office of Community and Rural Affairs.

3 Table of contents Introduction 01 Demography 02 Economy 03 Labor Market 04

4 ​ Purpose ​ About Harrison County 01 introduction

5 5 Purpose ​ This document provides information and data about Harrison County that can be used to guide local decision- making activities. ​ The Data SnapShot showcases a variety of demographic, economic and labor market information that local leaders, community organizations and others can use to gain a better perspective on current conditions and opportunities in their county. ​ To strengthen the value and usability of the information, we showcase the data using a variety of visual tools such as charts, graphs and tables. In addition, we offer key points about the data as a way of assisting the user with the interpretation of the information presented. ​ Finally, short takeaway messages are offered at the end of each section in order to highlight some of the more salient findings. Introduction section 01

6 6 About Harrison County Introduction section 01 County Background Established1808 County Seat Corydon Area487 sq. mi. Neighboring Counties Crawford, IN Floyd, IN Hardin, KY Jefferson, KY Meade, KY Washington, IN

7 ​ Population change ​ Population pyramids ​ Race ​ Ethnicity ​ Educational attainment ​ Takeaways 02 demography

8 8 Population change Components of Population Change, 2000-2013 Total Change3,292* Natural Increase1,678 International Migration283 Domestic Migration1,526 The total population is projected to increase by 10 percent between 2013 and 2020. Demography ​ Sources: STATSIndiana, U.S. Census Bureau – 2000 Decennial Census, 2010 Decennial Census, 2013 Estimates, Estimates of the Components of Resident Population Change section 02 The total population in Harrison County increased by 14 percent between 2000 and 2013. Natural increase (births minus deaths over that span of time) and domestic migration (the difference between the number of people moving into the county versus moving out) were both major contributors to that expansion. Natural increase showed a net growth of almost 1,700 people, while domestic in-migration outpaced out-migration by more than 1,500 people. International migration also had a net increase of almost 300, indicating that the county experienced an influx of new people from outside the U.S. Total population projections 2000201020132020 *Estimation residuals are leading to a total change in population that differs from the sum of the components.

9 9 Population pyramids Population pyramids are visual representations of the age distribution of the population by gender. Approximately 50.2% of the population was female in 2000 (17,226) and that percent remained about the same in 2013. What did change is the distribution of people across the various age categories. A larger share of people shifted into the higher age groupings over the 2000 to 2013 time period. Demography ​ Source: U.S. Census Bureau – 2000 Decennial Census and 2013 Annual Population Estimates section 02 In particular, people 60 and over swelled from 6.8% to 10.3% for males, and from 8.5% to 11.8% for females between 2000 and 2013. Individuals of prime working age (20-49 years old) took a dip from 21.9% to 18.7% for males, and from 21.7% to 18.5% for females. Also dropping in percentage points were people under 19 years old. Male Female 20132000 Male Female

10 10 Race The number of non-White residents in Harrison County increased by one percentage point between 2000 and 2013. Every race experienced a numerical increase, with Whites gaining the most people. Of the non-White population, Black and Mixed Descent races gained the most people, resulting in the expansion of the population of Other Races from one percent to two percent of the total population between 2000 and 2013. Demography ​ Source: U.S. Census Bureau – 2000 Decennial Census and 2013 Annual Population Estimates section 02 2000 2013

11 11 Ethnicity Hispanics are individuals of any race whose ancestry is from Mexico, Puerto Rico, Cuba, Spain, the Dominican Republic or any other Spanish- speaking Central or South American country. There were 336 Hispanics residing in Harrison County in 2000. This figure expanded to 672 by 2013—a 100 percent increase. As a result, Hispanics now make up two percent of the overall population (versus one percent in 2000). Demography ​ Source: U.S. Census Bureau – 2000 Decennial Census and 2013 Annual Population Estimates section 02 2%2% 1%1% Hispanics - 2000 Hispanics - 2013

