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HART RESEARCH ASSOTESCIA Key findings from a nationwide survey among 1,006 voters conducted January 18 – 22, 2013 for Progressive Tax Reform: Still A Winning.

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Presentation on theme: "HART RESEARCH ASSOTESCIA Key findings from a nationwide survey among 1,006 voters conducted January 18 – 22, 2013 for Progressive Tax Reform: Still A Winning."— Presentation transcript:

1 HART RESEARCH ASSOTESCIA Key findings from a nationwide survey among 1,006 voters conducted January 18 – 22, 2013 for Progressive Tax Reform: Still A Winning Budget Message

2 Progressive Tax Policy: A Winning Budget Message—January 2013—Hart Research for 2 The richest 2% Large corporations The middle class April 2012 70% 18% 6% 66% 18% 6% 7% 55% 34% Should pay MORE in taxesPay the right amount in taxesShould pay LESS in taxes Voters Still Want Top 2% To Pay More Taxes

3 Progressive Tax Policy: A Winning Budget Message—January 2013—Hart Research for 3 Candidate who favors raising taxes on wealthy and large corporations Candidate who opposes any increase in taxes All voters Raise taxes on wealthy/ corporations 83% 47% 30% 60% 50% 61% No tax increase 11% 34% 58% 30% 38% 29% Pro-Tax Candidate Beats No-New-Taxes Candidate Democrats Independents Republicans Obama states Romney states 2014 Senate target states Which candidate would you be more likely to support on taxes? Results were identical in April 2012: 56% to 33%.

4 Progressive Tax Policy: A Winning Budget Message—January 2013—Hart Research for 4 On January 1, Congress passed a bill to address the “fiscal cliff.” With which statement about the fiscal cliff and taxes do you agree more? The fiscal cliff bill raised taxes on the rich enough, and now the wealthy should not have to pay any more in taxes Candidate who opposes any increase in taxes All voters We still need to do more to make sure the wealthy pay their fair share of taxes Voters: After Fiscal Cliff, We Still Need To Do More To Make Sure Wealthy Pay Fair Share Bill raised taxes on rich enough 11% 25% 50% 27% 30% 25% Still need to do more so wealthy pay fair share 82% 55% 34% 60% 56% 64% Democrats Independents Republicans Obama states Romney states 2014 Senate target states

5 Progressive Tax Policy: A Winning Budget Message—January 2013—Hart Research for 5 Which approach do you prefer for dealing with the deficit? Voters Reject A Cuts-Only Approach In Favor Of Plan That Raises Revenue From Wealthy & Corporations Prefer a bill that only cuts spending with no increase in taxes Prefer a bill that increases tax revenue from wealthy and corporations and cuts spending +16

6 Progressive Tax Policy: A Winning Budget Message—January 2013—Hart Research for 6 Which approach do you prefer for dealing with the deficit? But Voters Want Mix Of Revenue And Spending Cuts, Not A Revenue-Only Package Prefer a bill that only cuts spending with no increase in taxes Prefer a bill that increases tax revenue from wealthy and corporations and does not cut spending -12 Voters worry about Democrats not getting spending under control (43%) as much as GOP cutting important programs too much (39%).

7 Progressive Tax Policy: A Winning Budget Message—January 2013—Hart Research for 7 Congress is considering legislation to reform the tax system by closing loopholes and limiting deductions for wealthy individuals. How should tax revenue raised from these reforms be used? Reduce the budget deficit and make public investments All voters Reduce tax rates Use Tax Reform Revenue For Public Investment And Deficit Reduction, Not Rate Cuts Reduce deficit; public investment 69% 66% 62% 68% 63% Reduce tax rate 21% 27% 24% 23% 22% Democrats Independents Republicans Obama states Romney states 2014 Senate target states

8 Progressive Tax Policy: A Winning Budget Message—January 2013—Hart Research for 8 Ensure big corporations pay fair share of taxes Close tax loopholes that benefit big corporations Ensure rich pay their fair share of taxes Reduce tax rates on all taxpayers Reduce tax rates on corporations * 9-10 ratings on zero-to-ten scale, 10 = extremely important goal Public’s Priorities on Taxes This should be a very important goal* for the new budget bill:

9 Progressive Tax Policy: A Winning Budget Message—January 2013—Hart Research for 9 On the next budget agreement, do you agree more with Democrats or with Republicans? DEMOCRATS: budget should include new tax revenue from limiting tax breaks for wealthy and corporations, in addition to spending cuts All voters Next Budget Agreement Should Include Revenue From Wealthy And Corporations REPUBLICANS: budget should include only spending cuts, with no increase in taxes on anyone Agree much more 35% Agree much more 23% 57% 39% Agree with Democrats 88% 54% 21% 60% 49% 57% Democrats Independents Republicans Obama states Romney states 2014 Senate target states Agree with Republicans 10% 37% 76% 36% 45% 40%

10 Progressive Tax Policy: A Winning Budget Message—January 2013—Hart Research for 10 Concerning budget and taxes, with which statement do you agree more? DEMOCRATS: “It's wrong to balance the budget on the backs of the middle class by relying only on cuts to vital programs such as Medicaid and education. Instead of taking away families' health care, we should limit tax deductions for the richest two percent. Instead of cutting funding for schools, let's end tax breaks for corporations that send jobs overseas. If we ask the rich and large corporations to pay their fair share, we can be fiscally responsible and protect the middle class." Democrats Win Debate Over Need For Revenue In Next Agreement REPUBLICANS: “Congress just passed a huge tax increase, and already President Obama is demanding more tax increases. But further tax hikes will kill jobs, hurt our economy, and endanger our children's future. Now we need to cut spending on the wasteful government programs that are the real source of our deficit. We don't have a deficit problem because we tax too little, we have it because we spend too much." Agree strongly 44% Agree strongly 29% 55% 37%

