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Teradyne’s Aurora Project
Solving The Innovator’s Dilemma Sailu Challapalli, Michael Chu, Annie Kuo, Emily Liu, Arundhati Singh, Erick Tseng
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Roadmap Background The Aurora Project Analysis of Aurora
Teradyne Motivation & Background Organization The Innovator’s Dilemma CMOS Windows NT The Aurora Project Analysis of Aurora Extending the Aurora Methodology Conclusion
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Thesis The Aurora Project solved the Innovator’s Dilemma
However, the Aurora methodology is not a guaranteed solution to the Innovator’s Dilemma
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Sources Key interviews Harvard Business School Bedford plant trip
Alex d’Arbeloff, CEO and Chairman Marc Levine, Product Group Manager Hap Walker, Group Engineering Manager Tom Newman, VP Corporate Relations Gordon Saksena, ICD Engineer Harvard Business School Video interviews Case studies Bedford plant trip
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Introduction: Teradyne
Founded in 1960 by MIT alumni Alex d’Arbeloff and Nick DeWolf Headquartered in downtown Boston Industry leader for Automatic Test Equipment (ATE) for semiconductor manufacturing Annual sales of $1.8 billion 8,000+ employees worldwide Also a market leader in software, telephone, and PC Board testing
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Teradyne’s Organization
Alex d’Arbeloff Chairman and CEO James Prestridge Vice Chairman Owen Robbins Vice Chairman and CFO George Chamillard President and COO Logic Test (VLSI) Memory Test Mixed Signal (ICD) Integra Test (Aurora) Finance and Control Sales and Service
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Alex d’Arbeloff Chairman and CEO of Teradyne Heterogeneous Engineer
Vision Networking Business acumen History of experimentation
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The “Innovator’s Dilemma”
Established firms follow a technology trajectory in accordance with customer demands These firms are not mobile enough to respond to emerging disruptive technologies Technology Trajectories Performance Disruptive Technology Sustaining Technology Time or Engineering Effort
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Key Components of Innovator’s Dilemma
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Disruptive Technology
Characteristics Cheaper and smaller Initially worse performance Higher trajectory slope Gains initial foothold in low end markets Potentially Disruptive Technologies in Semiconductor ATE CMOS Windows NT
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ATE Hardware: CMOS As Disruptive Technology
CMOS vs. Bipolar ECL Lower speed Lower accuracy Higher level of integration Less power consumption Simpler design Industry trend toward CMOS
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ATE Software: NT As Disruptive Technology
Windows NT vs. UNIX Traditionally less powerful workstations Not compatible with customers’ installed UNIX base Reduced software development time and cost due to OLE/COM Industry trend towards Windows
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The Rise of CMOS and Windows NT
Performance Time or Engineering Effort Bipolar, UNIX CMOS, Windows NT Key low end niche market was microcontrollers
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Roadmap Background The Aurora Project Analysis of Aurora
Motivations and Goals Implementation Results Solving the Innovator’s Dilemma Analysis of Aurora Extending the Aurora Methodology Conclusion
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Market Environment Highly cyclical Semiconductor Testing Industry
ATE industry in recession Recovery Record earnings 1986 1990 1993 1995
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Aurora Project: Motivations
Emergence of new technologies: CMOS as predominant semiconductor technology Windows NT as operating system Competitors developing new technologies Credence “It was clear that our industry was recovering very quickly, and at that point I was looking beyond what we were doing to see what the holes were” – Alex d’Arbeloff
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Aurora Project Investigate CMOS and Windows NT
Produce smaller, cheaper testers Target new customers in low-end ATE market Microcontrollers Small market share Trade-off accuracy for cost
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Aurora Project: Implementation Challenges
Teradyne as an immobile firm Large Established Customer-driven Public company
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Key Leaders Marc Levine appointed general manager Hap Walker
Experienced software engineering manager in ICD Total Quality Management (TQM) manager Hap Walker Background in hardware, software, and tester design
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Aurora Project Created as small division
Separate facilities in Bedford, MA Separate budget Internal hires and new recruits “Start-up” culture Quick development Reported directly to board of directors
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The New Look and Feel... vs. J973 VLSI Tester J750 INTEGRA Tester
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J750: A Technical Success Reduced costs by 25% “Zero footprint system”
Elimination of bulky mainframe and interconnection cabling 95% parallel test efficiency for up to 32 devices J750 IG-XL test software uses Windows NT
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A Financial Success Total orders valued over $200M in less than 2 years Fastest product ramp in Teradyne history Start of Aurora Project 500 Systems sold 350 Systems sold 100 Systems sold 1995 1998 1999 2000
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Solving the Innovator’s Dilemma
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Roadmap Background The Aurora Project Analysis of Aurora
Sources of Internal Resistance Extending the Aurora Methodology Conclusion
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Sources of Internal Resistance
Emigration of Talent Customer Satisfaction Technical Feasibility Previous Instances of Failure The Aurora Project was successful because Alex d’Arbeloff and Senior Management were able to overcome these difficulties.
