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Published byWendy Dixon Modified over 9 years ago
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Where is Harm’s Way? (Mapping Disaster Risk in the Philippines)
Department of Environment and Natural Resources Manila Observatory 15 March 2005
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Can you guess this hazard?
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And this one…
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Where does the money go?
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Disaster Language Risk = Hazard x Exposure x Vulnerability Risk
likelihood of harm, loss, disaster Hazard physical impact of disturbance Exposure elements affected by hazard Vulnerability capacity of community to prepare, absorb, recover from hazard Risk = Hazard x Exposure x Vulnerability
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Risk = H x E x V
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Hazards Natural Anthropogenic Typhoon Drought (El Nino)
Earthquake (Tremor, Landslide) Volcano Tsunami Anthropogenic Deforestation Mining Climate change (historical, projected)
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Hazard: Typhoon Data source: Joint Typhoon Warning Center ( )
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Hazard: Drought (El Nino)
Data source: IPCC Data Distribution Centre-Climate Research Unit
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Hazard: Earthquake
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Hazard: Landslide (E-quake)
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Hazard: Volcano
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Hazard: Tsunami
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Hazard: Deforestation
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Hazard: Mining
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Hazard: Climate change (historical rain, temperature)
Source: IPCC Data Distribution Centre-Climate Research Unit
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Hazard: Climate change (projected warming)
Source: Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization
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Hazard: Climate change (projected rainfall)
Source: Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research
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Exposure Population Natural habitat Conservation areas Groundwater
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Exposure (Population)
Data source: NSO, (Population in 2000)
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Exposure (Natural Habitat)
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Exposure (conservation areas)
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Exposure (groundwater)
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Vulnerability Human Development Index Urban centers
Education Health Economy Urban centers Socio-eco pressures Transport
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Vulnerability (HDI)
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Vulnerability (urban centers)
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Vulnerability (socio-eco pressure)
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Vulnerability (transport)
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Risk Typhoon Drought (El Nino) Earthquake (tremor, landslide) Tsunami
Volcano Climate Change (temperature, rainfall)
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Risk: Typhoon
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Risk: Drought (El Nino)
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Risk: Earthquake
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Risk: Landslide (Earthquake)
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Risk: Tsunami
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Risk: Volcano
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Risk: Climate Change (Temperature)
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Risk: Climate Change (Rainfall)
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In sum, harm’s way: Typhoon Drought (El Nino)
Luzon (north, southeast), Visayas (east) Drought (El Nino) Mindanao (central, west) Earthquake (tremor, landslide) + Tsunami Northwest to southeast diagonal across RP Volcano Luzon (west central, south, southeast), Visayas (central, east), Mindanao (central) Climate Change Temperature: Mindanao, Visayas (central) Rainfall: Luzon (central, south, southeast), Visayas (east)
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