1. Trends in Aquaculture Rohana Subasinghe FAO, Rome

4. 9 billion by 2050!

7. Aquaculture vs. Capture Fisheries Production
158m
66m
91m

8. Capture Aquaculture 2011: 62.7 million MT 2012: 66.5 million MT

9. Aquaculture production
Americas, Europe, Africa, and Oceania Combined. 9%
Asia
91%
China
61%

10. World Fisheries and Aquaculture Production and Utilization

11. Marine Capture Fisheries: Major Producing Countries

12. Aquaculture production - aquatic animals (2012)
(Million tonnes and million USD)
Quantity
Value
World
66.6
Europe
2.9
Total 5 countries
0.0
0.1
Aquaculture production - aquatic animals (2012) by country (Thousand tonnes and million USD)
2876.3
Five countries
24.1
111.7
Bosnia and Herzegovina
3.6
12.2
Croatia
10.7
66.3
Macedonia, Fmr Yug Rp of
1.3
5.8
Montenegro
0.8
3.9
Serbia
7.7
23.6

14. Aquatic Production

20. European Aquaculture

21. National Aquaculture
Aquaculture production - aquatic animals ( ) by country (thousand tonnes)
Land area
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
BosniaandHerzegovina
4.685
6.635
6.394
7.07
7.621
7.442
7.589
7.62
4.97
3.638
Croatia
6.876
10.468
9.095
9.505
10.917
12.127
15.497
14.045
13.878
14.229
13.991
12.846
10.667
Macedonia,mrYugRpo
1.217
0.787
0.763
0.864
0.959
0.843
0.588
1.041
1.287
1.54
1.491
1.368
1.306
Montenegro
0.354
0.361
0.614
0.565
0.74
0.84
Serbia
4.835
6.609
7.534
7.44
8.155
7.629
7.662
Grandtotal
8.093
11.255
14.543
17.004
18.27
20.04
28.895
29.498
30.902
31.394
31.997
27.653
24.114

22. Aquaculture Production and Value in 2012 by Species Groups

23. 50% in 2013!

24. Meat and Fishery Production (dressed or eviscerated weight)

25. Fish Price 2021

26. Fish Supply
Source: IMPACT Model projections, World Bank, 2014

27. Fish demand driven by population growth
Fish Demand (mt)
2007 (baseline)
2030 (projection)
Africa
9.0
14.0
Asia
86.4
96.3
Europe
19.4
19.9
L.A. & C.
15.2
16.4
Northern A.
9.1
10.7
Oceania
1.1
1.4
World
140.3
158.8
Source: Estimation of FI Department
To maintain baseline consumption in every country, 159 million tonnes of fish needed to feed world population in 2030.
Total supply (211 mt) > Total demand (159 mt)

28. Fish demand driven by population and income growth
Fish Demand (mt)
2007 (baseline)
2030 (projection)
Africa
9.0
18.7
Asia
86.4
186.3
Europe
19.4
23.4
L.A. & C.
15.2
18.3
Northern A.
9.1
12.9
Oceania
1.1
1.8
World
140.3
261.2
Source: Estimation of FI Department

29. Fish supply-demand gaps
S-D gap (mt)
Supply
Demand 2030
S-D gap
2030
Africa
11.7
18.7
-7.0
Asia
156.5
186.3
-29.8
Europe
18.6
23.4
-4.8
L.A. & C.
16.2
18.3
-2.1
Northern A.
6.2
12.9
-6.6
Oceania
1.5
1.8
-0.3
World
210.7
261.2
-50.6
Source: Estimation of FI Department

30. Bridging the Gap Improved and better managed fisheries
Sustaining (increasing!) aquaculture growth
Reducing fish waste

31. Sustaining Aquaculture Growth
Aquaculture growth rate during
Expected APR (%)
Required APR (%)
World
4.0
5.6
Africa
7.2
11.5
Asia
5.3
Europe
3.1
L.A. & C.
4.4
7.6
Northern A.
0.4
9.0
Oceania
2.6
7.9
Source: Estimation of FI Department
If countries aquaculture production follow the recent trend, expected aquaculture growth rate:
4.0 percent annually.
To feed growing and wealthier world population, required aquaculture growth rate:
5.6 percent annually.

32. Sustaining Aquaculture Growth
If not?
………… In particular, per capita fish consumption in Sub-Saharan Africa is projected to decline at an annual rate of 1 percent to 5.6 kilograms during the 2010–30 period.
Source: Fish to World Bank 2014

33. Sustaining Aquaculture Growth
There are many issues, challenges and opportunities. Biosecurity and Health Management should be considered as one of the top priorities among the issues to be addressed for sustaining the sector growth.
Technology and innovations
Investment and finance
Policy and governance
Improved Public-Private-Partnership

34. Sustaining Aquaculture Growth
Improved technology and new innovations are required for:
Genetics
Disease management
Fishmeal and fish oil replacements
Improving FCR
Reducing carbon emission
Increasing the use of renewable energy
Many more!

35. Sustaining Aquaculture Growth

37. World fisheries production destined for export

40. Fish provides many valuable nutrients
Proteins
Long chain Omega 3 fatty acids
Fat soluble vitamins
Minerals like, Iron, Calcium, Iodine, Zinc and Selenium
With numerous health benefits
(known) reduced risk of cardiac death, aids neurodevelopment in unborn infants
(probable) reduced risk of stroke, (possible) reduced risk of depression
In developing countries
Fish provide nutrients where they are most needed?
Cheap small pelagics are becoming a growing component in diets?

41. Farmed Aquatics vs. Other Animal Source Foods

42. Comparison of Sustainability Indicators
FCR (kg/kg)
Protein Efficiency %
N emission (kg/t)
P emission (kg/t)
Land (t/ha)
Freshwater Use (m3/t)
Beef
31.7 5
1.200
180
15,497
Chicken
4.2 25
300 40
3.918
Pork
10.7 13
800
120
4,856
Finfish
2.3 30
360 48
5,000
Bivalves
not fed
-27
-29

43. Thank you!