1. EQUITABLE

2. Description Electricity GWhKWh per person% of total Sindh-Karachi10,0521,02013.5 Sindh-Rural5,2412557 Punjab46,69662762.8 Khyber Pakhtunkhwa8,25939511.1 Balochistan4,0996245.3 Pakistan74,347562100 Province-Wise Per Capita Electricity Consumption FY 2009-10

3. S.No Name of DiscoPeak Demand (MW) Total Demand (MW) Percentage Share 1.LESCO4268 11857 (Punjab) 64.1% 2.GEPCO1974 3.FESCO2690 4.IESCO2201 5.MEPCO3145 6.HESCO1116 2049 (Sindh) 11.1% 7.SEPCO933 8.QESCO1538 Baluchistan 8.3% 9.PESCO* *Excl. FATA 2490 2490 (Khyber Pakhtunkhwa) 13.47% 10.TESCO 554 3.03% TOTAL 18488 KESC2196 DISCO wise Peak-Demand/Load Drawl

5. CRISIS IN KHYBER PAKHTUNKHWA IS BLOWING OUT OF PROPORTIONS

6. Quantum of Protests MonthNo of protests Remarks June 2012 97Approximate 3 protests per day in various districts July 2012158Average 5 per day 1-7 August 2012 33Average 5 per day in Ramzan The situation is being handled by the administration with great difficulty. DURATION OF LOAD SHEDDING IN KHYBER PAKHTHWA UrbanRural 12 – 14 hours16 - 20 hours 6

7. “(We will) ensure equitable load shedding in Country” Recommendation No. 1– National Energy Summit, 9 th April 2012 EQUITABLE (ekwɪtəbl) 1 : having or exhibiting equity : dealing fairly and equally with all concerned.equity Merriam Webster 2: fair and reasonable; treating everyone in a fairly equal way. Synonym: fair - an equitable distribution of resources. Oxford Advance learner Guiding Principle “Equitable” does not just mean “EQUAL” Other factors need to be weighed

8. Each Province may be supplied electricity out of the available generation as per its percentile proportion established above. OR Each Province may be required to shed load from its Maximum Demand at the percentile proportion out of the shortfall Equitable Load shedding

9. Facts on ground !!!  Optics of deprivation worsening, fanning parochial sentiments. Province i s producing 3582 MW of cheapest energy while Peak demand of the province is about 2490 MW, As such surplus of 1092 MW  Most frugal in use of electricity (Least per capita amongst Provinces).  Low ratio of investment in augmentation of system (PESCO receiving least priority in PEPCO investment plan).  While dealing PESCO, a clear bias in opening grid by NPCC, with no consultation of Province or provincial administration.

10. Punjab Sindh (Excl. KESC) KPK (Incl. FATA) Balochistan TOTAL LESCOFESCOGEPCOMEPCOIESCOHESCOSEPCOPESCOQESCO FY(Units Received in GWh) 2010-11169879686713412470850346544197111195086 79836 2011-121754710005754712879877147754299115265288 82637 21%12%9%16%11%6%5%14%6% 100% 69% 11%14%6% 100% FACTS IN FIGURES Province-wise Units Billed (Actual vs. Capacity) PunjabSindhKPKBalochistan TOTAL LESCOFESCOGEPCOMEPCOIESCOHESCOSEPCOPESCOQESCO FY(Investment made in Million PKR) 2010-116,4263,8723,2125,8406,1372,246 3,9153,558 37,452 2011-127,0864,0302,9006,9326,2002,6652,3893,9173,610 39,729 17%10%9%16% 6% 10% 100% 18%10%7%17%16%7%6%10%9% 100% 68% 13%10%9% Province-wise Investment made on augmentation of system

11. Province wise Domestic – Rural Consumers Punjab Khyber Pakhtunkhwa SindhBalochistan Feeders Load (MW)Feeders Load (MW)Feeders Load (MW)Feeders Load (MW) Total2445598555722775461280159521 Rural11712527418181338882233104 48%42% 75%80% 71%64%21%20% In case of any arrangement with higher load shedding on RURAL feeders, KPK is worst hit

12. PESCO SYSTEM PROFILE S#DescriptionTotal #Overloaded % Overloading 01Power Transformers installed at grids / substations 19212566.1% 02Transmission Lines feeding Grids / SSs 1072120% 0311 KV Distribution Feeders 70431244.3% RESULTS IN AT LEAST 300 MW LOADSHEDDING UNDER OPTIMUM CONDITIONS (NO DEFICIT SCENARIO)

