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Saleh Abdalla ECMWF, Reading, UK
TSUNAMI Saleh Abdalla ECMWF, Reading, UK
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Main References: G.F. Carrier (1971): “The Dynamics of Tsunamis”, in “Mathematical Problems in the Geophysical Sciences” by W.H. Reid (Ed.), American Mathematical Society, Z. Kowalik, W. Knight, T. Logan, and P. Whitmore (2005): “Numerical Modeling of the Global Tsunami: Indonesian Tsunami of 26 December 2004”, Science of Tsunami Hazards, Vol. 23, No. 1, (freely available at: Tsunami
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Program of the lecture:
4. Tsunamis 4.1. Introduction - Tsunami main characteristics. - Differences with respect to wind waves. 4.2. Generation and Propagation - Basic principles. - Propagation characteristics. - Numerical simulation. 4.3. Examples - Boxing-Day (26 Dec. 2004) Tsunami. - 1 April 1946 Tsunami that hit Hawaii Tsunami
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INTRODUCTION
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Introduction: Tsunami: A natural phenomenon of a series of waves generated when water in a lake or the sea is rapidly displaced on a massive scale. The term “tsunami” comes from the Japanese language meaning “harbour (tsu) wave (nami)”. Causes of tsunami: - Bottom movement (earthquake). - Submarine landslide. - Marine volcanic eruption. - Coastal landslide. - Meteorite. Tsunami
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Introduction (cont’d):
Tsunami typical dimensions: - wave length of several hundreds of kilometres, - wave period of several minutes (up to an hour), - wave height of several tens of centimetres. Tsunami is a shallow water with wave speed of (g is acceleration due to gravity and D is the water depth) typical tsunami speed in an ocean with 4000 m depth is 720 km/hr (200 m/s) Near the coast, the tsunami speed is much lower (e.g. for 40 m depth, the speed is 20 m/s) shoaling (piling-up) while approaching the coast wave height increases (can reach as high as 30 m!) Tsunami
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While Approaching the Coast:
10.6 km 213 km 23 km metres 10’s cm Tsunami
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Wave Classes and Scales:
1.0 10.0 0.03 3x10-3 2x10-5 1x10-5 Frequency (Hz) Forcing: wind earthquake moon/sun Restoring: gravity surface tension Coriolis force 1 2 Tsunami
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Differences between Tsunami and Wind Waves (in deep ocean):
Tsunami Wind-Wave Generation: earthquake wind Restoration: gravity + Coriolis gravity Typical length: several 100’s km few cm’s-few 100 m’s Typical period: several minutes several seconds Typical speed: few 100 m/s few 10 m/s Water motion: almost linear motion orbital motion over a rather over the whole water “thin” layer at surface column. Tsunami
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TSUNAMI GENERATION
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Tsunami Generation Tsunami
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TSUNAMI PROPAGATION
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Tsunami Propagation: Linear, inviscid theory governing the propagation of gravity waves: v = Continuity (conservation of mass): xx + yy + zz = 0 Linearised boundary condition at the free surface: at y = 0 y(x,0,z,t) + tt(x,0,z,t) = 0 (gravity is in negative y). Unit time satisfies: g/L = 1, L is the unit of length. Take: L as the water depth the bottom is at: y = -1. Free surface displacement, , (x,z,t) = y(x,0,z,t) Tsunami
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Tsunami Propagation (cont’d):
At the bottom: y(x,-1,z,t) = F(x,z,t) F(x,z,t) is the prescribed vertical component of velocity of ground motion. Adopt a simple “fundamental source”, F, as: Fo(x,z,t) = ½ ()-½ exp(-x2/4) g(t) g(t) = is any function such that: -0 dt g(t) = 1 g(t 0) = g(t < -To) = 0 , To < time for wave to cross generation area. Following discussion is a simulation for tsunami generated in the Gulf of Alaska during the earthquake of 28 March 1964. Tsunami
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Tsunami
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Tsunami Propagation (cont’d):
x z zo -zo 4 ½ 2zo D B C Area over which early wave motion takes place: width = 4 ½ (in x-direction) length = 2 zo = 800 miles Motion starts at -zo and takes 5 min. to reach zo Crest-line aligns with CD and proceeds as if the ground motion was simultaneous at all z in (-zo, zo) but along CD line. Ground motion did not occur for - < zo < equivalent to ground motion for the whole range but with lower amplitude proportional to (A½/x)½ , A=generation area Tsunami
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Tsunami Propagation (cont’d):
Solution of the 3-D problem can be approximated as: 3D(x,y,z,t) = (A½/x)½ 2D(x,y,t) for z in the wedge-shaped region z < x/3 , x > 2A½ This solution is adequate for tsunami motion. (not so for the whole radiation pattern). Solution for: F (x,z,t) = Fo(x,z,t) - Fo(x+b,z,t) with suitable and b values. Using Fourier transform, by choosing g(t) = (t), by adopting the Boussinesque theory and by sacrificing some of the accuracy, it is possible to find: where Ai denotes the Airy function. = ½ (2/t)1/3 Ai {(2/t)1/3[x - t + (22/t)]} exp[(83/3t2)-(2 (t-x)/t)] Tsunami
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Tsunami Propagation (cont’d):
Assessment of the effect of the lateral scale of the generating ground motion: For a Gaussian(-like) initial ground displacement, (0, t), (1000, t) for = 90, 50, 30, 10, 0. (for 3000 m depth, they correspond to widths of generating area of 114, 85, 65, 38 and 0 km, respectively). For wide generating areas, the initial disturbance propagates without much of change. For narrow generating areas, (directional) dispersion plays an important role in producing extra crests. A more realistic forcing with: F (x,z,t) = Fo(x,z,t) - Fo(x+14,z,t) produces a second crest which is higher than the first (consistent with observations at Hawaii). Tsunami
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Surface elevation for = 90.0 (wide generation area)