11 Progressive Tax Policy: A Winning Budget Message—January 2013—Hart Research for 11 Eliminate loophole that allows hedge fund mgrs to pay lower tax rate than middle class Place 5% surtax on income over $1 million per year Eliminate loophole that allows wealthy to avoid paying capital gains tax on inherited stocks/bonds Limit deductions for people making over $250,000/year Over $250K income: end lower tax rate on income from selling stocks/assets Over $250K income: end lower tax rate on dividend income from stocks 75% 55% 52% Strongly approve Somewhat approve 67% 60% Support For Tax Revenue from Wealthy 48% 73% favor (49% strongly) surtax on $10 million/more

12 Progressive Tax Policy: A Winning Budget Message—January 2013—Hart Research for 12 Increase tax on U.S. corp- orations’ overseas profits to ensure it is as much as tax on their U.S. profits Ensure all corporations pay at least 25% on profits earned overseas Close loopholes allowing corporations/wealthy to avoid U.S. taxes by shifting income overseas Prevent corporations from avoiding taxes when they award execs millions in stock options Establish small tax on all stock/bond/market trades (e.g., $3 on every $10K) Eliminate tax breaks for oil companies 83% 63% 62% Strongly approve Somewhat approve 77% 73% Strong Support For Progressive Corporate Tax Reform Policies 59%

13 Progressive Tax Policy: A Winning Budget Message—January 2013—Hart Research for 13 Cut spending on K-12 public education Cut Medicaid health program Reduce annual cost of living increase for Social Security benefits Raise age for Medicare eligibility from 65 to 67 83% 65% 80% Strong Opposition To Specific Spending Cuts 58% Strongly approve Somewhat approve Strongly disapprove Somewhat disapprove 39% 29% 17% 13%

14 Progressive Tax Policy: A Winning Budget Message—January 2013—Hart Research for 14 DEMOCRATS: “Limiting the tax breaks that wealthy people get will make the tax system more fair. It's not right that the wealthy receive a larger tax break than middle-class families when they have a home mortgage, contribute to a 401k, or pay property taxes." Concerning taxes, with which statement do you agree more? Democrats Have Winning Message On Limiting Tax Breaks For Wealthy Individuals Agree strongly 31% Agree strongly 39% 54% 42% +12 Democrats REPUBLICANS: "President Obama and the Democrats just raised taxes on small businesses and many families across America. Raising taxes again will not solve Washington's spending problem, it will only hurt our economy and destroy jobs."

15 Progressive Tax Policy: A Winning Budget Message—January 2013—Hart Research for 15 Corporate Tax Reform

16 Progressive Tax Policy: A Winning Budget Message—January 2013—Hart Research for 16 Tax rates on corporations should be higher Not sure Tax rates on corporations should be kept at the current level Tax rates on corporations should be lower 75% HIGHER/ SAME Little Support For Lowering Tax Rates On Corporations Democrats Independents Republicans Obama states Romney states 2014 Sen. targets Higher 67% 42% 29% 50% 44% 47% Lower 6% 19% 27% 16% 18% 18%

17 Progressive Tax Policy: A Winning Budget Message—January 2013—Hart Research for 17 Do you approve or disapprove of allowing corporations to not pay any U.S. taxes on profits that they earn in foreign countries? 73% Disapprove Strongly Agree 40% 20% Strong Opposition To Ending Taxation On Foreign Profits Of U.S. Corporations (Territorial Tax System) Strongly disapprove 57% Strongly approve 11% Approve

18 Progressive Tax Policy: A Winning Budget Message—January 2013—Hart Research for 18 Reduce rates on corporations 11% 10% 13% 10% 13% 8% For which one of these should tax revenue from closing corporate loopholes and limiting deductions be used? Reduce the budget deficit and make public investments Use Corporate Tax Reform Revenue For Public Investment And Deficit Reduction, Not Rate Cuts Reduce tax rates on corporations All voters Reduce deficit/ make public investments 84% 87% 79% 85% 80% 85% Democrats Independents Republicans Obama states Romney states 2014 Senate target states

19 Progressive Tax Policy: A Winning Budget Message—January 2013—Hart Research for 19 Concerning corporate tax rates, with which statement do you agree more? Raising Revenue From Corporations Is Winning Message For Democrats REPUBLICANS: “America has the highest income tax rates on businesses in the world. We need tax reform that broadens the base by eliminating loopholes, which will allow us to reduce corporate tax rates. This kind of pro-growth tax reform will make the system simpler, more fair, grow our economy, and raise more revenue." Agree strongly 44% Agree strongly 23% 58% 37% +21 Democrats DEMOCRATS: “Big corporations use their lobbyists and campaign contributions to rig the tax system in their favor. Profitable oil companies get billions in special tax breaks while large companies like General Electric and Verizon pay no federal income taxes some years. It's about time big corporations started living by the same rules as the rest of us."

20 HART RESEARCH ASSOTESCIA Key findings from a nationwide survey among 1,006 voters conducted January 18 – 22, 2013 for Progressive Tax Reform: Still A Winning Budget Message


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