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U.S. Wireless Broadband: LMDS, MMDS and Unlicensed Spectrum February 17, 2000 Presented By: Peter Jarich & James Mendelson
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The Strategis Group Broadband Information Services Telecom Information Services Since 1964 Global Presence Publications in All Fields –Wireless Broadband –Internet User Trends –Branding & Bundling –Competitive Telephony & Convergence –Consumer, Financial, Technology Focus Online News Services
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WHAT? What Is Fixed Wireless? Why Is It Important?
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The Wireless Local Loop? Fixed, not mobile. Not simply voice. All you need is spectrum!
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The Spectrum? Three emerging technologies. Individual characteristics. Individual costs.
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The Importance? New Technologies Living Examples Major Carriers Real Drivers
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WHY? What is the Fixed Wireless Business Model?
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Fixed Wireless Cost Structure 80% Labor Cost vs. 80% Equip. Costs “Backhoes Don’t Obey Moore’s Law.” - Tren Griffin VP Strategy, NEXTLINK
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Fixed Wireless “Control Structure” Facilities Competition is the only option! Profit Control Service Control The Reality of the 14 Points Resale Unbundle Local Loop Unbundle T-1 On-Network Profit Margins Service Control
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Wireless = Bundling (Practice) Wireless Exceeds Expectations! 35%35+% 25% Bundling Take Rates
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60 - 70 mi MMDS Cell Site Migration Macro to Micro- cellular deployments. More spectrum per end-user. More bandwidth per end-user. Cell Site Migration 5-10 mi
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WHO? Who has Launched Broadband Wireless Services and Where is it Available?
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Local Multipoint Distribution Service Hype Becoming Reality Urban & Rural Major & Minor Players NEXTLINK HighSpeed.Com
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MMDS - Wireless Cable Following the Cable Model One-Way & Two Way Urban & Rural
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MMDS - Wireless Cable Sprint & MCI WorldCom Battle AT&T with Nationwide Coverage ~200 Markets Rural & Urban Operational Non-Operating
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Unlicensed Spectrum Broadband The Early Winner? 200+ Markets Rural Deployment Multipoint
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HOW MUCH? What Revenues will Wireless Broadband Earn?
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Forecast Assumptions Internet as Key Driver –current emphasis –local phone service is ubiquitous –new technologies and mission-critical voice Scope of Total Internet Market –2003 Business Penetration = 74.1% to 91.8% –2003 Residential Penetration = 83.6% –2003 Access & Transport Revenues = $34.1 Billion Target Markets 2000 - 2001 Launch Dates
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Network Coverage - Business
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Network Coverage (Households)
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Broadband Wireless Subscribers Business Subscribers
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Broadband Wireless Subscribers Residential Subscribers
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Service Revenues By Technology Millions, $ 2003 Total: $3.4 Billion
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Broadband Wireless Market Share By Service
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WHAT DOES IT ALL MEAN? What Conclusions Can We Draw?
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U.S. Wireless Broadband Perspectives Wireless Broadband Is Here Today Wireless Is Not Just Voice Wireless Meets End-user Demand For Bundles Wireless Meets Operator Demand For Revenue And Service Control Revenues Are Growing Quickly And Will Be Substantial!
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U.S. Wireless Broadband: LMDS, MMDS and Unlicensed Spectrum To Purchase:Tim Riordan (202) 530-7591 triordan@strategisgroup.com Further Questions:Jamie Mendelson (202) 530-7589 jmendelson@strategisgroup.com Price: $2,400 (pdf/html) $2,900 (print)
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