x = 0 x = 1000 t Tsunami
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Surface elevation for = 50.0
x = 0 x = 1000 t Tsunami
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Surface elevation for = 30.0
x = 0 x = 1000 t Tsunami
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Surface elevation for = 10.0
x = 1000 t Tsunami
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Surface elevation for = 0.0 (narrow generation area)
x = 1000 t Tsunami
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Surface elevation for = 10.0 with more realistic ground displacement
F (x,z,t) = Fo(x,z,t) - Fo(x+14,z,t) higher second peak x = 1000 t Tsunami
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Actual Tsunami Record December 26, 2004 Tsunami
as Recorded on the Depth Gauge of the Ship Mercator anchored 1 mile from coast of Phuket, Thailand. The time is in Hours and the depth in Meters. Tsunami
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Actual record trough crest Same record but flipped Tsunami
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Tsunami Propagation (cont’d):
Variable depth effects: scattering by bottom irregularities may not be important for tsunami propagation. submerged ridges may act as wave guides. Tsunami
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NUMERICAL MODELLING OF TSUNAMI PROPAGATION
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Numerical Modelling of Tsunami Propagation:
Navier-Stokes. Spherical coordinates: = latitude, = longitude and R = distance from the Earth’s centre. Define: z = R - Ro (Ro is the Earth radius = 6370 km) Vertically averaged continuity and equations of motion: Tsunami
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Numerical Modelling of Tsunami Propagation (cont’d):
u = velocity in the (E-W) direction. v = velocity in the (N-S) direction. = sea level = bottom displacement g = acceleration due to gravity = water density D = total water depth …. D = H + - = Earth’s angular velocity Coriolis parameter f = 2 sin b = bottom friction with components: and r = dimensionless bottom friction coefficient (~ 3.3x10-3) Tsunami
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Solution: Numerical solution (e.g. finite difference).
Boundary conditions: - Dry points (land boundary): normal velocity is zero. - Wet points (edge of computational domain): radiation condition. Treatment of dynamic wetting and drying. For numerical considerations, time step is few seconds! excessive computational CPU time. Tsunami
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Source Function: Dislocation formulae require: - fault plane location, depth, strike, dip, slip, length & width - seismic moment and rigidity Several approaches to estimate the total rupture extent. (early estimates which are usually refined later). Tsunami
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Boxing-Day Tsunami Simulation: Tsunami Propagation:
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Boxing-Day Tsunami Simulation: Maximum Wave Height:
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Boxing-Day Tsunami Simulation: Maximum Wave Height:
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Boxing-Day Tsunami Simulation: Arrival Time (in hours)
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Boxing-Day Tsunami: Observed Arrival Time (and Locations of Deep Ocean Buoys)
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Tsunami Detection: Tidal Gauges (Boxing-Day Tsunami)
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Tsunami Detection: Tidal Gauges (Boxing-Day Tsunami)
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Tsunami Detection: Tidal Gauges (Boxing-Day Tsunami)
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Tsunami Detection: Tidal Gauges (Boxing-Day Tsunami)
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Tsunami Detection and Warning System: Deep-Ocean Assessment and Reporting of Tsunamis (DART)
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Tsunami
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seafloor bottom pressure recording (BPR) system
(detects tsunamis of 1 cm) moored surface buoy for real-time communications Tsunami
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Tsunami
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Tsunami Detection System:
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Use of Satellites: Jason Altimeter (Boxing-Day Tsunami)
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TSUNAMI DEVASTATION
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Tsunami Generated by Earthquake of April 1, 1946, Aleutian Islands, Alaska and hit Hawaii (maximum rise of water was ~8 m in Hilo and as much as 12 m in other areas on the island of Hawaii)
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Tsunami
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Tsunami
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Tsunami
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Tsunami
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Tsunami Generated by Earthquake of December 26, 2004, West of Sumatra (Boxing-Day Tsunami)
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Incoming Tsunami! Tsunami
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Meluaboh, May 18, and Jan. 7, 2005 Tsunami
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Madras Aug. 14, 2002 and Dec. 29, 2004 Tsunami
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Banda Aceh Northern Shore June 23, 2004 and Dec. 28, 2004
Tsunami
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Banda Aceh Northern Shore June 23, 2004 and Dec. 28, 2004
Tsunami
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Srilanka, Kalutara Beach, Dec. 26, 2004 Receding Water from tsunami
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Srilanka, Kalutara Beach, Dec. 26, 2004 Receding Water from tsunami
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No Tsunami Impact in Deep Open Sea:
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Tsunami
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END
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