12 12 Educational attainment Harrison County witnessed a 3% increase in the proportion of adults (25 and older) with an associates, bachelors, or graduate degree from 2000 to 2013. The proportion of adults 25 years of age and older with a high school education or more improved from 80 percent in 2000 to 88 percent in 2013. Residents with less than a high school education fell by eight percentage points, and those with some college education rose by one percentage point from 2000-2013. The number of adults with a college degree or more increased from 19 percent in 2000 to 22 percent in 2013. This was due to a small increase in the percent with Associate’s Degrees and persons with a Bachelor's degree and above. Demography ​ Source: U.S. Census Bureau – 2000 Decennial Census and 2013 ACS section 02 2000 2013

13 13 Takeaways ​ The population of Harrison County is expected to grow over the next few years, and if past trends hold, that increase will be largely due to both natural increase (more births than deaths) and domestic migration (more people moving into than out of the county). ​ While Harrison County’s population has been growing over the 2000-2013 period, it has also been aging. Despite positive growth in its population resulting from domestic migration, the population pyramids show that the county has lost several people in the 20-29 and 30-39 age categories, and those in the under 20 age grouping. ​ While the population remains largely white and non-Hispanic, the racial and ethnic diversity has ​ been slowly increasing in Harrison County. As such, finding ways to address the needs and opportunities of a diversifying population will be important. The chances are quite strong that the diversity of the county is likely to continue. ​ The educational attainment of adults 25 and over has improved since 2000, but the number with a only a high school education continues to be high (at 44%). Determining if this could be a barrier to economic growth is a topic worthy of examination. ​ Harrison County may want to explore the mix of services and amenities that will be vital to retaining and attracting educated young adults, including the availability of good quality jobs. Demography section 02

14 ​ Establishments ​ Industries ​ Occupations ​ Income and poverty ​ Takeaways 03 economy

15 15 Establishments Components of Change for Establishments Total Change (2000-11) 1,337 Natural Change (births minus deaths) 1,269 Net Migration 68 The number of establishments in Harrison County doubled between 2000 and 2011. The rapid growth of establishments was largely due to natural change. Only a handful were due to gains from net migration. As such, 3,016 establishments were launched in the county between 2000-2011 while 1,679 closed, resulting in a gain of 1,337 establishments. Economy ​ Source: National Establishment Time Series (NETS) – 2012 Database section 03 An establishment is a physical business location. Branches, standalones and headquarters are all considered types of establishments. Definition of Company Stages 0 1 2 3 4 Self- employed 2-9 employees 10-99 employees 100-499 employees 500+ employees Note: The 2011 figures use 2012 data to include all gains and losses over the entire year. Establishment information was calculated in-house and may differ slightly from publicly available data.

16 16 Number of establishments by stage/employment category Economy ​ Source: National Establishment Time Series (NETS) – 2012 Database section 03 20002011 StageEstablishmentsProportionEstablishmentsProportion Stage 0 47031%1,01736% Stage 1 83656%1,61057% Stage 2 17412%1937% Stage 3 111%90% Stage 4 30%2 Total 1,494100%2,831100% Note: The 2011 figures use 2012 data to include all gains and losses over the entire year.

17 17 Number of jobs by stage/employment category Economy ​ Source: National Establishment Time Series (NETS) – 2012 Database section 03 20002011 StageJobsProportionJobsProportion Stage 0 4703%1,0177% Stage 1 3,02122%4,73431% Stage 2 4,22331%4,90432% Stage 3 2,52018%1,90612% Stage 4 3,60926%2,80018% Total 13,843100%15,361100% Note: The 2011 figures use 2012 data to include all gains and losses over the entire year.

18 18 Amount of sales (2011 dollars) by stage/employment category Economy ​ Source: National Establishment Time Series (NETS) – 2012 Database section 03 20002011 StageSalesProportionSalesProportion Stage 0 $53,746,1993%$67,343,7764% Stage 1 $354,621,28420%$358,383,72324% Stage 2 $491,690,56228%$469,845,69531% Stage 3 $356,392,40021%$211,304,64914% Stage 4 $478,120,69528%$398,942,30026% Total $1,734,571,141100%$1,505,820,143100% Note: The 2011 figures use 2012 data to include all gains and losses over the entire year.

