1. B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 1 www.flbog.edu B OARD of G OVERNORS Commission on Higher Education Access and Attainment Supply-Demand Gap Analysis: Which Occupations are Undersupplied? Which Academic Programs Might Need to Grow? Jan Ignash, Vice Chancellor, Academic and Student Affairs March 8, 2013 www.flbog.edu

2. B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 2 www.flbog.edu Supply-Demand Gap Analysis: Agenda Meeting Agenda Introduction Which Occupations are Undersupplied? Gap Analysis Methodology List of Undersupplied Occupations Requiring a Bachelor’s Which Academic Programs Might Need to Grow? Focus on Computer Occupations

3. B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 3 www.flbog.edu SupplyDemand Gap Analysis Contextual Metrics Introduction to the Supply-Demand Gap Analysis vs

4. B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 4 www.flbog.edu Gap Analysis Methodology: Supply SupplyDemand Gap Analysis Contextual Metrics SOURCE: Supply is based on 2010-11 degrees awarded data as reported by 396 Florida institutions to the National Center for Education Statistics. LIMITATION: The methodology includes all graduates, including those who left Florida. We do not yet have employment or continuing education data for students who leave Florida for each academic program. This is a work in progress. LIMITATION: The methodology does not include any consideration of occupational in-migration, occupational retention, and attrition. vs

5. B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 5 www.flbog.edu Supply: Top Degrees Awarded in Florida (in 2010-11) By Discipline Groups and Degree Level ACADEMIC DISCIPLINE GROUPS ASSOCIATE'SBACHELOR'SMASTER'S DOCTORAL & PROF. TOTAL STATE TOTAL 85,84988,09230,5829,278213,801 BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT, MARKETING, SUPPORT SERVS. 3,68622,71810,54430637,254 HEALTH PROFESSIONS AND RELATED PROGRAMS 15,3257,7994,0323,21830,374 EDUCATION 1365,6195,72783112,313 SOCIAL SCIENCES *7,7695421028,414 HOMELAND SECURITY, LAW ENFORCEMENT, FIREFIGHTING AND RELATED PROTECTIVE SERVICES 2,6303,590572386,830 PSYCHOLOGY *5,4719743216,767 VISUAL AND PERFORMING ARTS 1,2094,671722676,669 ENGINEERING *3,7711,9434506,171 BIOLOGICAL AND BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES 994,2075501805,036 LEGAL PROFESSIONS AND STUDIES 1,0596342722,9964,961 COMPUTER AND INFORMATION SCIENCES 1,7352,155488624,440 COMMUNICATION, JOURNALISM, & RELATED PROGRAMS *3,910359214,298 ENGLISH LANGUAGE AND LITERATURE/LETTERS *2,322215532,590 ENGINEERING TECHNOLOGIES & ENGINEERING-RELATED FIELDS 1,545600201*2,347 ALL OTHERS 1 58,42512,8563,44163375,337 Note 1: All Others include 54,925 Associate’s degrees assigned to ‘General Studies’. Note 2: An asterisk (*) indicates ten or fewer.

6. B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 6 www.flbog.edu Gap Analysis Methodology: Demand SupplyDemand Gap Analysis Contextual Metrics SOURCE: Demand is based on the long-term (2012-2020) occupational employment projections of annual job openings (growth and replacements) by the Florida Department of Economic Opportunity Labor Market Statistics Center. KEY DECISION: Previously, this Commission agreed that the educational attainment levels for the occupational data would be based on the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) national taxonomy of educational levels. vs

7. B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 7 www.flbog.edu OCCUPATIONAL GROUPS PROJECTED ANNUAL JOB OPENINGS BY BLS’ TYPICAL DEGREE REQUIRED FOR ENTRY CODETITLEASSOCIATEBACHELORMASTERDOCTORALTOTAL STATE TOTAL 16,71142,3184,3468,68672,061 29-1 Health Diagnosing and Treating Practitioners 7,2282341,1043,72712,293 25-2 Preschool, Primary, Secondary, and Special Education School Teachers 1,0887,098 8,186 13-1 Business Operations Specialists 5,866 13-2 Financial Specialists 5,193 15-1 Computer Occupations 4,410 184,428 25-1 Postsecondary Teachers 3155062,2693,090 21-1 Counselors, Social Workers, and Other Community and Social Service Specialists 1,3691,435 2,804 11-1 Top Executives 1,996703 2,699 29-2 Health Technologists and Technicians 2,30824015 2,563 11-9 Other Management Occupations 1,041933283 2,257 23-1 Lawyers, Judges, and Related Workers 27 2,1852,212 25-3 Adult Basic and Secondary Education and Literacy Teachers, All Other 2,192 17-2 Engineers 2,114 27-3 Media and Communication Workers 1,355 11-3 Operations Specialties Managers 1,171 All Others 3,0509,0981,00348713,638 Demand: Florida’s Top Occupational Groups By Projected Annual Job Openings (2012-2020)

