1. Economic Statistics Work Plan 2014-15 Mairi Spowage & David McPhee

2. OCEA OCEA – Graeme Roy Macroeconomic Policy Sean Neill Economic & Fiscal Modelling Simon Fuller National Accounts Mairi Spowage Business & Enterprise David McPhee Climate Change & Energy Colin MacBean

3. National Accounts

4. Reflection on 2013-14

5. Short-term Indicators National Accounts Unit 2014-15 Input -Output Scottish National Accounts Quarterly Series – GDP, IME & RSIS System Improvement & Data Development I-O Publication July Commonwealth Games Exp. development Oil & Gas Productivity GNI Budget 2015-16 - Carbon budget Customer Engagement I/O – GDP – QNA Reweight April-July Quarterly National Accounts GERS 2013-14 CGE Data Developments Preliminary Estimates ESA 2010 – Oct- March

6. Projects System Improvement & Data Development – Development of monthly processing system – Development of monthly seasonal adjustment & forecasting models (univariate ARIMA) – Investigate possibility of multivariate ARIMA (Glasgow Uni contract) – Development of automatic correction capability Preliminary Estimates (with support from JL/DH/SF) – Production of initial preliminary estimates for review [Autumn] – Further & more wide ranging peer review [Nov-Mar] Administration Stocktake & Improvement Short-term Indicators Core Business Quarterly Series – GDP, IME, RSIS – April & July Ad-hoc requests Customer Engagement

7. Project Related Budget 2015-16 – Impact Assessments & Environmental Satellite (Carbon Budget) Commonwealth Games – Impact Assessments CGE Data Development – 2 region rUK Social Accounting Matirix UK IxI Tourism Statistics Lead on ESA 2010 redevelopment Core Business I-O Publication July Ad-hoc Economic Impact Assessments Input-Output

8. Project Related QNA Publication Development – To meet UKSA requirements May- August Regional Accounts reconciliation Experimental Product Development – Oil & Gas Model – Productivity (first released 23 rd April) – GNI GERS 2013-14 – Work with HMRC & DFPNI April-October – Consultation on changes in October/November 2014 Core Business Quarterly National Accounts Ad-hoc requests Scottish National Accounts

9. Project Related Customer Engagement – Redevelopment of SESCG, in conjunction with business statistics – Engagement with key stakeholders – both existing and established, established but ready for improvement and also new. I/O – GDP – QNA Reweight – I/O & GDP released together in mid-July – Quarterly National Accounts in August on new basis ESA 2010 – Engagement with ONS during summer about their approach – Formulation of plan for our implementation Core Business Communications & Ministerial Engagement Ad-hoc briefing requests Overarching work

10. Business & Enterprise

11. Reflection on 2013-14

12. Business and Digital Unit Business & Digital Economics (LK, CW, RD) Internationalisation & rebalancing the economy Digital Economy measurement framework Business Statistics (RS, DC, MS, SD) Core Business statistics Growth Sector Reports Trade Statistics (GM, RB) GCS Developing other export and import analysis

13. Project Related Survey Improvements – Online collection, data processing improvements Review and develop sources used in Global Connections Survey Scoping and developing links between Global Connections Survey sources, other Business statistics sources and SDI management sources Review coverage of export and import statistics in Scotland Develop analysis of Global Connections Survey returns on barriers to exporting and assistance identified by companies to improve exporting/internationalisation Core Business Project manage collection and processing of Global Connections Survey Returns Statistical Support on trade statistics Quarterly Ministerial briefing on HMRC Regional Trade Statistics FOI-PQ-Comms-MACS Trade Statistics

14. Project Related Develop briefing for Growth Sectors Measurement framework for Scotland Can Do Support Cities analysis Working Futures Small Business Survey Working with SE, HIE and VS Core Business Statistical publications (BERD, GERD, BIS, SABS) Growth Sectors database Statistical support on business and enterprise statistics TTWA profiles and Cities briefing FOI-PQ-Comms-MACS Business and Enterprise Statistics

15. Project Related Business – Internationalisation (literature review of economic impact, characteristics of exporters, identifying hidden champions, Mittelstand) – City deals – Tourism (Homecoming 2014 evaluation, marketing measurement, advice on use of statistics) – Analytical support on Business Directorate constitutional work (CER, CCA and Consumer Ombudsman proposals) Digital – Digital economy measurement framework – Boost to the internet module of ONS Opinions and Lifestyle Survey – Developing the economic evidence for public sector investment in Smart Cities – Analysis on the measures of digital participation Core Business Sectoral trends industry and local authority economic profiles Monthly narrative on SME access to finance Lead analyst for SHS internet questions Two National Indicators (Improve digital infrastructure, widen use of internet) Support to Business and Digital Directorates Business and Digital Economics

16. Questions to consider What are we doing well that meets your needs? What should we focus our resources on more to better meet those needs?