1. Weather Discussion Feb 2, 2010

2. Today is Groundhogs Day

3. Punxsutawney Phil National Climatic Data Center reportedly has stated that the overall accuracy rate is around 39 percent.

5. Replacement

6. The Forecast http://www.cnn.com/video/#/video/us/2010/02/02/von.punxsutawney.phil.stateofpa?h pt=C2http://www.cnn.com/video/#/video/us/2010/02/02/von.punxsutawney.phil.stateofpa?h pt=C2

7. January Records Over the NW JANUARY 2010 WAS THE WARMEST JANUARY ON RECORD IN SEATTLE INCLUDING THE RECORDS FROM THE FEDERAL BUILDING THAT GO BACK TO 1891. Seattle had a mean temperature in January of 47.0F. The old record was 46.55F in January 2006.

8. Sea Tac

9. More Amazing Facts THE AVERAGE HIGH TEMPERATURE IN SEATTLE FOR JANUARY WAS 51.5 DEGREES. THIS IS THE SECOND WARMEST AVERAGE HIGH TEMPERATURE FOR THE MONTH OF JANUARY. THE RECORD AVERAGE HIGH TEMPERATURE FOR THE MONTH OF JANUARY IS 52.0 DEGREES SET IN 1995. THE AVERAGE LOW TEMPERATURE FOR THE MONTH OF JANUARY WAS 42.5 DEGREES. THIS IS THE WARMEST AVERAGE LOW TEMPERATURE FOR THE MONTH OF JANUARY BREAKING THE RECORD OF 42.3 DEGREES SET IN 2006. THE NORMAL AVERAGE LOW TEMPERATURE FOR THE MONTH OF JANUARY IS 35.9 DEGREES.

10. SEA-TAC had a warmer average temperature than Tallahassee, Florida Warm enough for alligators to survive!

11. Sammamish River Trail: Bothell

12. More Bellingham had warmest January on record OLYMPIA WAS THE SECOND WARMEST SINCE 1948 (lost by.3F) QUILLAYUTE WAS NUMBER TWO (Lost by.2F) HOQUIAM WAS NUMBER TWO. Spokane had the 8th warmest January out of 130 years Moses Lake was the 5th warmest out of 48 years Wenatchee had the 10th warmest out of 84 years.

14. U.S. Temperature and Precipitation Departures During the Last 30 and 90 Days 30-day (ending 30 Jan 2010) temperature departures (degree C) Last 30 Days 30-day (ending 31 Jan 2010) % of average precipitation

15. California Reservoir Levels and Snowpack UP

17. Past Month 500 mb height anomaly http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/intraseasonal/z500_nh_anim.shtml

18. 500-hPa Height & Anoms.925-hPa Temp. Anoms. ( o C) 200-hPa Wind

19. AO

21. Niño Region SST Departures ( o C) Recent Evolution The latest weekly SST departures are: Niño 4 1.3ºC Niño 3.4 1.2ºC Niño 3 0.7ºC Niño 1+2 0.4ºC

22. Recent Evolution of Equatorial Pacific SST Departures ( o C) Longitude Time

23. U.S. Precipitation Departures (mm) and Frequency of Occurrence (%) for El Niño during Dec.-Feb.

24. U.S. Precipitation Departures (mm) and Frequency of Occurrence (%) for El Niño during Jan.-Mar.

25. U.S. Temp. Departures (°C) and Frequency of Occurrence (%) for El Niño during Dec.-Feb.

26. Pacific Niño 3.4 SST Outlook A majority of the models indicate that the current El Niño episode is near or at its peak (e.g. December-January-February).