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March 13, 2006 Health Care Provides Opportunity for Progressives January 24, 2007 SEIU/CAPAF Survey of Six Senate States, Eight House Districts – 11/07.

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Presentation on theme: "March 13, 2006 Health Care Provides Opportunity for Progressives January 24, 2007 SEIU/CAPAF Survey of Six Senate States, Eight House Districts – 11/07."— Presentation transcript:

1 March 13, 2006 Health Care Provides Opportunity for Progressives January 24, 2007 SEIU/CAPAF Survey of Six Senate States, Eight House Districts – 11/07 Democracy Corps National Survey – 5/07

2 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Page 2 | Strong Base of Support for Reform

3 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Very SeriousSerious Total Serious Rising health care costs623092 The federal deficit513283 Employers cutting back contributions for employees health insurance and pensions 463884 Rising gasoline costs453378 The growing gap between the rich and everybody else442872 Job losses to China and India393675 The situation with home sales, foreclosures and house prices383775 High taxes36 72 Stagnant wages and salaries and people squeezed by rising prices33 66 Unemployment213657 For each issue I want you to tell me whether today you think it is a very serious problem, a serious problem, not too serious a problem, or not a problem at all in the current economy? Rising health care costs most serious economic concern *Note: Data from Democracy Corps poll conducted 9/16-9/18/07 of 1,000 likely voters nationwide.

4 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Over 60% see health care costs as a very serious problem in the economy I am going to read you a list of issues relating to the economy. For each issue I want you to tell me whether today you think it is a very serious problem, a serious problem, not too serious a problem, or not a problem at all in the current economy? *Note: From Democracy Corps surveys conducted over the last several years.

5 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Page 5 | Do you support or oppose reforming our current health care system to provide affordable health coverage for all Americans? Overwhelming Majorities Support Health Care for All SenateHouse

6 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Page 6 | Firm Supporters: Those who supported reforming our current health care system to provide affordable health coverage for all Americans if it meant government taking a much larger role in our health care system AND that you would have to pay more in taxes. Conditional Supporters: Those who initially supported reform, but dropped their support in the face of greater government involvement OR higher taxes. Firm Opponents: Those who opposed any reforms to current health care system. Reform: Firm Supporters vs. Conditional Supporters Would you support or oppose reforming our current health care system to provide affordable health coverage for all Americans… if it meant government taking a much larger role in our health care system… and if it meant that you would have to pay more in taxes?

7 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Page 7 | Senate: Supporters Offer Progressives an Opportunity Would you support or oppose reforming our current health care system to provide affordable health coverage for all Americans if it meant government taking a much larger role in our health care system [and] if it meant that you would have to pay more in taxes? *Note: Data from combined run of six Senate seats.

8 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Page 8 | Strong Support For Universal Coverage With Mandates +43 68 25 Let me tell you about a proposal to reform the health care system in this country. This plan would require businesses to either cover their employees or make a contribution to a pool that help fund health care coverage for the uninsured. It would require all Americans to get health insurance and provide subsidies for Americans who could not afford it. It would also make insurance more affordable by creating new tax credits, expanding Medicaid and taking steps to contain health care costs. Having heard this, do you favor or oppose this proposal?

9 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Page 9 | Voters Also Support a Single-Payer System Let me tell you about a proposal to reform the health care system in this country. This plan would use what some people call a single-payer health care plan. Under this plan, you still would be able to see your own doctor, just like under Medicare, but the federal government would pay the health care costs for all Americans. This would require a significant tax increase, but all of your current health care costs and insurance premiums would be covered by the government. Having heard this, do you favor or oppose this proposal? +14 55 41

10 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Page 10 | But Split When Read Attack On Single-Payer Statement 2: We need to make changes to our health care system, but we cannot put it in the hands of the government. While health care accounts for 15 percent of our economy, a government takeover is a radical move that will reduce quality of care and eliminate a patients choice of doctor. Statement 1: Now is the time for single payer health insurance that is funded and administered by the U.S. government. This Canadian- style system would guarantee affordable health care coverage for all Americans and reduce costs by streamlining the administration of health care. Now Im going to read you some pairs of statements. As I read each pair, please tell me whether the FIRST statement or the SECOND statement comes closer to your own views, even if neither is exactly right:

11 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Page 11 | But Split When Read Attack On Single-Payer Now Im going to read you some pairs of statements. As I read each pair, please tell me whether the FIRST statement or the SECOND statement comes closer to your own views, even if neither is exactly right: -3 46 49 *Note: Data from Democracy Corps national survey.

