1. Theresa Mortimer-Audit/Risk Manager Sara Armstrong – Senior Risk Management Advisor Internal Audit, Risk Management & Insurance Services Business Management Directorate A Risk Management approach to Climate Change

2. What questions do we now need to consider? Do you know what impact climate change could have on your area? Do your current policies, strategies and plans include provision for the impacts of climate change? Can you identify and assess the risks from climate change to your services? Are developments with a lifetime of more than 20 years required to factor in climate change? Are you addressing climate change in your local Community Strategy?

3. Is there a tool available to help me answer these questions and help me prioritise my limited resources? Risk Management!

4.  It is a continuous cyclical process whereby the council: identifies, assesses/evaluates, controls: and monitors potential opportunities and adverse effects that challenge the assets, reputation and objectives of the Council.  A central part of our strategic management.  It enables the Council to effectively manage strategic decision making, service planning and delivery to safeguard the well being of its stakeholders What is risk management?

5. Objectives Identify Monitor RiskManagementCycle Control Assess What is Risk Management?

6. What type of risks do we face?

7. Political Economic Social Technological Legislative & Regulatory Environmental Citizen Governance Information/Knowledge Competitive/Procurement Partnerships Contractual/Suppliers People Financial Physical Assets Service Continuity Health & Safety Programme/Projects Customer/Client Fraud Decision making Reputation Risk and Opportunity Rainbow

8. “.. I never saw a wreck and have never been wrecked, nor was I ever in any predicament that threatened to end in disaster of any sort” from a paper presented by EJ Smith, 1907 WHY DOES IT MATTER?

9. On 14 April 1912, SS Titanic sank with the loss of One of which was its captain… E J SMITH IT MATTERS! 1500 lives...

10. Drought Flood Extreme Rainfall Storm High Winds Cold/Snow/Ice Heat/Sun Fuel/Transport Energy Carbon/Greenhouse Gas emissions Biodiversity Clean Air/Pollutants Service delivery Insurance Financial Legal Market changes/demands for services People/health & Social care Procurement Planning Water Environmental Risks Waste

11. Climate Change Risks and Opportunities Markets: changing demand for goods and services Risks:  Decreased or disappearing demand for present range of goods and/or services  Competitors position enhanced by climate change Possible impacts:  Tourism; Mediterranean summer becomes too hot so more holidays taken in uk  Agriculture: More demand for warm weather food and drink products  Urban lifestyles: warmer summers encourage al-fresco eating, pavement cafes, siestas  Leisure: Less snow for winter sports  Hotter temperatures will put more pressure on leisure facilities such as pools and lidos. Opportunities/Controls/Mitigation  New products or modifications to existing products  Become an early mover to changed markets and lifestyles  Undertake market research and product/service development with climate change in mind Climate Change Risks and Opportunities

13. Finance: Implications for investments, insurance & stakeholder reputation Risks:  Failure to climate proof creates difficulties in securing investment and/or insurance cover  Potential liabilities if climate change is not factored into long term decisions about the future Possible impacts:  Insurance Policies: Check Insurers stance on undefended flood risks and impact on premiums  Future Developments: improved specification that takes account of future climate is likely to be cost effective in most cases Opportunities/Controls/Mitigation  Evidence of climate proofing enhances reputation with all stakeholders, provides security for investments and an opportunity to reduced insurance premiums Climate Change Risks and Opportunities

14. How has the impacts of climate change affected Gloucestershire County Council in respect of Insurance?

15. What types of claims are we now seeing? Long term dry conditions: –Drought affects trees- roots cause subsidence to properties and can create heave in pavements creating slips trips and falls Wet conditions: –Flooding –Drainage issues Increase in wind speeds: –Structural damage to buildings Extreme cold conditions: –Frozen pipes - escape of water

16. How much did the floods cost GCC in claims ? £2.7m

17. For every £1 paid on an insurance claim, hidden costs between £8 and £36 is spent on hidden costs The Cost of Risk!

18.  Lost production/work time following an incident  Staff absence following an incident  Administration costs following an incident  Loss of information/data/knowledge  Increased financial costs – reinstatement/continuity Hidden Costs

19.  Drainage  Tree Management Policy  Flood Resilience  Maintenance Programmes  Arson Prevention Programmes  Crime Prevention Programmes Does risk management work?

20.  Risk Management and Insurance services (RM&IS) used the risk management process to identify an emerging risk during 2006/07 which related to flood and water damage at schools. It was noted that the increased ‘incidents’ and insurance claims relating to this particular risk was significantly increasing.  RM&IS decided to insure against this emerging risk. This decision saved the council around £1.9m as a result of the recent flooding within GCC schools. Does risk management work? Insuring Schools against flood/storm damage

21. “The tender document painted a positive image of the Authority and Marsh are pleased to report that marketing the programme has achieved premium savings of 24% on a like for like cover basis compared with 2007/08 and 22% premium savings taking into consideration increased cover. In monetary terms this represented £402k savings on like for like cover and £373k savings with the increased cover”. Source - Marsh (Insurance Broker) In addition, the Insurer has provided £50k per year (over the next three years i.e. £150k) to expend on risk management initiatives. The premium savings and risk management funding provided are due to GCCs effective risk management arrangements/invest to save projects undertaken and excellent claims history. Does risk management work?

22.  Form part of the strategic & operational business planning process  Be part of performance management  Be part of financial planning  Form part of project initiation and project management processes  Consider risks in relation to partnerships  Inform policy and decision - making Risk Management should:

23. Risk, Risk Management & BCM BCM is a planned process aimed at managing the many and varied operational risks inherent in the day-to-day activities involved in delivering products / services.” The main purpose of the BCM process is to ensure continuity of product / service delivery following an unplanned disruption to normal working.

24. RISK MANAGEMENT BCM CORPORATE GOVERNANCE Risk, Risk Management & BCM

25. The overarching risks of climate change to us all is the risk to our reputation as a community leader and reliable provider of products and/or services or our ability to meet our statutory responsibilities

26. The overarching opportunities of climate change is to significantly enhance our green credentials and Corporate Social Responsibility

28. “Lets manage the risk not manage the damage”