8. B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 8 www.flbog.edu Gap Analysis Methodology: Gap Analysis SupplyDemand Gap Analysis Contextual Metrics In an effort to limit the problem of overstating supply due to occupations being linked to multiple academic disciplines, the supply data was adjusted to only count the target occupation’s share of non-managerial job openings available for qualified graduates. ADJUSTED SUPPLY In this example, only 7% of the total supply (3,093 graduates) is used in the gap analysis because the financial analysts only comprises 7% of the 4,641 non-managerial jobs available to these graduates. So, the adjusted supply is 3,093 x.07 = 217. vs SOCCIPSOC FINANCIAL ANALYST Accounting and Finance Financial Managers530 Accountants and Auditors3,237 Budget Analysts104 Financial Analysts326 Accounting and Business Management Financial Managers530 Accountants and Auditors3,237 Financial Analysts326 Finance, General Chief Executives660 Financial Managers530 Budget Analysts104 Credit Analysts124 Financial Analysts326 Personal Financial Advisors575 Financial Specialists, All Other275 326 OPENINGS 3,093 BACHELOR’S 4,641 NON-MANAGER OPENINGS

9. B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 9 www.flbog.edu Florida’s Most Undersupplied Occupations Typically Requiring a Bachelor’s Degree for Entry MOST UNDERSUPPLIED NON-MANAGERIAL OCCUPATIONS PROJECTED ANNUAL DEMAND BACHELORS ADJUSTED SUPPLY BACHELORS ANNUAL GAP 1 Middle School Teachers (not Special Education) 1,239215-1,024 2 Accountants and Auditors3,2372,375-862 3 Computer Systems Analysts865301-564 4 Software Developers, Applications651192-459 5 Information Security Analysts, Web Developers and Network Architects 800361-439 6 Software Developers, Systems Software537167-370 7 Training and Development Specialists505157-348 8 Computer Programmers556240-316 9 Operations Research Analysts30790-217 10 Graphic Designers655442-213 11 Kindergarten Teachers (not Special Education) 506296-210 12 Industrial Engineers289112-177 13 Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technologists24071-169 14 Insurance Underwriters241109-132 15 Loan Counselors15638-118 16 Public Relations Specialists600484-116 17 Financial Analysts326217-109

10. B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 10 www.flbog.edu Gap Analysis Methodology: Contextual Metrics SupplyDemand Gap Analysis Contextual Metrics Entry Wage Projected 2012-2020 Annual Growth Rates 2011-2012 Trend in Help Wanted Online Advertisements (HWOL) Warehouse Indicator Supply from Lower and Higher Educational Levels vs

11. B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 11 www.flbog.edu Florida’s Most Undersupplied Occupations at the Bachelor’s Level: Contextual Metrics MOST UNDERSUPPLIED NON-MANAGERIAL OCCUPATIONS AVG. ENTRY WAGE 2012-2020 ANNUAL GROWTH RATE 2011-2012 HWOL TREND WAREHOUSE INDICATOR 1 Middle School Teachers (not Special & Voc. Education) $38,963 1.9%38%0% 2 Accountants and Auditors $40,431 1.9%22%4% 3 Computer Systems Analysts $55,382 1.9%11%2% 4 Software Developers, Applications $48,824 2.0%24%1% 5 Information Security Analysts, Web Developers and Network Architects $43,045 1.9%.. 6 Software Developers, Systems Software $62,291 2.5%-6%1% 7 Training and Development Specialists $34,098 2.7%92%2% 8 Computer Programmers $43,801 0.6%5%2% 9 Operations Research Analysts $37,873 1.3%13%1% 10 Graphic Designers $27,943 1.1%19%4% 11 Kindergarten Teachers (not Special Education) $36,663 2.0%8%0% 12 Industrial Engineers $42,289 0.8%7%1% 13 Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technologists $45,350 0.7%35%1% 14 Insurance Underwriters $39,991 0.7%34%2% 15 Loan Counselors $30,904 2.6%-9%2% 16 Public Relations Specialists $35,650 2.1%25%2% 17 Financial Analysts $47,224 1.9%11%4%

