1. Tony May and Simon Shepherd (ITS) The link between appraisal and strategic models

2. Project F Objectives Enhance existing predictive transport and land use models  Identify those policy instruments which could most usefully be incorporated into existing models and develop and test ways of doing so Enhance existing sketch planning models so that they can be used more effectively and interactively by a wider range of stakeholders Develop our sketch planning models and network management design tools as pilot strategy generation tools

3. Ranking of importance*satisfaction Ranking of Modelling issues Combined satisfaction importance Score (0-1) [1] [1] Restraint 0.58 Fares 0.55 Buses 0.53 Land use 0.53 LRT 0.47 Soft measures 0.43 Slow mode 0.42 Roads 0.41 Traffic management 0.36 Information 0.34 [1] [1] Note: The neutral score is 0.3175. Higher scores indicate a barrier. Score 1.0 would indicate Very important and not at all satisfied for all respondents.

4. Case Studies MARS – strategic model – Leeds SATURN Various case studies (York Shrewsbury, Cambridge + theoretical) PT-SATURN – Harrogate STM – Strathclyde STEER – York To be presented at a workshop on July 4 th

5. MARS in outline A land use – transport interaction model Reflecting year on year changes over a (say) 30 year period With a simplified representation of spatial structure and networks And with behavioural responses linked to a constant time budget Using Causal Loop Diagrams Designed to assess broad strategies interactively Able to complete a 30 year strategy test within a minute

7. CLD for the transport model – commute trips by car in MARS

8. MARS - completed Representation of increased parking search time due to parking capacity Over crowding on public transport Quality factors for bus corridors Congestion added to the off-peak Heavy rail model incorporated for urban stations in Leeds

9. MARS - planned Add awareness campaigns as a policy instrument Add in population cohort approach Develop “flight simulator” front-end Link to Animap facility Test with Leeds Hold general workshop on MARS for all Local Authorities (November 2007)

11. Links to appraisal Designed to output an agreed set of indicators –Outcome indicators (e.g. CO 2 ) –Intermediate outcome indicators (e.g. by mode) –Based on those developed in Project C Able to incorporate CBA or MCA objective functions Used elsewhere to identify optimal strategies for a given set of objectives

14. 14 MARS Output GIS (1)

15. MARS Output GIS (2) – example for future use AniMap interactive displays animated spatio- temporal information with open-source software and open standards (Web server, PHP, MySQL, Internet Explorer, XML_SVG). „