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Robert E. Hoskisson Michael A. Hitt R. Duane Ireland

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1 Robert E. Hoskisson Michael A. Hitt R. Duane Ireland
Chapter 3 The External Environment: Opportunities, Threats, Industry Competition, and Competitor Analysis Robert E. Hoskisson Michael A. Hitt R. Duane Ireland The External Environment: Opportunities, Threats, Industry Competition, and Competitor Analysis Detailed instructor notes on three topics have been included for this chapter: • How do firms maintain growth during difficult economic times? Bank of America and Nation’s Bank are given as examples with notes regarding past performance and current strategies. These notes begin with the first slide on “External Environment.” • How firms anticipate and deal with new entrants to the market. Wal-Mart’s entrance into the retail grocery business is detailed. These notes begin with the slide titles “Industry Environment,” which is the initial discussion of the five forces of competition. • How firms respond to new competitors (lead, follow, or ignore). Examples of leading, following, and ignoring include: o Universal Studios and Disney o Amazon.com and Barnes and Nobles o Amazon.com and Borders Books o CNN and NBC o CNN and ABC o CNN and CBS These notes begin with the first slide titled “Competitor Analysis.” ©2004 by South-Western/Thomson Learning

2 The Strategic Management Process
Chapter 1 Introduction to Strategic Management Chapter 2 Strategic Leadership Strategic Thinking Chapter 3 The External Environment Strategic Analysis Chapter 5 Business-Level Strategy Chapter 6 Competitive Rivalry and Competitive Dynamics Chapter 7 Corporate-Level Strategy Creating Competitive Advantage Chapter 8 Acquisition and Restructuring Strategies Chapter 9 International Strategy Chapter 10 Cooperative Strategy Monitoring And Creating Entrepreneurial Opportunities Chapter 11 Corporate Governance Chapter 12 Strategic Entrepreneurship

3 External Environmental Analysis
A continuous process which includes Scanning: Identifying early signals of environmental changes and trends Monitoring: Detecting meaning through ongoing observations of environmental changes and trends Forecasting: Developing projections of anticipated outcomes based on monitored changes and trends Assessing: Determining the timing and importance of environmental changes and trends for firms’ strategies and their management The External Environment (cont.) Where do firms find growth in poor economic times? Example: Financial Services Industry (Bank of America and NationsBank) (cont.) Major Threat Bank of America has had very slow revenue growth the past three years. The goal is to have greater than 10% growth going forward: $30.8 billion $32.5 billion (rate 5.5%) $33.2 billion (rate 3.1% $34.9 billion (rate 5.1%) Key Strategy Leverage demographic and socioeconomic changes in the United States: • Powerful branch network (4,208 as of 12/02) • Powerful ATM network (13,013 as of 12/02) • Do business in states with high minority populations (especially Latin-Americans), namely California, Texas, Florida, Maryland, Arizona, and so on) (Continued next slide.)

4 External Environmental Analysis
Sources of information External: printed materials, trade shows, external network contacts, etc. Internal: employees in boundary spanning positions, etc. The External Environment (cont.) Where do firms find growth in poor economic times? Example: Financial Services Industry (Bank of America and NationsBank) (cont.) Major Threat Bank of America has had very slow revenue growth the past three years. The goal is to have greater than 10% growth going forward: $30.8 billion $32.5 billion (rate 5.5%) $33.2 billion (rate 3.1% $34.9 billion (rate 5.1%) Key Strategy Leverage demographic and socioeconomic changes in the United States: • Powerful branch network (4,208 as of 12/02) • Powerful ATM network (13,013 as of 12/02) • Do business in states with high minority populations (especially Latin-Americans), namely California, Texas, Florida, Maryland, Arizona, and so on) (Continued next slide.)

5 The External Environment
Economic General Industry Environment Threat of new entrants Power of suppliers Power of buyers Product substitutes Intensity of rivalry General Demographic Sociocultural The External Environment Where do firms find growth in poor economic times? Example: Financial Services Industry (Bank of America and NationsBank) Past Strategies In the 1990s, NationsBank and Bank of America expanded through asset gathering, diversification (i.e., inter-state banking, geographic, product, etc.). In less that ten years they went from a roughly $8 billion to more than $620 billion on $35 billion in revenue in 2001. M&A History 1992 NCNB and C&S Sovran form NationsBank 1994 NationsBank acquires MNC 1995 NationsBank acquires BankSouth 1996 NationsBank acquires Boatman’s Bank & Montgomery Securities 1997 NationsBank acquires Barnet Bank 1998 NationsBank and Bank of America merge Major thrust U.S.-based retail banking: Consumer banking accounts for over 61% of Bank of America revenue and NI. (Continued next slide.) Political/Legal Competitor Environment Global Environment Environment Technological General