12 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Page 12 | Democrats Win Health Care Debate Big

13 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Page 13 | A Democratic plan that would guarantee affordable health insurance for all Americans. This plan would lower costs throughout the system, and allow people to choose between their current coverage or several private and public insurance options. Critics say this plan will cost too much and lead to higher taxes and government-run health care. A Republican plan that would offer people tax credits and savings accounts to purchase private insurance and lower their costs in the private market. This plan would not require more government involvement in health care. Critics say this plan will leave millions of people without coverage or at risk of losing it and will only help wealthier Americans. Democratic and Republican Approaches To Health Care After hearing elements of both plans, which health care plan do you support more:

14 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Page 14 | After hearing elements of both plans, which health care plan do you support more: Senate: Democratic Plan Preferred in Key Races +33 Net +24 +22 +17 +12 +22

15 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Page 15 | After hearing elements of both plans, which health care plan do you support more: House: Democratic Plan Preferred in Key Races +33 Net +21 +19 +16 +2

16 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Page 16 | Cost and Choice Top List of Health Care Concerns and Values

17 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Page 17 | Costs: Health care costs are too high for American Families Too Many Without Coverage: There are too many people without health coverage Insurance Companies: Insurance companies have too much red tape and often deny necessary care Malpractice Lawsuits: Malpractice lawsuits are putting doctors out of business Government Involvement: There is too much government involvement in health care Losing Coverage: It is too easy to lose your coverage at any time Problems With The Current System Thinking again about the American health care system, which of the following is the ONE biggest problem with the current system? (Combined Percent Responding 1st or 2nd choice)

18 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Page 18 | Thinking again about the American health care system, which of the following is the ONE biggest problem with the current system? (Combined Percent Responding 1 st or 2 nd choice) Senate: The Problem: Cost, Then Insurance Companies and Coverage *Note: Data from combined run of six Senate seats.

19 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Page 19 | Fundamental Right: Healthcare is a fundamental right – every American should be guaranteed coverage that can never be taken away Choice of Doctors: Every American should have a choice of doctors and hospitals Shared Responsibility: Individuals, businesses and government have a shared responsibility for covering health care costs Should be Private: Americas health care system should be private and market-driven, not government run Business Not Hurt: American businesses should not be hurt by health care costs Values To Guide Reform Thinking about health care reform, which ONE of the following values is the most important in guiding health care reform. (Combined Percent Responding 1st or 2nd choice)

20 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Page 20 | Thinking about health care reform, which ONE of the following values is the most important in guiding health care reform. (Combined Percent Responding 1st or 2nd choice) Senate: Health Care Values by Party: Choice is Key Fundamental Right Choice of Doctors Shared Responsibility Should be Private Business Not Hurt *Note: Data from combined run of six Senate seats. 59 55 53 39 47 43 69 43 21 27 49 12 14 19 12

21 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Page 21 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner 21 Lowering health care costs Knowing I will always have health care coverage Maintaining choices and seeing my own doctor +32 Security of Coverage Most Important to Personal Priorities +19 Improving quality +17 *Note: Data from Democracy Corps national survey. Thinking about your own health care priorities, which is more important to you?

22 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Page 22 | Democratic Elements Popular

23 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Page 23 | Strongly Support Total Support Require insurance companies to offer coverage at a fair price, regardless of age, medical history, or pre-existing condition 6384 Give all Americans a choice of keeping what they have now or joining a national insurance pool that offers a choice of private and public plans, including the same options that Members of Congress receive 4475 Provide refundable tax credits to ensure that no one pays more than 5 to 7 percent of their income on health insurance 4375 Expand Medicaid and the State Children's Health Insurance Plan to cover all low-income Americans 4370 Require all businesses to provide health care for their employees or contribute to a fund to help pay for their coverage 4270 Give all Americans a choice of keeping what they have now or joining a national insurance pool that offers a choice of private and public plans, including a plan like Medicare 4073 Now I'd like to read you some elements from a health care plan proposed by the Democrats in Congress. Please tell me if you support or oppose each of these elements House: Key Elements of Democratic Plan *Note: Data from combined run of eight House seats.

24 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Page 24 | Strongly Support Total Support Provide tax credits for lower income families to help them afford coverage4879 Reform malpractice laws to rein in frivolous lawsuits against doctors4673 Expand the use of Health Savings Accounts that allow families to set aside some money to pay health expenses tax-free 4474 Deregulate insurance markets by allowing people to shop for insurance across state lines 4274 Provide families up to a 15,000 dollar tax deduction to help them afford coverage 3871 Offer block grants to states to encourage them to develop their own innovative solutions 2157 Now I'd like to read you some elements from a health care plan proposed by the Republicans in Congress. Please tell me if you support or oppose each of these elements House: Republican Elements *Note: Data from combined run of eight House seats.

25 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Page 25 | Democratic Messages Generally Outperform GOP Messages

26 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Page 26 | Security: In the current system it is too easy to lose your coverage at any time. Under our plan, families will have the security of knowing that if they become ill or lose their jobs they will never lose their coverage Discrimination: Under the current system, Americans are at the mercy of insurance companies. Our plan gives the power back to the American people and prohibits insurance companies from discriminating and denying coverage. Universal Coverage: 47 million Americans lack health insurance. We have a moral obligation to change that an our plan does. We will make sure every man, woman and child has coverage they can afford. Bureaucracy/Choice: Our plan build on the private system we now have. It preserves full choice of your plan and your doctor and it does so without creating any new government bureaucracy. Top 4 Democratic Messages Let me read you some statements Democrats in Congress make in support of their health care plan. Please tell me if each statement would make you more or less likely to support the Democratic plan. (Messages paraphrased)

