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John Silvia – Chief Economist September 21, 2004 Presentation to: Global Issues Forum Employment Growth, Offshore Outsourcing and Secular Change in the.

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Presentation on theme: "John Silvia – Chief Economist September 21, 2004 Presentation to: Global Issues Forum Employment Growth, Offshore Outsourcing and Secular Change in the."— Presentation transcript:

1 John Silvia – Chief Economist September 21, 2004 Presentation to: Global Issues Forum Employment Growth, Offshore Outsourcing and Secular Change in the Charlotte Labor Market. Our Challenge is Our Opportunity.

2 U.S. Outlook

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7 Consumer Fundamentals: Income Sentiment Credit Outlook – Better

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9 Investment Spending: Orders Capacity Utilization Financial Depth Outlook - Improving

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11 Housing: Household Income Employment Credit Outlook - Positive

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14 Inflation: Commodity Prices Dollar Energy Productivity Outlook - Creeping Up

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16 Public Policy: Monetary Policy Fiscal Policy Regulation Trade

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19 Change in the Charlotte Labor Market

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21 Population Growth 10-Year Average

22 Comparative Employment Percent of Total Employment, 2003 U.S.North CarolinaCharlotte Construction5.25.66.1 Manufacturing11.215.912.9 Trade15.815.716.5 Finance6.15.18.4 Leisure9.38.88.6 Government16.617.012.7 Education & Health12.811.38.3 Prof. & Business Services 12.311.114.4

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24 Charlotte Employment Percent of Total Employment, 1983

25 Charlotte Employment Percent of Total Employment, 2003

26 (+) Major Financial Center Growing headquarters center. Above average industrial diversity. Well-educated workforce. Charlotte

27 Secular Changes In the Charlotte Labor Market

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29 OUTSOURCING Macro Story Global Allocation of Resources Net vs. Gross Job Gains/Losses Efficiency Profits, Disposable Income Prices Goods, Services Shareholder Value Objectives of Management?

30 OUTSOURCING Micro Story Workers, Supplies Job Creation/Destruction Industries Manufacturing, 1979 Communities Trade Adjustment

31 OUTSOURCING Cost of Inflexibility Work Follows Sales Emigration Long Term Change Education Productivity Dominate Job Creation Trends

32 Charlotte (-) Declining Textiles Airlines Professional Schools/Tech High Taxes Unfinished Highway

33 www.wachovia.com/economics


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