6 General Environment Degree of impact varies across industries and firms Six segments: Political/Legal Sociocultural Demographic Economic Technological Global

7 Industry Environment A set of factors that directly influences a company and its competitive actions and responses Has a more direct effect on a firm’s value creation and above-average returns when compared with the general environment Industry Environment Can firms anticipate new entrants to the market? (Grocery Retailing) Example 1: Wal-Mart Question How do we (Wal-Mart) leverage our strengths (fast turnover of goods, low-cost volume buying, etc.) to increase traffic and volume at our stores? In 2000 U.S. grocery sales grew by 3.4%, reaching $570 billion. Answer • Create and expand shelf space for groceries and dry good products. • Expand Supercenter Format to leverage additional shelf space: in 2001, grocery sales accounted for $17.1 billion in sales or 30% of total sales: o First Supercenter store opened in 1988; by 2000 Wal-Mart had 721 Supercenters o Supercenter openings consist of 60%-70% of new store openings within Wal-Mart o Wal-Mart projects 1,400 Supercenters by 2005 Fast Forward What share of the grocery market will Wal-Mart control in 2010?

8 Five Forces Model of Competition
An industry-level analytical model An industry is a group of firms producing products that are close substitutes. However….. Analysis goes beyond direct competitors to include potential competitors such as suppliers, customers, etc. Five Forces Model of Competition Can firms anticipate new entrants to the market? (Grocery Retailing) Example 2: Traditional Supermarkets Question Given the low margins and relatively low growth of this industry, should we (traditional supermarkets) expect new entrants into our domain? In 2000 U.S. grocery sales grew by 3.4%, reaching $570 billion. Answer No new entrants are likely. Thus prepare for continued industry consolidation. Specific Case Winn Dixie (now known as WD) is a good example. It has over 1,000 stores in 14 states, primarily in the Southeast, a stronghold for Wal-Mart. WD has responded to Wal-Mart’s challenge by remodeling its stores (over 60% in the franchise), closing unprofitable stores (112 stores in 2001) and other manufacturing / distribution centers, taking a $522 million restructuring charge. Strategic Reaction I Crank up M&A activity to gain economies of scale and lower its cost structure: • In 2000 WD acquired the Gooding’s Markets chain in Orlando. • In 2001 WD acquired 68 stores of Mississippi-based Jitney Jungle. (Continued on next slide.)

9 Five Forces Model of Competition
Five Forces of Competition Rivalry Among Competing Firms Threat of New Entrants Threat of Substitute Products Bargaining Power of Suppliers Five Forces Model of Competition (cont.) Can firms anticipate new entrants to the market? (Grocery Retailing) Example 2: Traditional Supermarkets (cont.) Strategic Reaction II Expand private label items: WD brand items carry higher profit margins than comparable national brands. Fifty-one percent of buying public purchase private label brands “every time” or “fairly often” when they shop. WD can leverage this trend. For example, its WD Chek soda is a market leader in many of WD’s core markets. Fast Forward Will WD still be in existence as an independent company in 2010? Bargaining Power of Buyers

10 Threat of New Entrants Barriers to entry Economies of scale
Product differentiation Capital requirements Switching costs Access to distribution channels Cost disadvantages independent of scale Government policy Expected retaliation

11 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
A supplier group is powerful when: it is dominated by a few large companies satisfactory substitute products are not available to industry firms industry firms are not a significant customer for the supplier group suppliers’ goods are critical to buyers’ marketplace success effectiveness of suppliers’ products has created high switching costs suppliers are a credible threat to integrate forward into the buyers’ industry

12 Bargaining Power of Buyers
Buyers (customers) are powerful when: they purchase a large portion of an industry’s total output the sales of the product being purchased account for a significant portion of the seller’s annual revenues they could easily switch to another product the industry’s products are undifferentiated or standardized, and buyers pose a credible threat if they were to integrate backward into the seller’s industry

13 Threat of Substitute Products
Product substitutes are strong threat when: customers face few switching costs substitute product’s price is lower substitute product’s quality and performance capabilities are equal to or greater than those of the competing product

14 Intensity of Rivalry Intensity of rivalry is stronger when competitors: are numerous or equally balanced experience slow industry growth have high fixed costs or high storage costs lack differentiation or low switching costs experience high strategic stakes have high exit barriers

