1. Karachi Bus Rapid Transit Progress
Prof. Dr. Mir Shabbar Ali

2. Presentation on BRTS in Karachi
Courtesy:
Mirza Anwar Baig Consultant Karachi Mass Transit Cell, KMC

3. Population Projection for Karachi
An increase of another 4 million people
Projection in KTIP
Projection in KSDP 2020
An increase of almost 9 million people
Current Population
On an average the population will grow at a rate of 4.1% per annum.
the population is expected to increase to 27.5 million in year 2020.
The population growth is not linear because of the fact that after a certain time people starts shifting to new locations, but still it is expected to be above 30 million by the year 2030.
Source : KTIP 2030

4. Expected Population Growth Trend by Town upto 2030
Gadap Town
New Karachi Town
Kemari Town
Bin Qasim Town
Most of the population growth is expected to take place in the out skirts of the existing city i.e. Gadap Town, Bin Qasim Town, Keamari Town, New Karachi Town as the centre is already densely populated.

5. All Metropolises of the world have Mass Transit Systems EXCEPT KARACHI
World Metropolitan Population
Karachi in 2030
Karachi Now
All Metropolises of the world have Mass Transit Systems EXCEPT KARACHI

6. Status of Existing Public Transport [Vehicle Count VS Occupancy Comparison]
4.5% composition of Public Transport Vehicles carry 42% of Total Persons Traveling in the City.
Private Cars which is 36.5% of Total Vehicular Traffic carries only 21% of Persons. Showing Lesser Average Vehicle Occupancy.
The above leads to the conclusion that there is still deficiency of Public Transport availability on all Major Routes in the city.

7. Karachi Transport Improvement Plan 2030
In order to improve the transport situation in Karachi city KARACHI TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT STUDY PROJECT 2010 – 12 was conducted by Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) in association with Karachi Mass Transit Cell (KMTC), Karachi Metropolitan Corporation (KMC) including preparation of Transport Master Plan with 2030 vision

8. Karachi Transport Improvement Plan 2030
The JICA Study Team has reviewed the corridors and the systems in previous plans and analyzed alternatives corridors and systems.
The master plan network consists of
Karachi Circular Railway (KCR),
Two Mass Rapid Transits (MRTs) named as Blue Line and Brown Line and
6 Bus Rapid Transits (BRTs) along major corridors.

9. Karachi Transport Improvement Plan 2030
BRT-1
Length: Km
BRT-4
Length: Km
BRT-2
Length: Km
BRT-5
Length: Km
BRT-6
Length: Km
BRT-3
Length: Km
Total length of Mass Transit Network: km
MRT Network: 98.5 km; BRT Network: 91.3

10. Karachi Transport Improvement Plan 2030
JICA identified Red, Green and Yellow Line as priority corridors and completed technical feasibility study for Red and Green Line.
No resettlement and Land procurement issues in the BRT Corridors/Lines.
The Project Development of BRT Yellow Line was approved in the 9th PPP Policy Board held in November 2012.
Accordingly KMTC, KMC has engaged a consortium of consultancy firms consisting of financial, legal and technical, expertise to act as Transaction Advisors for the Project in April 2013.
The Advisory Consortium consists of

11. BRT “Yellow” Line
(Project Brief)

12. BRT Yellow Line - Route Yellow Line Proposed Elevated Structure
Dawood Chowrangi
Murtaza Chowrangi
Singer Chowrangi
Bilal Chowrangi
Vita Chowrangi
Chamra Chowrangi
Brooks Chowrangi
KPT Interchange
Kh -e- Ittehad
Sunset Boulevard
DHA More
Kala Pull
Shah Ahmad
Noorani
FTC Interchange
Nursery
Allah Wali Chowrangi
Mansehra Colony
Jam Sadiq Bridge
Khalid Bin Waleed Road
People’s Roundabout
CDGK Parking Plaza
Empress Market
Regal Chowk
Numaish
Khudadad Colony
Yellow Line
Proposed Bridge Widening
Proposed Elevated Structure
At-Grade Station
Proposed Grade Separated Station
Proposed Elevated Structure (For Mix Traffic)
BRT (In Mix Traffic)

13. Salient Features after Initial Study
Average speed of system 30 km/hr
Corridor length 26 km (Dedicated: 16km, Elevated 4km, Mixed Traffic 4km)
Estimated BRT
Ridership ,000 Pax per day
Bridge widening one (1km)
Estimated project cost PKR 8-10 bn
Proposed stations 24
Overhead pedestrian bridges 24
Proposed flyovers Three

14. Progress of the Transaction Advisors on Yellow Line is as follows:
Project Status
Progress of the Transaction Advisors on Yellow Line is as follows:
Have submitted the Inception Report of the Assignment
Have conducted major traffic, topographic and other related surveys
Initial cost estimate has been determined
Other technical studies are in progress
Broad Project/Transaction structure has been determined
Work on the Financial Model has been initiated
Preliminary meeting for Legal Review has been conducted
Preliminary meeting for Regulatory Authority / Company has been completed
RFQ, EOI and Project Brief Submitted and approved by TFEC

