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August 3, 2011. 1. Introductions 2. Status Reports 3. Demographics Presentation 4. Community Engagement—Plan Norwalk by MindMixer 5. Project Team—City.

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Presentation on theme: "August 3, 2011. 1. Introductions 2. Status Reports 3. Demographics Presentation 4. Community Engagement—Plan Norwalk by MindMixer 5. Project Team—City."— Presentation transcript:

1 August 3, 2011

2 1. Introductions 2. Status Reports 3. Demographics Presentation 4. Community Engagement—Plan Norwalk by MindMixer 5. Project Team—City Update 6. Steering Committee Discussion 7. Next Meeting 8. Adjourn

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4 The Foundation for the Comprehensive Plan

5  Population Projections  Population Characteristics  Demographic Changes  Housing Characteristics  Housing Demand  Future Land Use Demand

6  Population is a major component in the Comprehensive Plan  It’s a building block for many land use estimates  Residential units  Commercial and office square footage  Industrial acres

7  The primary source for demographic data for Plan Norwalk is the U.S. Census Bureau, ESRI Business Analyst, CBRE Market Analysis  Since 1980, Norwalk has increased its population by 276.5% from 2,376 to 8,945  Norwalk has been the fastest growing city in Warren County during the same time period

8  Various Methodologies  Trend line analysis  1960 to 2010  1970 to 2010  1980 to 2010  2000 to 2010  Cohort survival analysis

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10 Population Estimate 1  What do the numbers tell us?  Additional 10,680 people over 30 years  8,945 in 2010 growing to 19,625 in 2040  Growth rate:  119% total growth over 30 years

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12 Population Estimate 2  What do the numbers tell us?  Additional 41,578 people over 30 years  8,945 in 2010 growing to 50,523 in 2040  Growth rate:  465% total growth over 30 years

13 NATIONAL TRENDS AND LOCAL COMPARISONS

14 Nationally, baby boomers are still relevant!  Born between 1946 and 1964  Very large age cohort that impacts community (60M in that age group nationally)  Some are entering retirement age now  Future impacts on housing, land use, transportation and economy

15 Generation Y – The Boomer babies!  Born between 1982 and 1995  Larger generation (80M vs. 60M) nationally than Baby Boomers  Different preferences  Plugged-in generation  Impacts on housing choices, land use, transportation and economy

16 Generation X – the in-between generation  Born between 1965 and 1976  Smaller generation nationally than Baby Boomers (51M vs. 60M)  The suburban generation; the ‘latchkey’ kids  First multi-cultural generation  Highly mobile workforce

17 Norwalk demographics differ from national trends  2010 population characteristics  Age 0 – 14 2,244 or 25.1%  Gen Y 1,686 or 18.9%  Gen X 2,027 or 22.7%  Baby Boomers 2,206 or 24.6%  Age 65+ 782 or 8.7%

18 Norwalk demographics differ from national trends  Small growth in population 65 and older  Norwalk population over 65 is 8.7% (2010)  US population over 65 is 13.03% (2010)  Young children (age 0 – 14) make up largest population segment; 25.1%  Children age 0 – 18 make over 30% of Norwalk’s population

19 Average age is increasing in Norwalk, similar to national trend  32.8 years in 2000  34.3 years in 2010

20 HOUSING TRENDS AND DEMANDS

21  Household size is decreasing Norwalk, similar to national trend  2.88 in 2000  2.70 in 2010  Norwalk has larger HH size than surrounding communities and State of Iowa in 2010  2.41 in Iowa  2.32 in West Des Moines  2.58 in Ankeny

22  Residential unit demand based on population estimate 1  4,151 residential units  3,118 owner occupied  1,033 rental

23  Residential unit demand based on population estimate 2  16,162 residential units  12,139 owner occupied  4,023 rental

24  Types of housing products  Single family  Accessory dwelling unites  Multi-family  Mixed use  Assisted living

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30  Plan Norwalk assumptions  Existing building trends and supply  71% single family and 21% multi-family  76% owner occupied and 24% rental  Should goals for single family and multi-family change in the future?  What will market demand be for owner occupied versus rental?

31  2010 housing unit supply  360 +/- approved units; sf and mf  4 year supply based on population projection 1  Existing supply will only meet a small portion of 2040 demand!

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33  Projected Land Use by Classification (by percentage)  Residential 30.0%  Commercial 6.5%  Industrial/RR 2.5%  Public/semi public 14.8%  Public R.O.W. 25.6%  Vacant/Ag 20.6%  Total 100.0%

34  Population Estimate 1  Residential Land Use 811 acres  Commercial Land Use176 acres  Industrial Land Use 68 acres  Public Land Use400acres  ROW692acres  Other Land Use 557acres Total New Development 2,702acres Land area is equal to 4.2 square miles

35  Population Estimate 2  Residential Land Use 3,156 acres  Commercial Land Use 684 acres  Industrial Land Use 263 acres  Public Land Use1,557 acres  ROW2,693 acres  Other Land Use 2,167 acres Total New Development 10,520 acres Land area is equal to 16.4 square miles

36  Where should residential land uses be geographically allocated?  Where should other land uses by geographically allocated?  Will this meet future demand?  What options should be identified in Plan Norwalk?

37  Population growth and demographic change will impact housing demand over the next 30 years  Current plans, building trends and housing supply may need to change significantly to meet future demands  Increasing demand for housing options with higher densities with more amenities within walking distance

38 Plan Norwalk by MindMixer

39  661 unique visitors  1731 visits  12006 pageviews  6.94 pageviews per visit  Average visist lasts 5 min. 34 sec.  47 ideas submitted  198 comments

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41  Community Character  Community Health  Growth and Housing Diversity  Public Safety  Stormwater  Transportation Diversity

42  12 Ideas Supports  Entryway to Norwalk22  North Avenue 9  Pedestrian Improvements 8  Amphitheater 6 Theme: improve the Hwy. 28 entrance to Norwalk

43  5 IdeasSupports  Bike trail12  Community center 6  Walkable neighborhoods 6 Theme: provide connection to the Great Western Bike Trail and create connections to city parks

44  14 IdeasSupports  Aquatic center9  Current pool4  Senior housing4  Family fun center2 (with 59 comments) Theme: “John’s project”, TIF, taxes and land use policy in Norwalk

45  13 Ideas Support  More cruisers than cameras 17  Lower speed limits on Hwy. 28 7  Ped/bike bridge over Hwy. 28 5 Theme: cameras = “Big Brother” or “cash cow” or legitimate traffic safety control ???

46  3 Ideas Supports  Regional stormwater detention8  Land developer’s responsibility4 Theme: more public awareness and education about stormwater management

47  2 IdeasSupports  Bike paths11  Mass transit 8 Theme: connections to the metro trail system and to DART.

48  Idea generation phase extended to August 15 th  Continue to encourage input on the Plan Norwalk by MindMixer web site  Voting phase will follow and end on August 31 st  Get out and vote for the best ideas submitted on the Plan Norwalk by MindMixer web site


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