19 19 Top five industries in 2013 55.5 percent of jobs are tied to one of the top five industries in Harrison County. Government is the largest industry sector (2,187 jobs). Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing, and Hunting is the smallest of the top industry sectors with 1,071 jobs. All of the top five industries in Harrison County, except Government, lost jobs between 2002 and 2013. Of these, Manufacturing lost the most (-42.5%), followed by Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation (-30.5%). Government experienced a 11.5% gained in jobs over the time period. Economy ​ Source: Economic Modeling Specialists International (EMSI) – 2014.3 – QCEW Employees, Non-QCEW Employees, Self-Employed, and Extended Proprietors section 03

20 20 Industry distribution and change NAICS Code Description Jobs 2002 Jobs 2013 Change (2002-2013) % Change (2002-2013) Ave. Earnings 2013 11Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting 1,2461,071-175-14%$32,558 21Mining, Quarrying, & Oil & Gas Extraction 140105-35-25%$53,503 22Utilities 11294-18-16%$90,731 23Construction 799783-16-2%$25,600 31-33Manufacturing 2,8761,654-1,222-42%$46,154 42Wholesale Trade 3304138325%$42,721 44-45Retail Trade 2,1091,663-446-21%$23,425 48-49Transportation & Warehousing 4775466914%$45,365 51Information 11488-26-23%$44,519 52Finance & Insurance 4305027217%$51,511 53Real Estate & Rental & Leasing 2593589938%$23,516 54Professional, Scientific & Technical Services 402379-23-6%$30,239 55Management of Companies and Enterprises 4121-20-49%$48,925 56Administrative & Waste Management 492396-96-20%$19,325 61Educational Services (Private) 14660-86-59%$25,885 62Health Care & Social Assistance 8309118110%$32,696 71Arts, Entertainment & Recreation 2,4621,712-750-30%$36,601 72Accommodation and Food Services 951994435%$16,983 81Other Services (except Public Administration) 8311,00217121%$15,711 90Government 1,9622,18722511%$44,841 99Unclassified Industry 0000%$0 AllTotal 17,01114,939-2,072-12%$34,202 Economy ​ Source: Economic Modeling Specialists International (EMSI) – 2014.3 – QCEW Employees, Non-QCEW Employees, Self-Employed, and Extended Proprietors section 03

21 21 Industry distribution and change The largest employment gains in Harrison County occurred in:  Real Estate and Rental and Leasing (+38.2 percent)  Other Services (+20.6 percent) The largest employment losses occurred in:  Educational Services, private (-58.8 percent)  Management of Companies and Enterprises (-50.0 percent) Economy ​ Source: Economic Modeling Specialists International (EMSI) – 2014.3 – QCEW Employees, Non-QCEW Employees, Self-Employed, and Extended Proprietors section 03 Employment Increase Employment Decrease Industries with the largest gains and losses in employment numbers between 2002 & 2013: Government (+225) Other Services (+171) Manufacturing (-1,222) Arts & Recreation (-750) Retail Trade (-446)

22 22 Top five occupations in 2013 The top five occupations in Harrison County represent 49.8 percent of all jobs. Sales & Related (1,846 jobs) and Management (1,584 jobs) are the top two occupations in Harrison County. Food Preparation & Serving Related occupations is the smallest of the top five occupations with 1,295 jobs. All five top occupations in Harrison County had a decrease in jobs between 2002 and 2013. However, Office & Administrative Support lost the most (-19%), followed by Personal Care (-12.5%). Economy ​ Source: Economic Modeling Specialists International (EMSI) – 2014.3 – QCEW Employees, Non-QCEW Employees, Self-Employed, and Extended Proprietors section 03

