Presentation is loading. Please wait.

Presentation is loading. Please wait.

Saleh Abdalla ECMWF, Reading, UK

Similar presentations


Presentation on theme: "Saleh Abdalla ECMWF, Reading, UK"— Presentation transcript:

1 Saleh Abdalla ECMWF, Reading, UK
TSUNAMI Saleh Abdalla ECMWF, Reading, UK

2 Main References: G.F. Carrier (1971): “The Dynamics of Tsunamis”, in “Mathematical Problems in the Geophysical Sciences” by W.H. Reid (Ed.), American Mathematical Society, Z. Kowalik, W. Knight, T. Logan, and P. Whitmore (2005): “Numerical Modeling of the Global Tsunami: Indonesian Tsunami of 26 December 2004”, Science of Tsunami Hazards, Vol. 23, No. 1, (freely available at: Tsunami

3 Program of the lecture:
4. Tsunamis 4.1. Introduction - Tsunami main characteristics. - Differences with respect to wind waves. 4.2. Generation and Propagation - Basic principles. - Propagation characteristics. - Numerical simulation. 4.3. Examples - Boxing-Day (26 Dec. 2004) Tsunami. - 1 April 1946 Tsunami that hit Hawaii Tsunami

4 INTRODUCTION

5 Introduction: Tsunami: A natural phenomenon of a series of waves generated when water in a lake or the sea is rapidly displaced on a massive scale. The term “tsunami” comes from the Japanese language meaning “harbour (tsu) wave (nami)”. Causes of tsunami: - Bottom movement (earthquake). - Submarine landslide. - Marine volcanic eruption. - Coastal landslide. - Meteorite. Tsunami

6 Introduction (cont’d):
Tsunami typical dimensions: - wave length of several hundreds of kilometres, - wave period of several minutes (up to an hour), - wave height of several tens of centimetres. Tsunami is a shallow water with wave speed of (g is acceleration due to gravity and D is the water depth)  typical tsunami speed in an ocean with 4000 m depth is 720 km/hr (200 m/s) Near the coast, the tsunami speed is much lower (e.g. for 40 m depth, the speed is 20 m/s)  shoaling (piling-up) while approaching the coast  wave height increases (can reach as high as 30 m!) Tsunami

7 While Approaching the Coast:
10.6 km 213 km 23 km metres 10’s cm Tsunami

8 Wave Classes and Scales:
1.0 10.0 0.03 3x10-3 2x10-5 1x10-5 Frequency (Hz) Forcing: wind earthquake moon/sun Restoring: gravity surface tension Coriolis force 1 2 Tsunami

9 Differences between Tsunami and Wind Waves (in deep ocean):
Tsunami Wind-Wave Generation: earthquake wind Restoration: gravity + Coriolis gravity Typical length: several 100’s km few cm’s-few 100 m’s Typical period: several minutes several seconds Typical speed: few 100 m/s few 10 m/s Water motion: almost linear motion orbital motion over a rather over the whole water “thin” layer at surface column. Tsunami

10 TSUNAMI GENERATION

11 Tsunami Generation Tsunami

12 TSUNAMI PROPAGATION

13 Tsunami Propagation: Linear, inviscid theory governing the propagation of gravity waves: v =  Continuity (conservation of mass):   xx + yy + zz = 0 Linearised boundary condition at the free surface: at y = 0  y(x,0,z,t) + tt(x,0,z,t) = 0 (gravity is in negative y). Unit time satisfies: g/L = 1, L is the unit of length. Take: L as the water depth  the bottom is at: y = -1. Free surface displacement, , (x,z,t) = y(x,0,z,t) Tsunami

14 Tsunami Propagation (cont’d):
At the bottom: y(x,-1,z,t) = F(x,z,t) F(x,z,t) is the prescribed vertical component of velocity of ground motion. Adopt a simple “fundamental source”, F, as: Fo(x,z,t) = ½ ()-½ exp(-x2/4) g(t) g(t) = is any function such that: -0 dt g(t) = 1 g(t  0) = g(t < -To) = 0 , To < time for wave to cross generation area. Following discussion is a simulation for tsunami generated in the Gulf of Alaska during the earthquake of 28 March 1964. Tsunami

15 Tsunami

16 Tsunami Propagation (cont’d):
x z zo -zo 4 ½ 2zo D B C Area over which early wave motion takes place: width = 4  ½ (in x-direction) length = 2 zo = 800 miles Motion starts at -zo and takes 5 min. to reach zo Crest-line aligns with CD and proceeds as if the ground motion was simultaneous at all z in (-zo, zo) but along CD line. Ground motion did not occur for - < zo <   equivalent to ground motion for the whole range but with lower amplitude proportional to (A½/x)½ , A=generation area Tsunami

17 Tsunami Propagation (cont’d):
Solution of the 3-D problem can be approximated as: 3D(x,y,z,t) = (A½/x)½ 2D(x,y,t) for z in the wedge-shaped region z < x/3 , x > 2A½ This solution is adequate for tsunami motion. (not so for the whole radiation pattern). Solution for: F (x,z,t) = Fo(x,z,t) - Fo(x+b,z,t) with suitable  and b values. Using Fourier transform, by choosing g(t) = (t), by adopting the Boussinesque theory and by sacrificing some of the accuracy, it is possible to find: where Ai denotes the Airy function.  = ½ (2/t)1/3 Ai {(2/t)1/3[x - t + (22/t)]} exp[(83/3t2)-(2 (t-x)/t)] Tsunami