12. B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 12 www.flbog.edu Florida’s Most Undersupplied Occupations at the Bachelor’s Level: Additional Context MOST UNDERSUPPLIED NON-MANAGERIAL OCCUPATIONS PROJECTED ANNUAL DEMAND DEGREE PRODUCTION BY LEVEL ASSOCIATE'S ADJUSTED SUPPLY BACHELOR'S ADJUSTED SUPPLY MASTER'S ADJUSTED SUPPLY 1 Middle School Teachers (not Special Education) 1,2390215112 2 Accountants and Auditors3,2371372,375859 3 Computer Systems Analysts86522930162 4 Software Developers, Applications6517319264 5 Information Security Analysts, Web Developers, and Network architects 800212361105 6 Software Developers, Systems Software5375316771 7 Training and Development Specialists5051157230 8 Computer Programmers5567224083 9 Operations Research Analysts30709011 10 Graphic Designers655343442119 11 Kindergarten Teachers (not Special Education) 5066029654 12 Industrial Engineers28902850 13 Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technologists24031710 14 Insurance Underwriters24101090 15 Loan Counselors1561380 16 Public Relations Specialists600048419 17 Financial Analysts326021720

13. B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 13 www.flbog.edu Top 15 Undersupplied Occupations at the Bachelor’s Level: Current Supply by Sector OCCUPATIONS 2010-11 BACHELOR’S SUPPLY BY SECTOR SUSICUFCIEFCS 1 Middle School Teachers (not Special & Voc. Education) 76%15%0%9% 2 Accountants and Auditors67%26%6%0% 3 Computer Systems Analysts63%24%12%1% 4 Software Developers, Applications56%19%25%0% 5 Information Security Analysts, Web Developers and Network Architects 62%21%16%1% 6 Software Developers, Systems Software54%21%25%0% 7 Training and Development Specialists40%58%2%0% 8 Computer Programmers45%10%45%0% 9 Operations Research Analysts42%58%0% 10 Graphic Designers20%15%66%0% 11 Kindergarten Teachers (not Special Education) 86%1%3%9% 12 Industrial Engineers81%19%0% 13 Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technologists99%1%0% 14 Insurance Underwriters100%0% 15 Loan Counselors79%21%0% 16 Public Relations Specialists60%40%0% 17 Financial Analysts84%12%3%1%

14. B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 14 www.flbog.edu In Conclusion: Which Programs Might Need to Grow? Focus on Undersupplied Computer Occupations Academic Disciplines TOP UNDERSUPPLIED COMPUTER OCCUPATIONS Computer Network Architects Computer Programmers Computer Systems Analysts Software Developers, Applications Software Developers, Systems Software TOTAL 1 Computer and Information Sciences, Gen. ● ● 2 2 Computer and Information Systems Security & Information Assurance ● 1 3 Computer Engineering, General ● ●●3 4 Computer Graphics ● 2 5 Computer Programming/Programmer, Gen. ● ●●3 6 Computer Science ● ●●3 7 Computer Software Engineering ●●2 8 Computer Systems Analysis/Analyst ● ● 2 9 Computer Systems Networking and Telecommunications ● ● 2 10 Information Science/Studies ●1 11 Information Technology ● ●●●4 12 Management Information Systems, Gen. ● 1 TOTAL NUMBER OF DISCIPLINES LINKED TO OCCUPATION 6445625

15. B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 15 www.flbog.edu Bachelor’s Degrees in Academic Disciplines Related to Top Undersupplied Computer Occupations by Sector Academic Disciplines SUSICUFCIEFCSTOTAL CIP Titles 1 Computer and Information Sciences, General48124158.780 2 Computer and Information Systems Security/Information Assurance...120. 3 Computer Engineering, General.23939..278 4 Computer Graphics..2252.254 5 Computer Programming/Programmer, General..4200.204 6 Computer Science..57.. 7 Computer Software Engineering..2336.59 8 Computer Systems Analysis/Analyst...40. 9 Computer Systems Networking and Telecommunications...381250 10 Information Science/Studies.92623.58 11 Information Technology.3347215.421 12 Management Information Systems, General.4744531.550 TOTAL1,537509813122,871

16. B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 16 www.flbog.edu The List: Top Educational Program Areas for Growth (See hand-out.)

17. B OARD of G OVERNORS State University System of Florida 17 www.flbog.edu Next Steps 1.Choosing the highest areas of program need, based upon the current gap analysis 2.Developing a process to respond to the need 1.RFP Process 2.Factors to include 3.The role of partnerships 4.Cost considerations 3.Identifying “who should grow” 4.Considering near-term, immediate needs as well as longer- term needs