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The Israeli Economy January 2012 Ministry of Finance.

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Presentation on theme: "The Israeli Economy January 2012 Ministry of Finance."— Presentation transcript:

1 The Israeli Economy January 2012 Ministry of Finance

2 Main Economic Indicators

3 Strong and sustainable GDP growth Labor market Moderate levels of inflation Eight years of consecutive surplus in the current account

4 GDP Growth Percentage Per Annum *Budget Estimate was 4.0% Source: Central Bureau of Statistics, Ministry of finance

5 Unemployment and Participation Rates Participation rate (right axis) Unemployment rate (left axis) Source: CBS 57.3%

6 6 Source: Bank of Israel Year-End Inflation Rate Central Bank’s Key Interest Rate Today = 2.75% Inflation is Under Control

7 Balance of Payments - The Current Account US$ Billions & As Percent of GDP Source: CBS. * First three quarters annualized

8 Fiscal Policy

9  Expenditure growth is derived from two elements:  Distance from debt target  Permanent long term growth The New Fiscal Rule Debt/GDP ratio Expenditure growth rate= 60% * Average Growth Rate of 10 Years 2014 onwards 20132012201120102009 1.0%1.5%2.0%3.0%5.5%6.0%  No change in the deficit ceiling  One always functions as the effective limitation

10 General Government Expenditure As a percentage of the GDP Source: CBS, The Ministry of Finance

11 General Government Expenditure As a percentage of the GDP, International comparison 2010 * Weighted average; Source: OECD

12 Tax Burden of the General Government 2009 % of GDP Source: OECD, Ministry of Finance

13 Public Debt As a percentage of the GDP *Estimated Figures for 2011 Source: The Ministry of Finance

14 Public Debt Increase Between the years 2007-2010 As a Percentage of the GDP, International comparison Maastricht: 60% Debt Source: OECD Outlook 90, Israel 2010 - MOF

15 Central Government's Budget Deficit As a Percentage of the GDP, actual and according to the scheme * According to the Deficit Reduction and Budgetary Expenditure Limitation law 1992 Source: CBS, the Ministry of Finance ** Fiscal rule limitation was 3% in 2008 Latest Forecast

16 Key Economic Policies  Fiscal Responsibility – According to the Fiscal Rule  Encouraging Growth by:  Structural Reforms - Advancing Competitiveness  Active Labor Market Policies  Reducing Bureaucracy  Automatic Stabilizers

17 Committee for Social and Economic Reform (Trachtenberg Committee)  Tax policy  Cost of living and competitive markets  Priority changes within the expenditure limitation  Housing and real-estate market

18 Tax policy Legislation has been completed  Cancelling the direct tax reduction scheme (Individual and Corporate)  Raising maximum marginal tax from 44% to 48%  Lowering income tax for incomes between 8-14 thousand NIS a month (from 23% to 21%)  Raising corporate tax from 23% to 25%  Raising capital gains tax from 20% to 25%  VAT will remain 16%  Reducing duty free cigarette allowance  Introducing Tax allowance for fathers  Cancelling the rise in fuel taxes  Increasing negative income tax for women

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