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THE SOLUTION A cademic M astery P roject. BLACK SWAN THEORY Black Swan Events are high-impact, hard-to-predict, and rare events that are beyond the realm.

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Presentation on theme: "THE SOLUTION A cademic M astery P roject. BLACK SWAN THEORY Black Swan Events are high-impact, hard-to-predict, and rare events that are beyond the realm."— Presentation transcript:

1 THE SOLUTION A cademic M astery P roject

2 BLACK SWAN THEORY Black Swan Events are high-impact, hard-to-predict, and rare events that are beyond the realm of normal expectations. Such events are considered “extreme outliers” (Taleb, 2007).

3 IDENTIFYING A BLACK SWAN EVENT 1.The event is a surprise 2.The event has a major impact 3.After the fact, the event is rationalized by hindsight, as if it had been expected.

4 Arkansas’s Math Remediation Problem Two-Year College – 66% + Four-Year College – 33% (Arkansas Dept. of Higher Ed. 2008)

5 76% of college students who take remedial courses in reading never earn a degree. 75 % of college students who take remedial courses in math never earn a degree. (George, 2010) Nationwide Remediation Problem

6 THE NORMAL CURVE All swans are white and the world does not offer any surprises. A rather boring place to live. (Most predictions in the world come from the assumption that all statistics fit the bell-curve model.)

7 Foundations of Mathematics

8 Reality for Developmental Education There are plenty of black swans. Two sets of outliers with different needs. An exciting world with little predictability.

9 Does Developmental Education Work? Direct Entry Students ACT Scores or 19 or above Mean – 2.32 Out of 4 points possible Standard Deviation – 1.24 Students required to take Intermediate Algebra Mean – 2.29 Out of 4 points possible Standard Deviation -.65

10 Foundations of Mathematics A Black Swan Process 1.Contains all of the competencies of Essential Mathematics, Introductory Algebra and Intermediate Algebra. 2.Modulated competencies. 3.Computer Based program (Hawkes) 4.Based on Mastery Learning (80% / B level). 5.Student Regulated. 6.Open exit. 7.Pre and Post-test Assessment.

11 After Two Semesters Traditional Intermediate Algebra Class – A & B - 35% (Mastery Level) – C – 40% – D – 5% – F – 5% – Drop-outs 15% Foundations (23 students) – Essential – Intermediate 28% – Essential – Introductory Algebra 26% – Introductory Algebra – Intermediate Algebra 25% – Essential 17% – Non-completers – 2% – Drop-outs – 2%  28 % of the students enrolled completed three developmental courses with a B or better grade.  51% or the students enrolled completed two developmental courses with an B or better grade.

12 What About Today? 1.Present enrollment 41. 2.32 starting at module 1-6. 3.2 starting at modules 7-10. 4.7 starting at modules 11-14. 5.4 students completed modules 1-6 retook the Compass and tested into Modules 11- 14. 6.2 students completed modules 1-6 retook the Compass and were placed in modules 7-10.

13 Academic Mastery Project

14 The Problem  The graduation rate for students requiring remediation in more than one level of English, Reading, and Mathematics is near ZERO.  Those students cannot graduate within 150% of program time.

15 The Problem 75% of students who are remedial in mathematics NEVER graduate (George, 2010).

16 The Problem  Community colleges receive a majority of entering students who require remediation and a vast majority of students requiring remediation in all three areas.  At CCCUA, 74% of students are remedial in one area. 65% are remedial in all areas.  Remediation = low statistical chances of graduation.  Community college students = 74% remedial students.

17 The Solution Academic Mastery Project (AMP)  Pilot phase  Some data, but more required

18 The Solution  Total redesign of remedial progression.  Mastery based learning (80% proficiency or better).  Modules similar to Adult Education format.  Completely customized to individual student needs.

19 The Solution Two new classes take the place of six remedial classes:  Foundations for Writing – Replaces College Reading, Essential English, and Developmental Writing  Foundation of Mathematics – Replaced Essential Math, Introductory Algebra, and Intermediate Algebra

20 The Solution  Foundations of Writing will be piloted in the Spring 2011 semester.  AMP will be piloted with 40 students in the Fall 2011.  All instruction by full-time faculty…no adjuncts.  Computer based lab components accessible from anywhere.

21 The Solution  AMP will contain a learning community of students who require remediation in all three areas: Reading, English, and Mathematics.  The students will be enrolled in – Foundations of Mathematics – Foundations for Writing – Success Strategies

22 Implications AMP will allow students to:  complete remediation in one semester.  graduate within 150% of program length.  gain documented mastery skills necessary to persist in college level courses.

23 Implications With AMP:  Remediation costs to the institution and the state will be greatly reduced (maybe cut in half!).  Students will save the time and costs of up to 12 credit hours of tuition and 4 text books.

24 Citations George, M. (2010). Ethics and motivation in remedial mathematics education. Community College Review, 38(1), 82. Taleb, M. (2007).


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