23 23 SOCDescription Jobs 2002 Jobs 2013 Change (2002-2013) % Change (2002-2013) Hourly Earnings 2013 11Management 1,7521,584-168-10%$19.82 13Business & Financial Operations 440406-34-8%$25.31 15Computer & Mathematical 11385-28-25%$27.70 17Architecture & Engineering 16886-82-49%$31.06 19Life, Physical & Social Science 5247-5-10%$27.79 21Community & Social Service 15416064%$19.13 23Legal 49601122%$27.23 25Education, Training & Library 765685-80-10%$19.98 27Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports & Media 359328-31-9%$14.92 29Health Care Practitioners & Technical 49860811022%$32.10 31Health Care Support 23834410645%$13.11 33Protective Service 329308-21-6%$15.54 35Food Preparation & Serving Related 1,3711,295-76-6%$10.48 37Building & Grounds Cleaning Maintenance 570543-27-5%$10.36 39Personal Care & Service 1,4891,303-186-12%$10.63 41Sales & Related 2,0351,846-189-9%$14.06 43Office & Administrative Support 1,7401,409-331-19%$14.83 45Farming, Fishing & Forestry 10186-15-15%$11.34 47Construction & Extraction 740713-27-4%$14.63 49Installation, Maintenance & Repair 651580-71-11%$18.03 51Production 2,0531,189-864-42%$15.63 53Transportation & Material Moving 1,1711,075-96-8%$16.15 55Military 116126109%$19.11 99Unclassified 58741628%$12.01 AllTotal 17,01114,939-2,072-12%$16.14 Occupation distribution and change Economy ​ Source: Economic Modeling Specialists International (EMSI) – 2014.3 – QCEW Employees, Non-QCEW Employees, Self-Employed, and Extended Proprietors section 03

24 24 Occupation distribution and change Economy ​ Source: Economic Modeling Specialists International (EMSI) – 2014.3 – QCEW Employees, Non-QCEW Employees, Self-Employed, and Extended Proprietors section 03 The largest percentage gains in jobs in Harrison County occurred in:  Healthcare Support (+44.5 percent)  Unclassified (+27.5 percent) The largest percentage loss in employment occurred in:  Architecture and Engineering (-48.8 percent)  Production (-42.1 percent) Occupations with the largest gains and losses in employment between 2002 & 2013: Healthcare Practitioners (+110) Healthcare Support (+106) Production (-864) Office & Administrative Support (-331) Employment Increase Employment Decrease

25 25 Income and poverty 200020062013 Total Population in Poverty 7.2%8.7%13.0% Minors (up to age 17) in Poverty 9.5%13.0%17.3% Real Median Income (2013) $58,432 $56,182 $50,321 The median income in Harrison County dipped by $8,000 between 2000 and 2013 in real dollars (that is, adjusted for inflation). Both the total population in poverty and the number of minors in poverty nearly doubled between 2000 and 2013. Economy ​ Source: U.S. Census Bureau – Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE) section 03

26 26 Income and poverty Median income in Harrison County has decreased in recent years, while poverty has continued to increase. Economy ​ Source: U.S. Census Bureau – Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE) section 03

27 27 Takeaways ​ Growth in the number of establishments in Harrison County occurred in businesses with fewer than 10 employees (the self- employed and Stage 1 enterprises). These are two components of the local economy that are often overlooked, but may deserve closer attention by local leaders. ​ Harrison County might focus on policies and programs that strengthen high-growth Stage 2 firms since they employ several people and capture sizable sales. ​ Government and healthcare industries are employment growth areas for Harrison County. But the large declines in manufacturing industry jobs paying good wages (average of $46,000 a year) and production-related jobs (average wages of $16/hour) between 2002 and 2013 may have contributed to falling median income levels over that time period. Because real median income has decreased and poverty has nearly doubled in Harrison County since 2000, services targeted to poverty-stricken individuals and households should be considered. This is especially an issue for the expanding number of children in poverty. Promoting job growth for occupations requiring educated workers could help retain adults with higher educational attainment and help increase median income. Economy section 03

28 ​ Labor force and unemployment ​ Commuteshed ​ Laborshed ​ Takeaways 04 labor market

29 29 Labor force and unemployment 20022013 Labor Force 18,74719,731 Unemployment Rate 4.7%7.0% The labor force in Harrison County increased by 5.2 percent between 2002 and 2013. It is likely that some of the new entrants to the labor force were not able to find jobs, leading to the concurrent increase in the unemployment rate. Labor market ​ Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics – Local Area Unemployment Statistics section 04

30 30 Unemployment rate Unemployment increased dramatically after 2007, peaking at 9.2% in 2009. Since that time, the rate has been on a slow but steady decline, dipping to 7.0% by 2013. Labor market ​ Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics – Local Area Unemployment Statistics section 04