18 Tsunami Propagation (cont’d):
Assessment of the effect of the lateral scale of the generating ground motion: For a Gaussian(-like) initial ground displacement,  (0, t),  (1000, t) for  = 90, 50, 30, 10, 0. (for 3000 m depth, they correspond to widths of generating area of 114, 85, 65, 38 and 0 km, respectively). For wide generating areas, the initial disturbance propagates without much of change. For narrow generating areas, (directional) dispersion plays an important role in producing extra crests. A more realistic forcing with: F (x,z,t) = Fo(x,z,t) - Fo(x+14,z,t) produces a second crest which is higher than the first (consistent with observations at Hawaii). Tsunami

19 Surface elevation for  = 90.0 (wide generation area)
x = 0 x = 1000 t Tsunami

20 Surface elevation for  = 50.0
x = 0 x = 1000 t Tsunami

21 Surface elevation for  = 30.0
x = 0 x = 1000 t Tsunami

22 Surface elevation for  = 10.0
x = 1000 t Tsunami

23 Surface elevation for  = 0.0 (narrow generation area)
x = 1000 t Tsunami

24 Surface elevation for  = 10.0 with more realistic ground displacement
F (x,z,t) = Fo(x,z,t) - Fo(x+14,z,t) higher second peak x = 1000 t Tsunami

25 Actual Tsunami Record December 26, 2004 Tsunami
as Recorded on the Depth Gauge of the Ship Mercator anchored 1 mile from coast of Phuket, Thailand. The time is in Hours and the depth in Meters. Tsunami

26 Actual record trough crest Same record but flipped Tsunami

27 Tsunami Propagation (cont’d):
Variable depth effects: scattering by bottom irregularities may not be important for tsunami propagation. submerged ridges may act as wave guides. Tsunami

28 NUMERICAL MODELLING OF TSUNAMI PROPAGATION

29 Numerical Modelling of Tsunami Propagation:
Navier-Stokes. Spherical coordinates:  = latitude,  = longitude and R = distance from the Earth’s centre. Define: z = R - Ro (Ro is the Earth radius = 6370 km) Vertically averaged continuity and equations of motion: Tsunami

30 Numerical Modelling of Tsunami Propagation (cont’d):
u = velocity in the  (E-W) direction. v = velocity in the  (N-S) direction.  = sea level  = bottom displacement g = acceleration due to gravity  = water density D = total water depth …. D = H +  -   = Earth’s angular velocity Coriolis parameter f = 2  sin b = bottom friction with components: and r = dimensionless bottom friction coefficient (~ 3.3x10-3) Tsunami

31 Solution: Numerical solution (e.g. finite difference).
Boundary conditions: - Dry points (land boundary): normal velocity is zero. - Wet points (edge of computational domain): radiation condition. Treatment of dynamic wetting and drying. For numerical considerations, time step is few seconds!  excessive computational CPU time. Tsunami

32 Source Function: Dislocation formulae require: - fault plane location, depth, strike, dip, slip, length & width - seismic moment and rigidity Several approaches to estimate the total rupture extent. (early estimates which are usually refined later). Tsunami

33 Boxing-Day Tsunami Simulation: Tsunami Propagation:

34 Boxing-Day Tsunami Simulation: Maximum Wave Height:

35 Boxing-Day Tsunami Simulation: Maximum Wave Height:

36 Boxing-Day Tsunami Simulation: Arrival Time (in hours)

37 Boxing-Day Tsunami: Observed Arrival Time (and Locations of Deep Ocean Buoys)

38 Tsunami Detection: Tidal Gauges (Boxing-Day Tsunami)

39 Tsunami Detection: Tidal Gauges (Boxing-Day Tsunami)

40 Tsunami Detection: Tidal Gauges (Boxing-Day Tsunami)

41 Tsunami Detection: Tidal Gauges (Boxing-Day Tsunami)

42 Tsunami Detection and Warning System: Deep-Ocean Assessment and Reporting of Tsunamis (DART)

43 Tsunami

44 seafloor bottom pressure recording (BPR) system
(detects tsunamis of 1 cm) moored surface buoy for real-time communications Tsunami

45 Tsunami

46 Tsunami Detection System:

47 Use of Satellites: Jason Altimeter (Boxing-Day Tsunami)

48 TSUNAMI DEVASTATION

49 Tsunami Generated by Earthquake of April 1, 1946, Aleutian Islands, Alaska and hit Hawaii (maximum rise of water was ~8 m in Hilo and as much as 12 m in other areas on the island of Hawaii)

50 Tsunami

51 Tsunami

52 Tsunami

53 Tsunami

54 Tsunami Generated by Earthquake of December 26, 2004, West of Sumatra (Boxing-Day Tsunami)

55 Incoming Tsunami! Tsunami

56 Meluaboh, May 18, and Jan. 7, 2005 Tsunami

57 Madras Aug. 14, 2002 and Dec. 29, 2004 Tsunami

58 Banda Aceh Northern Shore June 23, 2004 and Dec. 28, 2004
Tsunami

59 Banda Aceh Northern Shore June 23, 2004 and Dec. 28, 2004
Tsunami

60 Srilanka, Kalutara Beach, Dec. 26, 2004 Receding Water from tsunami

61 Srilanka, Kalutara Beach, Dec. 26, 2004 Receding Water from tsunami

62 No Tsunami Impact in Deep Open Sea:

63 Tsunami

64 END


Download ppt "Saleh Abdalla ECMWF, Reading, UK"

Similar presentations


Ads by Google