1. CLIMATIC CHANGE AND DEBRIS FLOWS IN HIGH MOUNTAIN REGIONS: THE CASE STUDY OF THE RITIGRABEN TORRENT (SWISS ALPS) Reporter: 簡志安 Number ： 79842020

2. Introduction Terminology Site description Catastrophic Event Statistical Analysis Conclusion Outline

3. Introduce (1/3) Rise in temperature caused by climate change Beniston et al., 1994 Jones and Wigley, 1990 Beniston and Rebetez, 1996

4. Golbal warming impacts to the research watershed Haeberli et al, 1993 permafrost reactions to atmospheric warming : 1. Active layer thickening with thaw settlement in supersaturated materials 2. Disturbance of temperature distribution at depth 3. basal melting of permafrost with thaw settlement in supersaturated materials The frenquency of occurrence of these debris flows has increased since late 1980s. Introduce (2/3)

5. The factor which determine the occurrence of debris flow Lewin and Warburton, 1994 Zimmermann and Haeberli, 1992 Haeberli et al.,1993,1994 Introduce (3/3)

6. Terminology(1/1) Debris flows rapid mass movement of granular solids, water and air A mass movement that involves water- charged, predominantly coarse-grained inorganic and organic material flowing rapidly down a steep, confined, pre- existing channel

7. Site description (1/2) Pennine Alps South-western Switzerland On the slope of a large intra-alpine valley,Matteral

8. Site description (2/2) Approximate 2000m length From 1050m to 3100m altitude Slope between 15 ° and 35 ° Catchment area is 1.4km 2 1.Rock glacier 2.Present flow path of debris flow 3.Alluvial fan

9. The debris flow data from 1922~1994 years. The frequence of occurrence of these debris flow has increased since 1980s. Catastrophic Event (1/2)

11. Catastrophic Events in research watershed Two roads, railway, bridge Tourist resorts and other infrasructure 20 hectares of farmland The volume of material was estimates at 60000~90000(m 3 ) Catastrophic Events (2/2)

12. Statistical Analysis(1/6) The results of this analysis have shown that the coincidence between triggering of debris flows and extreme precipitation events Highest than 4σ(standard deviation) threshold. A three-day period. Other good relationships 3.5σ/4 、 3σ/5 day period (but 4σ/3 is the best)

13. The triggering of debris flow threshold

15. Statistical Analysis(4/6) No debris flows were triggered when rainfall amount below this threshold. But there were exist two events out of the ordinary 1979’s,1994’s. Two of the events rainfall amount above threshold, but there were no debris flows occurred. 1979’s : It seem to be the lack of sufficient sediments for a debris flow occur,these may had been removed from the torrent system by the previous flow in 1977’s. 1994’s :Debris flows occurred in 1991’s,1993’s at two year interval only,so there is not enough materials to occur debris flow.

16. Statistical Analysis(6/6) Temperature factor: Higher temperatures play a key role in the availability of sediments through glacier retreat and its impact on permafrost (Haeberli,1993) Borehole observations indicate an increase of permafrost temperatures during the last decadeat a rate of 0.1 K/year The study area revealed intense regressive erosion inside these scars due to the degradation of permafrost exposed to the open air (a retreat of about 1 meter was observed in some places) The snowmelt led to increase soil contains water

17. Evolution of minimum temperatures at study area

18. Evolution of maxmum temperatures at study area

19. Higher temperature play a key role in the availability of sediments through glacier retreat and its impact on permafrost. Alps and in Gr¨achen in particular, temperatures have risen during the 20th century,and particularly during the last 10–15 years, with far greater amplitudes than those observed at the global level There is a statistically significant positive correlation between severe storms and minimum temperature. (Dessens,1995) Conclusion (1/2)

20. Conclusion (2/2) Active layer thickening with thaw settlement in supersaturated material cause the sediment yield increased. The necessary conditions for triggering debris flow are : 1.Rainfall must exceed 4 σfor the accumulated precipitation on three-day period. 2.It is essential that there be a sufficient amount of sedimentary material available to feed the debris flow.

21. Thanks for attention