31 31 Commuteshed A county’s commuteshed is the geographic area to which its resident work force travels to work. Seventy-six percent of employed residents in Harrison County commute to jobs located outside of the county. Jefferson County, Kentucky, is the biggest destination for residents who work outside of Harrison County. Thirty-nine percent of out-commuters work in counties adjacent to Harrison County; however, the fourth largest work destination outside Harrison County is the Indianapolis metropolitan area (Marion County), while the fifth largest is the Evansville metropolitan area (Vanderburgh County). Labor market ​ Source: U.S. Census Bureau – Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics (LEHD) section 04 14,102 Out-Commuters 4,393 Same Work/ Home CommutersProportion Jefferson, KY 4,13122.3% Floyd, IN 2,52513.7% Clark, IN 1,91010.3% Marion, IN 5953.2% Vanderburgh, IN 3241.8%

32 32 Commuteshed in 2011 Labor market section 04 ​ Source: U.S. Census Bureau, OTM, LEHD, PCRD Seventy percent of Harrison County’s working residents are employed either in Harrison, Floyd, or Clark Counties in Indiana or Jefferson County, Kentucky. Another five percent commute to Marion or Vanderburgh Counties. An additional five percent travel to jobs in Allen, Crawford, Monroe, Tippecanoe, or Washington Counties. Collectively, these eleven counties represent 80 percent of the commuteshed for Harrison County.

33 33 Laborshed CommutersProportion Floyd, IN 9539.5% Jefferson, KY 7577.6% Clark, IN 7147.2% Crawford, IN 4574.6% Washington, IN 3583.6% Labor market ​ Source: U.S. Census Bureau – Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics (LEHD) section 04 5,587 In-Commuters 4,393 Same Work/ Home A county’s laborshed is the geographic area from which it draws employees. Fifty-six percent of individuals working in Harrison County commute from another county. Forty-eight percent of in-commuters reside in counties adjacent to Harrison County. Floyd County, Indiana, and Jefferson County, Kentucky, are the biggest sources of laborers outside of Harrison County.

34 34 Laborshed in 2011 Labor market section 04 ​ Source: U.S. Census Bureau, OTM, LEHD, PCRD The bulk (70 percent) of Harrison County’s workforce is drawn from Harrison, Floyd, and Clark Counties in Indiana or Jefferson County, Kentucky. Another five percent is drawn from Crawford County in Indiana. An additional five percent comes from Washington and Marion Counties in Indiana and Meade County in Kentucky. Combined, the eight counties represent 80 percent of Harrison County’s laborshed.

35 35 Takeaways ​ Harrison County’s unemployment rate has increased since 2002, swelling to over 9% in 2009. The majority of this increase occurred during the period of the Great Recession (approximately 2008—10). The rate has since been decreasing. ​ Concurrent with population increases, the county’s labor force has increased since 2002. However, the increased unemployment rate indicates that new entrants to the labor force may be experiencing difficulties finding a job. ​ Employees that work but do not live in Harrison County tend to commute from surrounding counties. People who commute out of the county for work often travel to other metropolitan areas. ​ Harrison County should assess if a major workforce development training effort should be targeted to the growing number of working age adults struggling to find jobs. Furthermore, determining the human capital attributes of workers who commute to jobs outside the county might be insightful. It may provide the information needed to determine how best to reduce the leakage of educated and skilled workers to surrounding counties. ​ The laborshed and commuteshed data offer solid evidence of the value of pursuing economic and workforce development on a regional (multi-county) basis. Labor market section 04

36 36 Report Contributors This report was prepared by the Purdue Center for Regional Development in partnership with Purdue University Extension. Data Analysis Indraneel Kumar, PhD Ayoung Kim Report Authors Elizabeth Dobis Bo Beaulieu, PhD Report Design Tyler Wright Jennifer Helfrich

37 ​ FOR MORE INFORMATION Purdue Center for Regional Development (PCRD)... seeks to pioneer new ideas and strategies that contribute to regional collaboration, innovation and prosperity. Purdue Extension Community Development (CD)... works to strengthen the capacity of local leaders, residents and organizations to work together to develop and sustain strong, vibrant communities. Please contact Annette Lawler County Extension Community Development Educator 812-738-4236 aclawler@purdue.edu PCRD Mann Hall, Suite 266 Purdue University 765-494-7273 pcrd@purdue.edu OR


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