1. Harnessing the Power of Alternative Assessment to Advance the Completion Agenda Eloy Ortiz Oakley Superintendent-President, Long Beach City College Terrence Willett Director of Planning and Research, Cabrillo College/ RP Group Researcher Patrick Perry Vice Chancellor, CCCCO Strengthening Student Success Conference Ocotber 9, 2013 1

2. Transition to College: Assessment and Placement CCCs are open enrollment Requires assessing and planning for students’ educational needs. Most colleges rely on standardized assessment Most students placed into basic skills Placement into basic skills is significant barrier to completion 2

3. LBCC’s Research Examined five cohorts of more than 7,000 LBUSD grads who attend LBCC directly after high school Determined strongest predictors of success in college courses Improved alignment of assessment and placement with evidence based predictors of success 3

4. Key Findings 1.Standardized tests predict standardized tests very well but… 2.Classroom performance predicts classroom performance 3.More information tells us more about our students’ likelihood to succeed Findings presented real opportunities to significantly improve student placement and achievement, and their college experience 4

5. Reimagining the Transition to College: Fall 2012 Promise Pathways Predictive placement model using multi- method, evidence-based assessment Prescriptive, full-time course load via first- semester success plan – Emphasis on Foundational Skills – English, Reading, Math 5

6. Alternative placement: Transfer-level Placement Rates 6

7. F2012 Promise Pathways 1-year vs. F2006 6-year rates of achievement 7

8. Success rates in transfer-level courses Fall 2012 Neither of these differences approach significance, p >.30 8

9. Equity Impact of Promise Pathways: F2011 Baseline Equity Gaps

10. Equity Impact: F2012 Students of Color Compared to F2011 White Baseline

11. Equity gaps remain but significant gains for all F2012 Students

12. Cohort 1 and 2 Promise Pathways Demographics

13. A BRIEF OVERVIEW The Student Transcript- Enhanced Placement Project (STEPS) 13 Harnessing the Power of Alternative Assessment to Advance the Completion Agenda

14. What Are We Seeking to Do? Examine the value of using transcripts as part of the assessment process Create predictive models using intersegmental data to study students who had already taken community college courses Use models to analyze how well transcript data predicts the first English & math courses students take and how well they do in them Recruit colleges to do local analyses to generate campus-specific insights and trigger CCC/K-12 conversations 14 Harnessing the Power of Alternative Assessment to Advance the Completion Agenda

15. In English tests predict tests, grades and courses matter but vary by college 15

16. 16 Cox & Snell pseudo R-square ~ 0.35 Harnessing the Power of Alternative Assessment to Advance the Completion Agenda

17. In math tests predict tests, but high school level is also important 17

18. 18 Cox & Snell pseudo R-square ~ 0.50 Harnessing the Power of Alternative Assessment to Advance the Completion Agenda

19. In English, grades predict grades 19

20. 20 Cox & Snell pseudo R-square ~ 0.20 Harnessing the Power of Alternative Assessment to Advance the Completion Agenda

21. In math, success predictors vary by college 21

22. 22 Cox & Snell pseudo R-square ~ 0.20 Harnessing the Power of Alternative Assessment to Advance the Completion Agenda

23. What Does This Mean? There is a disconnect between test scores and performance in the first course taken at many institutions Using transcript elements would help to refine assessment The relative weight of variables might be influenced by local factors, due to considerations such as articulation and curriculum 23 Harnessing the Power of Alternative Assessment to Advance the Completion Agenda

24. What Happens Next? Updating the statewide analysis Encouraging more colleges to replicate the study so they understand the value of transcript data for their own students Starting conversations about how the study relates to other aspects of developmental education reform—such as alignment, course offerings, and curriculum Helping to develop a tool that enables colleges to access high school data to inform multiple measures assessment 24 Harnessing the Power of Alternative Assessment to Advance the Completion Agenda

25. Chancellor’s Office Multiple Measure Warehouse Project Patrick Perry Vice Chancellor of Technology, Research & Information Systems

26. Common Assessment Project AB743 passed in 2011 (AB743, Block): – BOG shall establish a common assessment system to be used as one of multiple measures for placement and advisement – Ongoing funding provided in 2013-14 budget for project – RFA to move $$ to district currently underway

27. Common Assessment Project Project intends to: – Identify a common, systemwide assessment for math, English, ESL – Provide the assessment at no cost to districts for unlimited usage – Provide for score portability statewide – Create a multiple measures data warehouse to enhance placement activities

28. Multiple Measures Warehouse Will include: – Outcomes of the common assessments – CCC statewide MIS Enrollment data – EAP scores – CAHSEE scores – All HS math and English enrollment records, GPA’s (likely through 11 th grade)

29. Multiple Measures Warehouse Application will be written allowing a student “placement profile” to be viewed by student services personnel “big data” predictive analytics applied to multiple measures variables to assist in placement effectiveness

30. Contact Information Eloy Ortiz Oakley eoakley@lbcc.edu Terrence Willett terrence@cabrillo.edu Patrick Perry pperry@cccco.edu 30

31. Additional Resources More information about Long Beach City College's research – http://bit.ly/PathwaysResearch http://bit.ly/PathwaysResearch More information about the RP Group’s Student Transcript- Enhanced Placement (STEPS) Project – http://bit.ly/RPSTEPS http://bit.ly/RPSTEPS Step by Step process for replicated the research and placement: – http://bit.ly/RPSTEPS2http://bit.ly/RPSTEPS2 Jobs for the Future Report: Where to Begin?: The Evolving Role of Placement Exams for Students Starting College – http://bit.ly/JFFReport http://bit.ly/JFFReport CCRC research on Assessment, Placement, and Progression in Developmental Education – http://bit.ly/CCRCAssess http://bit.ly/CCRCAssess 31