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WATERSHED MODELING IN SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

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Presentation on theme: "WATERSHED MODELING IN SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA"— Presentation transcript:

1 WATERSHED MODELING IN SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
Kenneth Schiff Southern California Coastal Water Research Project

2 SCCWRP’s Watershed Research Themes
Loads and concentrations Runoff mechanisms and processes Interactions with the coastal ocean Source tracking and identification Effectiveness of BMPs

3 Modeling Advantages More complete characterization of pollutant concentrations and loads All storms of a year, wet vs. dry years Source attribution Subwatershed, land use, municipal boundaries Assess management scenarios - Effectiveness, cost efficiency

4 Water Quality Modeling In Southern California
Watershed-scale water quality models already exist - HSPF, SWMM, EFDC, LSPC, etc. Virtually none were built in California Not necessarily designed for arid or urban environments Previous time scales largely insufficient for urban applications Need minutes to hours for within storm applications

5 WATER QUALITY MODELING FRAMEWORK
Flow & Pollutant Inputs Flow & Pollutant Inputs Transfomations Dispersion Nitrification Flow & Pollutant Inputs Transport Uptake Decay Partitioning Instream Concentration Denitrification

6 30 land use site events 17 natural site events 34 mass emission
Land use sites < 0.5" 0.5" - 1.0" > 1.0" Total Agriculture 3 1 5 Commercial 4 High density residential 2 7 Industrial Low density residential Open space Recreational Transportation Natural loadings (pollutograph) Natural loadings (microsampling) 8 12 Mass emission sites Arroyo Seco Arroyo Sequit Ballona Creek Coyote Creek Dominguez Channel LAR u.s. Arroyo Seco Los Angeles River San Gabriel River San Jose Creek Santa Monica Canyon Verdugo Wash Walnut Creek 30 land use site events 17 natural site events 34 mass emission site events Through 4/30/05

7 LAND USE LOAD COMPARISON

8

9 Hardness = 100 mg/L CTR = 13.4 ug/L
Copper Loading From Ballona Creek ( ) Hardness = 100 mg/L CTR = 13.4 ug/L

10 Most Likely BMPs from Stakeholders
Cisterns Detention basins Load reduction Impervious reduction Wetland treatment Instream Impoundment Diversion

11 Impoundment and Diversion Assumptions
Rubber dam at end of Ballona Creek 5 ft high Overflows during storms Retained volume is diverted flow to WRP Constant diversion of 20 MGD

12 Rubber dam To WRP

13 Decadal Simulation Change in Load 20 MGD Diversion Volume -16 % Solids
-3 % Copper -6 % Bacteria

14 Sensitivity Analysis Change in Load Volume -16 % -18 % -20 % Solids
20 MGD (13 cfs) 40 MGD (26 cfs) 50 MGD (32 cfs) Volume -16 % -18 % -20 % Solids -3 % -4 % Copper -6 % -7 % Bacteria

15 Effectiveness of Impoundment
5 ft dam retains 195 ac-ft of water 59% of storms > 195 ac-ft Storms > 195 ac-ft account for 99% of decadal storm volume 87% total decadal volume

16 Most Likely BMPs from Stakeholders
Cisterns Detention basins Load reduction Impervious reduction Wetland treatment Instream Impoundment Diversion

17 Cistern Application Assumptions
Distribute cisterns on specific land uses throughout watershed Public Open Transportation Commercial Cisterns capture all rainfall for an average year (12”) Cisterns store rain and pollutants up to their capacity and then bypass to the stream Cisterns emptied during the summer Used for irrigation, no net increase in dry weather runoff

18 Decadal Simulation Change in Load Cistern Volume -11 % Solids -8 %
Copper -14 % Bacteria Dry weather loading not affected

19 Effectiveness of Cisterns
Cisterns only applied to specific land uses

20

21 Summary Watershed models are a powerful management tool
Extrapolate to unmonitored times/locations Requires effort to ensure you believe them Calibration and validation Wet and dry weather Provides invaluable insight into evaluating management action effectiveness Cost efficiency

22 Soon To Be Released More detailed and involved BMPs
Design storm for water quality Function of hydrology Function of BMP cost Linked estuarine models Contaminated sediments

23 Percent of Storms Exceeding
EXCEEDENCE RATE AT BALLONA CREEK 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% Percent of Storms Exceeding Thresholds for Copper 15% 10% 5% 0% 0.5 1 1.5 2 Rainfall Runoff Captured (in)


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