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NASPD Fall Conference October 1-3, 2009 InterContinental Hotel – Chicago, IL “The Battle Against China Continues” Roger B. Schagrin Schagrin Associates.

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Presentation on theme: "NASPD Fall Conference October 1-3, 2009 InterContinental Hotel – Chicago, IL “The Battle Against China Continues” Roger B. Schagrin Schagrin Associates."— Presentation transcript:

1 NASPD Fall Conference October 1-3, 2009 InterContinental Hotel – Chicago, IL “The Battle Against China Continues” Roger B. Schagrin Schagrin Associates

2 How Does the World Trading System Handle One Mercantilist Economy and Other Free Trade Oriented Economies

3 Can the World Economy Thrive as the Second Largest Economy Manipulates its Currency?

4 United States Tight Credit China Unlimited Credit

5 Source: The New York Times – “Recovery Picks Up in China as U.S. Still Ails.” September 17, 2009

6 “The Battle Against China Continues” DOC AD/CVD Final on Circular Pipe and Mechanical Tubing Light Walled Rectangular Pipe and Tube from China, Antidumping and Countervailing Margins AntidumpingCountervailing Lets Win249.122.17 Quingdao Xhingxing249.12200.58 ZZPC264.6415.28 Separate Rate249.1215.28 Countrywide Rate264.6415.28 Circular Welded Carbon-Quality Steel Pipe and Tube from China, Antidumping and Countervailing Margins AntidumpingCountervailing Yulong85.5544.86 Shuangjie85.55615.92 China wide85.5537.22 Separate Rate69.2237.22 East Pipe69.2229.57 Kingland69.2244.86

7 “The Battle Against China Continues” DOC AD/CVD Final on Circular Pipe and Mechanical Tubing Circular Welded Small Diamter Line Pipe from China, Antidumping and Countervailing Margins AntidumpingCountervailing Huludao Companies73.87%31.29 Liaoning Northern Steel Pipe Co., Ltd.73.8740.05 All Others Rate101.1035.67 Welded Stainless Pressure Pipe from China, Antidumping and Countervailing Margins AntidumpingCountervailing Winner Companies55.211.10 Froch Enterprise Co., Ltd. (Zhangyuan Metal Industry Co., Ltd.55.21299.16 Zhejiang Jiuli Hi-Tech Metals Co., Ltd.10.531.10 All Others Rate55.211.10

8 “The Battle Against China Continues” Circular Welded Pipe from China 1 Import Volume (Net Tons) 2005200620072008 348,122715,728748,1818,607 Circular Welded Line Pipe from China 2 Import Volume (Net Tons) 2005200620072008 27,673224,357280,820118,131 Light Walled Rectangular Tubing 3 Import Volume (Net Tons) 2005200620072008 39,94581,65788,879632 Welded Stainless Pressure Pipe 4 Import Volume (Net Tons) 2005200620072008 14,39423,71230,3716,700 1 Case filed June 7, 2007 2 Case filed April 2, 2008 3 Case filed June 27, 2007 4 Case filed January 28, 2008

9 OCTG CVD Preliminary Margins 1)Changbao – 24.33% 2)TPCO – 10.90% 3)Wuxi Seamless – 24.92% 4)JianLi – 30.69% 5)All Other – 21.33 % Issued by the U.S. Department of Commerce on September 9, 2009

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