15. BRT “Red” Line
(Project Brief)

16. BRT Red Line - Route

17. Salient Features after Initial Study
Average speed of system 25 km/hr
Corridor length –22.2 km (Dedicated: 22.2 km, Elevated 0 km, Mixed Traffic 0 km)
Estimated BRT
Ridership ,000Pax per day
Bridge widening 0
Estimated project cost PKR bn
Proposed stations 20
Overhead pedestrian bridges 20
Proposed flyovers 0

18. Project Status
Technical Feasibility Study of the Project completed by JICA
EOI, RFQ and Project Brief completed and can be finalized in weeks’ time.
Bidding Documents (RFP & Concession Agreement) to be prepared for BRT Yellow Line shall be used for the Project. Resultantly Cost saving for Government.
Note for Chief Secretary for formation of Technical and Financial Evaluation Committee (a requirement of SPPRA) for Green Line is in process.

19. BRT “Green” Line
(Project Brief)

20. BRT Green Line - Route

21. Salient Features after Initial Study
Average speed of system 25 km/hr
Corridor length 22.1 km (Dedicated: 22.1 km, Elevated 3.2 km, Mixed Traffic-0 km)
Estimated BRT
Ridership ,000 Pax per day
Bridge widening 0
Estimated project cost PKR bn
Proposed stations 28(24 at grade,4 elevated)
Overhead pedestrian bridges 24
Proposed flyovers 2

22. Project Status
Technical Feasibility Study of the Project completed by JICA
EOI, RFQ and Project Brief completed and can be finalized in weeks’ time.
Bidding Documents (RFP & Concession Agreement) to be prepared for BRT Yellow Line shall be used for the Project. Resultantly Cost saving for Government.
Note for Chief Secretary for formation of Technical and Financial Evaluation Committee (a requirement of SPPRA) for Green Line is in process.

23. Project Structure

24. Project Structure for Yellow Line
Share pledge
Shareholders
agreement
Sponsors
Procuring Authority/ Public Sector SPV
Insurance company
End users
Party A:
Infrastructure & maintenance
Party B: Operator
Party C:
Fare collector
Direct agreement/support guarantees
Insurance
Fare
Disbursement of funds
Lenders
Income from fare collection
Private Parties
Services
Debt repayment
ROI guaranteed/ support

25. Infrastructure & maintenance
Responsibilities
Major responsibilities of private parties
Party A:
Infrastructure & maintenance
Party B: Operator
Party C:
Fare collector
Infrastructure design,
Construction of bus way and bus depots)
Maintenance of infrastructure
Procurement of busses
Operation of the same
Maintenance of bus fleet
Collection of fare and non-fare revenue
ITS systems and related infrastructure
Incentive structure
Incentive structure
Incentive structure
Compensation in form of annuity payments over predetermined period of time
Payment on per km basis with various elements of inflation and pass through items built into formula
Fixed payment by Party to Authority with incentive to pocket upside
Or % payment surcharge

26. Implementation Structure
Proposed Project Structure
Implementation Structure

27. Proposed “Sindh BRT Company” Basic obligations shall include:
Implementation Structure
Proposed “Sindh BRT Company”
Basic obligations shall include:
Policy / Regulation Formation, Administration and Management
Planning and Design
Contracting and Concessions, Project Award and Implementation
Engineering and Construction
Liaising with Government Authorities
Operational Management and Enforcement and Rights to Penalize
Marketing and Customer Care

28. Dedicated Company required because :
Implementation Structure
Dedicated Company required because :
Specialized professional/technical expertise required for the Project
Implementation of Project requires authority/powers from various agencies, who shall surrender powers for BRT Corridor in favor of BRTC
Regulation Monitoring a specialized task considering best practice and sophisticated technology
In accordance with Global Practice (Transmilano SA, Transport for London etc), Same model followed by Punjab whereby an authority has been formed by act of parliament
Representation of all Stakeholders

29. To be incorporated under Companies Ordinance 1984
Salient Features
To be incorporated under Companies Ordinance 1984
Proposed board representation after initial assessment, as follows:
Secretary Transport and Mass Transit Chairman
Director General, Mass Transit
Special Secretary Finance (B & E)
Administrator (Co-opt Member) of City where the Project is being implemented
DIG Traffic
P & D Chief Transport
Pakistan Engineering Council Representative
ICAP Representative
Acedmia Representative

30. Decisions Solicited
Formal approval by Honorable Chief Minister, Sindh for formation of “Sindh BRT Company”.
After detailed legal review, a formal Summary to be moved by Transport Department, GoS with the necessary particulars for approval of Honorable Chief Minister.
Approval of PPP Policy Board is required for launch of Yellow Line under PPP Mode. RFQ, EoI and Project Brief have been completed and can be finalized in a week’s time.
Launch of Red and Green Line shall be made after launch/progress of Yellow Line considering the considering the investment climte.

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