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Emigration of Talent Open mobility across divisions
Entrepreneurial Empowers employees Gambling the firm’s best engineers on a risky venture Failure would waste valuable resources Managers fear loss of talent to the Project Jeopardizing the firm’s core business
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Customer Satisfaction: Lack of Customer Interest
Testing business is very customer-driven Based on long, well-developed relationships Teradyne must be very responsive to customer needs Very little customer interest in Aurora Most customers required greater accuracy Customers preferred familiar technology Avoid wasting resources retraining technicians
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Customer Satisfaction: “The Customer is Always Right”
Teradyne managers felt obliged to listen to customer needs and recommendations Managers did not want to devote resources to undesired technology “These projects are big bets. So you bet the division every time you do one of these things… The problem is that your customers lock you in.” – Ed Rogas, Vice President of Logic Test Division
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Technical Feasibility
Doubts about meeting device specifications Device Speed Device Accuracy Software Compatibility Backward compatibility with previous product line Compatibility with other Integra test products Software Compatibility: - Even Hap Walker initially wanted to stick with UNIX. - He was more familiar with the OS
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Past Failures: History of Experimentation
Alex d’Arbeloff has a history of suggesting new technologies to the firm Kinetrix J401 Tester Many past projects were unsuccessful Many of these projects were also met with internal resistance but then initiated with d’Arbeloff’s backing
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Roadmap Background The Aurora Project Analysis of Aurora
Extending the Aurora Methodology Past Failures Conclusion
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Aurora’s Extensibility
Is the Aurora methodology a formula for solving the Innovator’s Dilemma… 1) Within Teradyne? 2) In any other company?
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Past Failures: Kinetrix
Foray into Semiconductor Handling Business Populated by 12 companies with no economies of scale to step forward Technology was not developed with customers in mind Collaborated with MIT mechanical engineers Customers did not find the device familiar
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Past Failures: J401 Tester
Project Goals 85% cheaper than existing testers Easier to program Implementation D’Arbeloff set up a new facility three blocks away from Boston headquarters Tom Newman hired internally to lead initiative Startup culture 15 Years before J750 Aurora was 25% cheaper than comparable testers Startup culture: Drafted a business plan Reported to a “Board of Directors”
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Past Failures: J401 Tester
Results Successfully met product specifications Product was 75% cheaper Programming interface was extremely user-friendly No market adoption Still too expensive for new intended market No “correlation in test” Sold only 24 testers in first two years (compare to Aurora’s sales of 350) 15 Years before J750
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J401 Tester: A Direct Correlation to Aurora
Both projects were… Extremely ambitious Met with similar internal resistance Initiated thanks to Alex d’Arbeloff’s persistence and backing Set up as startup ventures Technically successful
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Roadmap Background The Aurora Project Analysis of Aurora
Extending the Aurora Methodology Conclusion
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Conclusion The Aurora Project did solve Christensen’s Innovator’s Dilemma Overcame hurdles that are typical of large, established firms Established a new product trajectory Technology was successfully reintegrated back into the firm
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Conclusion (continued)
Teradyne has not developed a formula for success Too many uncontrollable forces Market conditions Technical feasibility Company culture The Alex d’Arbeloff Factor ` Customer Interest Don’t know if customers will adopt technology or even change their minds They respond to different market forces and different customers. Sometimes unpredictable Technical It just happened that the projects we’ve examined were technically successful It would have been a different story altogether if specifications were not achieved. Company culture Not every firm can be or would want to be as entrepreneurial and experimental as Teradyne D’Arbeloff Was truly the one man pushing hard to make Teradyne entrepreneurial Was the sole driving force behind Aurora Project and J401 Alex understood the value of Christensen’s discovery-based planning: diving into new technologies. “It may be that you need a CEO like Alex d’Arbeloff as part of the formula [for solving the Innovator’s Dilemma]. He’s a very bright, very persistent person and he understood entrepreneurial startups.” – Marc Levine, Aurora Project Manger
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Closing Remarks “Discovering markets for emerging technologies inherently involves failure, and most individual decision makers find it very difficult to risk backing a project that might fail because the market is not there.” – Clayton Christensen, The Innovator’s Dilemma “One must always be prepared for failure. Failure does not result in professional death. Instead, we must wrap failures back into the firm.” – Tom Newman, J401 Project Manager Customer Interest Don’t know if customers will adopt technology or even change their minds They respond to different market forces and different customers. Sometimes unpredictable Technical It just happened that the projects we’ve examined were technically successful It would have been a different story altogether if specifications were not achieved. Company culture Not every firm can be or would want to be as entrepreneurial and experimental as Teradyne D’Arbeloff Was truly the one man pushing hard to make Teradyne entrepreneurial Was the sole driving force behind Aurora Project and J401 Marc Levine: “
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Teradyne’s Aurora Project: Solving the Innovator’s Dilemma
Questions Teradyne’s Aurora Project: Solving the Innovator’s Dilemma
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