15 Five Forces Model of Competition
Identify attractive industries to compete in (I/O Model) Which industries are considered attractive? High entry barriers Suppliers and buyers with weak bargaining positions Weak competitive threats from substitute products Low competitive rivalry Five Forces Model of Competition Can firms anticipate new entrants to the market? (Grocery Retailing) Example 2: Traditional Supermarkets Question Given the low margins and relatively low growth of this industry, should we (traditional supermarkets) expect new entrants into our domain? In 2000 U.S. grocery sales grew by 3.4%, reaching $570 billion. Answer No new entrants are likely. Thus prepare for continued industry consolidation. Specific Case Winn Dixie (now known as WD) is a good example. It has over 1,000 stores in 14 states, primarily in the Southeast, a stronghold for Wal-Mart. WD has responded to Wal-Mart’s challenge by remodeling its stores (over 60% in the franchise), closing unprofitable stores (112 stores in 2001) and other manufacturing / distribution centers, taking a $522 million restructuring charge. Strategic Reaction I Crank up M&A activity to gain economies of scale and lower its cost structure: • In 2000 WD acquired the Gooding’s Markets chain in Orlando. • In 2001 WD acquired 68 stores of Mississippi-based Jitney Jungle. (Continued on next slide.)

16 Strategic Groups Strategic group: a group of firms in an industry following the same or similar strategy along the same strategic dimensions. What dimensions? Pricing policies Product quality Customer service Technological leadership etc. Five Forces Model of Competition Can firms anticipate new entrants to the market? (Grocery Retailing) Example 2: Traditional Supermarkets Question Given the low margins and relatively low growth of this industry, should we (traditional supermarkets) expect new entrants into our domain? In 2000 U.S. grocery sales grew by 3.4%, reaching $570 billion. Answer No new entrants are likely. Thus prepare for continued industry consolidation. Specific Case Winn Dixie (now known as WD) is a good example. It has over 1,000 stores in 14 states, primarily in the Southeast, a stronghold for Wal-Mart. WD has responded to Wal-Mart’s challenge by remodeling its stores (over 60% in the franchise), closing unprofitable stores (112 stores in 2001) and other manufacturing / distribution centers, taking a $522 million restructuring charge. Strategic Reaction I Crank up M&A activity to gain economies of scale and lower its cost structure: • In 2000 WD acquired the Gooding’s Markets chain in Orlando. • In 2001 WD acquired 68 stores of Mississippi-based Jitney Jungle. (Continued on next slide.)

17 Strategic Groups Implications:
Strength of the five industry forces differ across strategic groups Competitive rivalry within strategic groups is greater than between strategic groups The greater the similarity between strategic groups, the greater the likelihood of rivalry between groups Five Forces Model of Competition Can firms anticipate new entrants to the market? (Grocery Retailing) Example 2: Traditional Supermarkets Question Given the low margins and relatively low growth of this industry, should we (traditional supermarkets) expect new entrants into our domain? In 2000 U.S. grocery sales grew by 3.4%, reaching $570 billion. Answer No new entrants are likely. Thus prepare for continued industry consolidation. Specific Case Winn Dixie (now known as WD) is a good example. It has over 1,000 stores in 14 states, primarily in the Southeast, a stronghold for Wal-Mart. WD has responded to Wal-Mart’s challenge by remodeling its stores (over 60% in the franchise), closing unprofitable stores (112 stores in 2001) and other manufacturing / distribution centers, taking a $522 million restructuring charge. Strategic Reaction I Crank up M&A activity to gain economies of scale and lower its cost structure: • In 2000 WD acquired the Gooding’s Markets chain in Orlando. • In 2001 WD acquired 68 stores of Mississippi-based Jitney Jungle. (Continued on next slide.)

18 Competitor Environment
Focuses on direct competitors Process includes the ethical gathering of needed information and data about competitors’ objectives, strategies, assumptions, and capabilities Objective: Understand, interpret, and predict competitors’ actions and responses Five Forces Model of Competition Can firms anticipate new entrants to the market? (Grocery Retailing) Example 2: Traditional Supermarkets Question Given the low margins and relatively low growth of this industry, should we (traditional supermarkets) expect new entrants into our domain? In 2000 U.S. grocery sales grew by 3.4%, reaching $570 billion. Answer No new entrants are likely. Thus prepare for continued industry consolidation. Specific Case Winn Dixie (now known as WD) is a good example. It has over 1,000 stores in 14 states, primarily in the Southeast, a stronghold for Wal-Mart. WD has responded to Wal-Mart’s challenge by remodeling its stores (over 60% in the franchise), closing unprofitable stores (112 stores in 2001) and other manufacturing / distribution centers, taking a $522 million restructuring charge. Strategic Reaction I Crank up M&A activity to gain economies of scale and lower its cost structure: • In 2000 WD acquired the Gooding’s Markets chain in Orlando. • In 2001 WD acquired 68 stores of Mississippi-based Jitney Jungle. (Continued on next slide.)

19 Competitor Analysis Response: Response Future objectives
Current strategy What will our competitors do in the future? Where do we hold an advantage over our competitors? How will this change our relationship with our competitors? Assumptions Capabilities


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