1. Managing forests for carbon storage Bill Keeton Rubenstein School of Environment and Natural Resources University of Vermont

2. What is the best way to increase carbon storage in forest ecosystems? Intensified forest harvests, favoring fast rates of uptake and storage in wood products? Reduced harvesting intensity/frequency and/or passive management (reserves) favoring carbon storage in extant forests?

7. Carbon storage in old and structurally complex forests Keeton et al. 2007. Ecological Applications

9. Biomass in Mature vs. Old-growth Forests: Old Forests Store Large Amounts of Carbon! Ukraine: M. Tchernyavskyy and W. Keeton U.S. Pacific Northwest: J. Franklin U.S. Northeast: W. Keeton Data Sources:

10. Modified from: Schelhaas, M.J. et al. 2004. CO2FIX V 3.1 – A modelling framework for quantifying carbon sequestration in forest ecosystems.

11. Figure from Ingerson. 2007.

12. Carbon residence time in wood products Northern hardwood forests in the U.S. Northeast Data from Smith et al. (2006). USDA Forest Service GTR NE-343

13. Figure from Ingerson. 2007.

14. Modified from: Schelhaas, M.J. et al. 2004. CO2FIX V 3.1 – A modelling framework for quantifying carbon sequestration in forest ecosystems.

15. Forest Biomass Fuel Added harvest margin during regeneration harvest. e.g. whole-tree harvesting or increased removal of cull Stand improvement or thinning to harvest cull. Issues and concerns Key: how will this be generated?

16. Coarse Woody Debris in Northern Hardwood Forests Even-agedSingle-tree SelectionOld-Growth Habitat Nitrogen Fixation Soil organic matter Mycorrhizal fungi Nurse logs Erosion reduction Riparian functions Figure from McGee et al. (1999)

17. Modified from: Schelhaas, M.J. et al. 2004. CO2FIX V 3.1 – A modelling framework for quantifying carbon sequestration in forest ecosystems.

18. Key Points Forest carbon sequestration is not a silver bullet solution Sustainable forest management is one of many strategies: –10% of U.S. CO 2 emissions are offset annually by sequestration in forests –Deforestation accounts for 20 to 30% of global greenhouse gas emissions Sustainable forest carbon management can provide co-varying ecological values There are management issues that must be resolved

19. Carbon Credits Through Forest Management Kyoto Agreement: Reforestation or afforestation (plantations established prior to 1990) in developing countries In developed countries, 5% of emissions can be offset through forest management. Developing “Cap and Trade” Markets: Reforestation/afforestation Avoided deforestation NEW! Credits for “improved forest management” –Have to demonstrate “additionality” in carbon storage over baseline management –Permanence and leakage issues

20. Credits for Active Forestry

22. VMC - Vermont Forest Ecosystem Management Demonstration Project 1.Single-Tree Selection  BDq modified to enhance post-harvest structural retention 2.Group Selection  BDq modified to enhance post-harvest structural retention  Mimic opening sizes (0.05 ha) created by fine- scale disturbances (Seymour et al. 2002) 3. Structural Complexity Enhancement:  Promotes late-successional/old-growth characteristics

23. Mt Mansfield State Forest University of Vermont, Jericho Research Forest

25. Cumulative Projected Total Basal Area How much have we accelerated growth rates? Normalized cumulative BAI: “treatment BAI” minus “no treatment BAI” at each time step Keeton. 2006. Forest Ecology and Management

26. Silvicultural Options: Even-Aged/Multi-aged systems

27. Extended Rotations Periodic annual increment Mean annual increment Stand age (Years) 20120 Cubic ft./acre/year 0 300 From Curtis (1997)

28. Silvicultural Options: Disturbance-based/retention forestry

29. 75 Mg/Ha

30. 90 Mg/Ha

31. 20 Mg/ha

33. Silvicultural Options: Uneven-Aged

34. 40 cm max. 50 cm max.80-100 cm max. Maximized volume production Lower vol. production but large dimension sawtimber Maximized large sawtimber volume and value growth Low CarbonMedium CarbonHigh Carbon LowIntermediateHigh Stand Structural Complexity # stems Diameter # stems Diameter # stems

35. 178.9 Mg/ha NE-FVS projections run in NED-2: “planting” to simulate regeneration Regeneration based on plot data Mixed species, proportions as sampled

36. 216.6 Mg/ha 178.9 Mg/ha 37.7 Mg/ha

37. 216.6 Mg/ha 178.9 Mg/ha 292.3 Mg/ha 75.7 Mg/ha 114.4 Mg/ha

38. 223.8 Mg/ha 178.9 Mg/ha 216.6 Mg/ha59.9 Mg/ha

39. 223.8 Mg/ha 251.6 Mg/ha 27.8 Mg/ha

40. 304.5 Mg/ha 216.6 Mg/ha 292.3 Mg/ha 178.9 Mg/ha 251.6 Mg/ha 223.8 Mg/ha 55.9 Mg/ha 80.7 Mg/ha

41. 100 0 200300400500600 25 50 75 100 125 Carbon (Mg/ha) Years Total carbon sequestration + emissions offset Biofuel offset of fossil fuel emissions Soil carbon Carbon in aboveground biomass Carbon in wood fuel CO2fix Model Simulation: Scenario = harvest for biomass only, northern hardwood stand, UVM Jericho Research Forest Data courtesy of Andy Book, Mike Thomas, and John Shane

42. Carbon (Mg/ha) Total carbon sequestration + emissions offset Soil carbon Years 125 100 75 50 25 0 100200300400500 Carbon in wood products Biofuel offset CO2fix Model Simulation Scenario = low intensity selection harvest for durable wood products and biomass, northern hardwood stand, UVM Jericho Research Forest Carbon in aboveground biomass Data courtesy of Andy Book, Mike Thomas, and John Shane

43. Conclusions Even, multi-aged, and uneven-aged silvicultural options are available for increasing net carbon storage in managed stands. Options include: –Longer rotations or entry cycles –Post-harvest retention –Modified uneven-aged approaches that promote structural complexity and high biomass conditions –Passive management: reserves that will develop high levels of biomass