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Creating Winning Conditions: Michael Holden | Canada West Foundation | May 2011 What governments can do to advance economic relations with China and India.

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Presentation on theme: "Creating Winning Conditions: Michael Holden | Canada West Foundation | May 2011 What governments can do to advance economic relations with China and India."— Presentation transcript:

1 Creating Winning Conditions: Michael Holden | Canada West Foundation | May 2011 What governments can do to advance economic relations with China and India

2 Presentation Overview 1.Current State of Trade and Investment 2.Recent Policy Initiatives 3.Additional Policy Considerations Creating Winning Conditions: What governments can do to advance economic relations with China and India | Michael Holden | May 2011

3 Canada’s trade relationship with China and India is expanding rapidly… Creating Winning Conditions: What governments can do to advance economic relations with China and India | Michael Holden | May 2011 Source: CWF calculations using Statistics Canada data

4 …as is Alberta’s. Creating Winning Conditions: What governments can do to advance economic relations with China and India | Michael Holden | May 2011 Source: CWF calculations using Statistics Canada data

5 China is a far more significant trading partner, both nationally… 17.5% of western Canada’s exports in 2009. 2010 Trade To China: Exports: $13.2 b Imports: $44.5 b To India: Exports: $2.1 b Imports: $2.1 b 2010 Trade To China: Exports: $13.2 b Imports: $44.5 b To India: Exports: $2.1 b Imports: $2.1 b Source: CWF calculations using Statistics Canada data as a % of total trade worldwide Creating Winning Conditions: What governments can do to advance economic relations with China and India | Michael Holden | May 2011

6 …and provincially. Source: CWF calculations using Statistics Canada data $141 million Creating Winning Conditions: What governments can do to advance economic relations with China and India | Michael Holden | May 2011

7 Even in China, however, Canada is running to stand still. Source: CWF calculations using data from the National Bureau of Statistics of China and the Indian Department of Commerce Creating Winning Conditions: What governments can do to advance economic relations with China and India | Michael Holden | May 2011

8 Both China and India are emerging as major sources of FDI into Canada. FDI into Canada (2010): China: Total FDI: $14.1 billion 7 th -largest source of FDI into Canada India: Total FDI: $6.6 billion 11 th -largest source of FDI into Canada FDI into Canada (2010): China: Total FDI: $14.1 billion 7 th -largest source of FDI into Canada India: Total FDI: $6.6 billion 11 th -largest source of FDI into Canada Source: Statistics Canada Creating Winning Conditions: What governments can do to advance economic relations with China and India | Michael Holden | May 2011

9 Presentation Overview 1.Current State of Trade and Investment 2.Recent Policy Initiatives 3.Additional Policy Considerations Creating Winning Conditions: What governments can do to advance economic relations with China and India | Michael Holden | May 2011

10 Federal Government Initiatives: 1.Global Commerce Strategy  China and India identified as priority markets  DFAIT: China and India “present enormous business opportunities and…are key links to global value chains.”  India Engagement Strategy Creating Winning Conditions: What governments can do to advance economic relations with China and India | Michael Holden | May 2011

11 Federal Government Initiatives: 2.Key initiatives/developments:  Free trade negotiations with India (November 2010)  Canada granted Approved Destination Status by China (2010)  Canada-China Science and Technology Agreement (2007)  BIT agreement with India (completed June 2007)  Canada-India Science and Technology Agreement (2005)  BIT negotiations with China (ongoing since 2004)  Asia-Pacific Gateway and Corridor Initiative Creating Winning Conditions: What governments can do to advance economic relations with China and India | Michael Holden | May 2011

12 Provincial Government Initiatives: 1.Fewer policy tools available for provincial governments  Power to sign international treaties falls under federal jurisdiction 2. Key initiatives/developments:  Frequent government-led trade missions  Establishment of overseas offices  New West Partnership: AB, BC, SK to cooperate on trade and investment development Creating Winning Conditions: What governments can do to advance economic relations with China and India | Michael Holden | May 2011

13 Presentation Overview 1.Current State of Trade and Investment 2.Recent Policy Initiatives 3.Additional Policy Considerations Creating Winning Conditions: What governments can do to advance economic relations with China and India | Michael Holden | May 2011

14 Federal Government: 1.Sustained policy commitment and focus are required  Global Commerce Strategy: 13 “priority markets” include more than 90 countries  Consistent and adequate funding  Will a majority government improve policy efforts? 2. Domestic transportation issues need to be addressed  Are APGCI investments sufficient?  West coast pipeline issues and related energy policies Creating Winning Conditions: What governments can do to advance economic relations with China and India | Michael Holden | May 2011

15 Federal Government: 3.Foreign direct investment rules need to be clarified  China and India are becoming major investors in energy and other “strategic” Canadian assets  Concerns over foreign (state-owned) control of Canadian resources  Recent high-profile rejections call into question the transparency and predictability of the investment review process Creating Winning Conditions: What governments can do to advance economic relations with China and India | Michael Holden | May 2011

16 Federal/Provincial Governments: 1.Improve government engagement and visibility overseas  Commercial relations and government-to-government ties are closely connected in many Asia-Pacific markets  Frequent visits by government leaders send an important signal about their commitment to building commercial ties Creating Winning Conditions: What governments can do to advance economic relations with China and India | Michael Holden | May 2011

17 Provincial Government: 1.Continue cooperative efforts through the New West Partnership  Helps to ensure consistency of messaging  Presents a united front overseas  Better use of available resources and market intelligence 2.Develop education- and tourism-specific strategies  Service sector opportunities should not be overlooked  Canada has lagged Australia and others in exploiting opportunities in education services  ADS could be a boon to Alberta Creating Winning Conditions: What governments can do to advance economic relations with China and India | Michael Holden | May 2011

18 Final Thoughts: 1.China and India hold enormous market potential for Alberta and Canada 2. Many policy options for improving economic ties with China and India 3. Most important determinant of success is a sustained and concerted policy effort Creating Winning Conditions: What governments can do to advance economic relations with China and India | Michael Holden | May 2011

19 For all our research, commentary and activities, visit Canada West Foundation’s website at www.cwf.ca. For all the latest news, follow us at: twitter.com/CanadaWestFdn facebook.com/canadawestfoundation


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