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The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency Nevada Labor Market Briefing Department.

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Presentation on theme: "The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency Nevada Labor Market Briefing Department."— Presentation transcript:

1 The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency Nevada Labor Market Briefing Department of Employment, Training & Rehabilitation Dennis Perea, Interim Director Bill Anderson, Chief Economist David Schmidt, Supervising Economist Prepared by the Research and Analysis Bureau and presented to the Employment Security Council, Oct. 2014

2 The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency Unemployment Rate Ticks Down to 7.6%; About Half of Recession Peak NV vs. the U.S. Unemployment Rate (SA) 1

3 The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency NV’s Rate is 4 th Highest in the Nation Unemployment Rate Rankings (SA) 2

4 The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency 54K Nevadans are Unemployed Because They Lost Their Jobs; About Half the Peak Job “Losers” in Nevada (12-month moving average) 3

5 The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency 13K Nevadans Unemployed Because They Left Jobs Voluntarily; Encouraging Uptrend Job “Leavers” in Nevada (12-month moving average) 4

6 The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency Long-Term Unemployment Half of Peak Nevadans Unemployed for 27+ Weeks (CPS data; 12-month moving average) 5

7 The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency FT Employment on the Rise; PT Holds Steady Full-Time vs. Part-Time Employment (CPS data; 12-month moving average) 6

8 The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency Including Discouraged Workers Adds About a Percentage Point to the “Official” Rate Alternative Measures Of Labor Underutilization 7

9 The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency NV Adds 41,200 Jobs Relative to Year- Ago; Trending up for 44 months Nonfarm Jobs in Nevada (SA) 8

10 The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency Job Growth Hovering in 3.5%-4% Range the Past Half-Year Job Growth (SA; year-over-year) 9

11 The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency NV on Pace to Add Close to 100K Jobs Since 2010 Nevada Job Growth Since 2010 10

12 The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency Nearly All Sectors Contributing; PBS and L/H Lead the Way…10K New Jobs YTD Job Growth by Sector 11

13 The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency NV Jobs up 3.6% Through First 8 mos. This Year; Double Growth in the US Job Growth (year-over-year) 12

14 The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency NV Job Growth Outpaces US in Nine of Ten Super Sectors YTD Job Growth; NV minus US 13

15 The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency Job Growth Stronger Than in 48 States Job Growth Rankings (# of states with slower private sector job growth than NV; 2014 YTD through IQ) 14

16 The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency Job Gains More Than Offset Losses Business Employment Dynamics: Private Sector Gross Job Gains vs. Gross Job Losses (SA) 15

17 The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency New Jobs > Losses From Closings Business Employment Dynamics: Gross Job Gains vs. Gross Losses in New & Closing Establishments(SA) 16

18 The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency Wages Expand by a Solid 2.7% During 2014:IQ; Strongest Gain in Five Qtrs. NV Avg. Weekly Wage Growth: Year-Over-Year 17

19 The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency New Hire Wages About Two-Thirds of Overall Average Average Monthly Wages 18

20 The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency Wages Rise with Age, Peaking with the 45-54 Year Old Group Average Monthly Wages by Age Group 19

21 The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency Number of Employers on the Rise; Up 12 Straight Qtrs.; Barely Below Peak Number of Nevada Employers 20

22 The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency Nevada’s Economy Dominated by Small Establishments Number of Establishments by Employment Size 21

23 The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency Big Job Gain in Est. with 1,000+ Workers; Small/Mid-Size Est. also Solid 2013:IQ-2014:IQ Job Growth by Establishment Size 22

24 The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency Small Business Adding Employment Since 2010 Employment in Establishments with less than 100 Workers 23

25 The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency Job Levels Surpass Pre-Recessionary Peak in 2016/2017 Total Jobs: History and Forecast 24

26 The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency By 2017, Nearly 40,000 Construction Jobs Added Since Bottoming Out Construction Jobs: History and Forecast 25

27 The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency Going Forward, Growth Expected to Strengthen for Manufacturing Jobs Manufacturing Jobs: History and Forecast 26

28 The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency Retail Trade Should Continue Adding About 4,000 Jobs Annually Retail Trade Jobs: History and Forecast 27

29 The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency Expectations are for an Additional 3,000 Healthcare Jobs per Year Healthcare/Social Assistance Jobs: History and Forecast 28

30 The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency AFS Jobs Have Reached Historical Peak; 40K Additional Jobs Expected Accommodation/Food Services Jobs: History and Forecast 29

31 The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency NV’s Unemployment Rate Trending Down…6.5% in 2015; 5.5% in 2016 Unemployment Rate: History and Forecast 30

32 The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency For Additional Information, Please Contact: Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation Research and Analysis Bureau Bill Anderson Chief Economist wdanderson@nvdetr.org (775) 684-0450 http://www.nevadaworkforce.com follow us on Twitter @nvlabormarket


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