13. Date Quota Allocated (MW) Average Avg.Load SheddingForced Shedding under Total (MW) % Load Shed Computed Demand (MW) Power Inflow Carried out against the instructions of NPCC/RCC (MW)Quota (MW)Islamabad (MW) 1/7/2012115323461278800268 1036 44% 2/7/2012115325021098683715 1398 56% 3/7/2012115324141220696498 1194 49% 4/7/2012115324761332970174 1144 46% 5/7/2012115324451370969106 1075 44% 6/7/201293724351367926301 1227 50% 7/7/20128782279137879641 837 37% 8/7/20127352131135276235 797 37% 9/7/20129112372142392735 962 41% 10/7/2012101224161253971242 1213 50% 11/7/20129702470138694386 1029 42% 12/7/2012963233113339970 43% 13/7/2012607213213427939 802 38% 14/7/2012677211614077050 33% 15/7/2012384199914514770 24% 16/7/20128162251145478230 812 36% 17/7/2012101523731383979114 1093 46% 18/7/2012833226714077790 34% 19/7/2012352212014255080 24% 20/7/20123652060143447747 524 25% 21/7/201232420221425199203 402 20% 22/7/201223422111476195355 550 25% 23/7/201223423881442325563 888 37% 24/7/201223423051273448584 1032 45% 25/7/201223422481391500357 857 38% 26/7/201223421741377581215 796 37% 27/7/201223424051335571500 1071 45% 28/7/201223425391201511783 1294 51% 29/7/201223425001243536716 1252 50% 30/7/201223426091345408856 1264 48% 31/7/201223424931279452759 1211 49% Average for the Month 2317135166727794341% LOAD BEING SHED PRESENTLY (PESCO QUOTA + NPCC)

14. DAY Wednesday, August 01, 2012 TENTATIVE GENERATION AND LOAD SUPPLIED TO DISCOS HOURS 02:0003:0004:0005:0006:0007:0008:0009:0010.0011.0012.0013.0014.0015.0016.0017.0018.0019.0020.0021.0022.0023.0024.00 DESCRIPTIONLOAD (MW) A - GENERATION.1180013000129001190011600 12200 123001240012500 12000 13200 131001210011700 B - EXPORT TO KESC.600650 600 700600 700 600 650600 650600650 600 C - T & T LOSS. & AUXILIAR CONSUMPTION. (6% OF A) 708780774714696 732 738744750 720 792 786726702 D - LOAD SUPPLIED TO DISCOS (=A-B-C) 1049211570114761058610304 1076810868109621105611050 11150 1110010680 117581180811758116641077410398 PESCO ( 16% of D )16791851183616941649 17231739175417691768 1784 17761709 188118891881186617241664 Actual Drawn by PESCO 13391268130014711518157715581523159013941363133614611283148614901649154514421405131214941447 Difference-340-583-536-222-131-71-165-215-164-375-405-432-323-501-290-219-60-336-447-476-554-229-216 Actual Load Made Available 13 % 11 % 14 % 15 % 14 % 15 % 13 % 12 % 13 % 12 % 13 % 14 % 15 % 13 % 12 % 11 % 14 % A CLEAR ILLUSTRATION OF “INEQUITY” – ANY GIVEN DAY

15. PESCO Tuesday, July 31, 2012(0100 TO 1100 HRS)Monday, July 30, 2012(1200 TO 2400 HRS) TENTATIVE GENERATION AND LOAD SUPPLIED TO DISCOS HOURS 01:0002:0003:0004:0005:0006:0007:0008:0009:0010.0011.0012.0013.0014.0015.0016.0017.0018.0019.0020.0021.0022.0023.0024.00 DESCRIPTIONLOAD (MW) A - GENERATION. 117001190013000127001190011700 12200 1230012400 11600 13000 1180011700 B - EXPORT TO KESC. 600650600650 700600 700600650600700650600 C - T & T LOSS. & AUXILIAR CONSUMPTION. (6% OF A) 702714780762714702 732 738744 696 780 708702 D - LOAD SUPPLIED TO DISCOS (=A-B-C) 103981053611620112881053610348 1029810868 1096211056 1030410204116201157011620115201044210398 PESCO ( 16% of D )166416861859180616861656 16481739 17541769 16491633185918511859184316711664 Actual Power Drawn by PESCO on 31st July, 2012 146714251443112313571647 16251221145010121369138511511364130913201451176215131490140614881657 Difference-196-261-416-683-329-9 -23-517-289-742-400-384-618-405-460-329-181-97-338-369-437-183-7 Actual Provision 14 % 12 % 10 % 13 % 16 % 11 % 13 % 9% 12 % 13 % 10 % 12 % 13 % 14 % 15 % 13 % 12 % 14 % 16 %

16. In-equitibility  16% Quota on 2006 Baseline (KPK 13.47 + TESCO 3.03 + AJK 45 MW) – Baseline Debatable: No justification, not giving weight to cheaper generation, frugality of use, system legacies.  Urban – Rural Differentiation --- Adding insult to injury  IESCO’s industrial load, shifted to Hattar due to relocation of Industry (50+ MW) --- (No upward Revision of 2006 Quota)  Forced Load Shedding, yet accounted as “Drawals”  Technological inadequacies, controverting “equitable” implementation.

17. Process Management  Manual and Crude (Not automated, phone calls – Hotline carriers, verbal commands/reporting)  Arbitrary/Whimsical (No or conflicting written directions – Lack of SOPs for forced opening of grids)  Technological inadequacies, controverting “equitable” implementation.  Responsibilities diffused, conduct and operations not predictable.  Distant Control – Indifference to Human Element Real people, real miseries Playing into the whims and biases of operators/button-pushers

18. Conclusion  “Equitable Load Shedding” as designed and perceivably implemented presently, is elusive, conceptually and in reality.  The enforcement regime is perpetuating unjust dispensation of power distribution in Khyer Pakhtunkhwa.  Centralized load-shedding control system, on one side disempowers the DISCO, while on the other, detracts from forthright responsibility and its accompanying appropriate conduct.  The centralized power system has failed to deliver, necessitating decentralization of both Generation and Distribution to the Provinces