27 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Page 27 | Tort Reform: The explosion of frivolous lawsuits forces doctors to practice defensive medicine and drives up cost. By ending lawsuit abuse we will bring the cost of medicine down and let doctors get back to work. Affordability: Under our plan, if your family buys its own insurance you can deduct $15,000 from your taxes. This will mean real financial relief and make health insurance more affordable for American families. Individual Choice: Its your health, you should make your own decisions. Our plan empowers Americans to make their own choices to families can purchase as much or as little private insurance as they need. Markets: Our plan promotes a private system. By empowering million of Americans to make their own decisions, the free market will accomplish what the government cant – lower costs and higher quality. Republican Messages Let me read you some statements Republicans in Congress make in support of their health care plan. Please tell me if each statement would make you more or less likely to support the Republican plan. (Messages paraphrased)

28 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Page 28 | House: Democratic Messages Resonating Democratic Messages Discrimination Security Markets Bureaucracy/Choice Universal Coverage Tort Reform Affordability Individual Choice Republican Messages Let me read you some statements Democrats/Republicans in Congress make in support of their health care plan. Please tell me if each statement would make you more or less likely to support the Democratic plan. (Percent Responding Much/Somewhat More Likely) *Note: Data from combined run of eight House seats.

29 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Page 29 | Dem Attacks Perform Well. GOP Immigration Attack Potent, Must Be Addressed

30 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Page 30 | Doesnt Fix The Problem: The Republican plan doesn't actually fix the problem. It won't provide coverage for the 47 million Americans without insurance and it won't reduce costs for the average American. The only thing it does is give big tax shelters to the very wealthy. Helps The Wrong People: The Republican plan will be great for the healthiest and wealthiest Americans, but it will leave most Americans in dire straits. Most Americans would see few benefits from the Republicans' tax incentives, and those who need the most help affording coverage could see the few option they have now disappear. Greed and Risk: The Republican plan would create an every-man-for-himself system dominated by profit and greed. It will leave you at the mercy of big insurance companies, who will favor the wealthy and healthy over the middle-class and those most in need of care In the Pocket of Insurance Companies: The Republicans have taken millions of dollars from the big insurance companies. When they were in charge of Congress and the White House they did nothing to fix the system and now they are trying to stop meaningful reform in order to protect insurance company profits Top 4 Democratic Health Care Attacks Let me read you some criticisms some people make about the Republicans' health care plan. Please tell me whether these statements raise very serious doubts, serious doubts, minor doubts or no real doubts in your own mind about the Republican candidate's plan.

31 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Page 31 | Immigration: The Democrats want to expand government health insurance to everyone, including illegal immigrants and their families. Their plan would raise your taxes to help pay for a new benefit for those in this country illegally Tax and Spend: The Democrats' plan will cost over 100 billion a year. They admit that, to pay for it, they will raise taxes. This means you will end up paying more, not less, for health care Government Run: The Democrats want Washington bureaucrats to run our health care system. They'd put the people who managed Katrina and Walter Reed in charge of your health care. Socialism: The Democrats don't believe in free markets or the American people. Instead, they believe in a government-run socialist system that promotes "one-size- fits all" health care, waiting lists like they have in France, and a destruction of private medicine Top 4 Republican Health Care Attacks Let me read you some criticisms some people make about the Democrats health care plan. Please tell me whether these statements raise very serious doubts, serious doubts, minor doubts or no real doubts in your own mind about the Democratic candidate's plan.

32 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Page 32 | Debate Favors Democrats

33 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Page 33 | Vertical Generic Question wording text goes in a box like this Net: +2 Net: +7 House: Marginal Vote Shift Towards Democrats Let me ask you again, thinking about the election for U.S. Congress in 2008, if the election for Congress were held today, would you be voting for (Democratic Candidate) or (Republican Candidate)? Overall Vulnerable/Winnables *Note: Data from combined run of eight House districts. For each state, where each partys candidate has already been clearly determined, that candidates name was inserted. Where the candidate has not been clearly determined, Democratic candidate or Republican candidate was inserted instead.

34 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Page 34 | Conclusions

35 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Page 35 | Democrats Poised To Formulate Dominant Position… Strong base of support for comprehensive reform -- health care for all Democrats dominate big picture debate -- solving the big problems (cost, insurance companies and lost coverage) Poised to win values debate too – fundamental right, choice and shared responsibility Most Democratic proposals, messages are powerful Offset Republican attacks on choice, tax and immigration. Engaging in debate moves electorate

36 February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Click to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level Click to edit Master title style February 10, 2014 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Page 36 | www.greenbergresearch.comWashington, DC 10 G Street NE, Suite 400 Washington, DC 20002 Ph: +1 202 478 8300 Fax: +1 202 478 8301 California 50 California Street, Suite 1500 San Francisco, CA 94111 Ph: +1 415 277 5403 Fax: +1 415 358 9599 London, UK 405 Carrington House, 6 Hertford Street London, UK W1J 7SU Ph: +44 (0) 207 499 5204 Fax: +44 (0) 207 499 5284


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