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CALPINE March 2, 2004 HARVARD ELECTRICITY POLICY GROUP Natural Gas and Electricity Ron Walter Executive Vice President.

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Presentation on theme: "CALPINE March 2, 2004 HARVARD ELECTRICITY POLICY GROUP Natural Gas and Electricity Ron Walter Executive Vice President."— Presentation transcript:

1 CALPINE March 2, 2004 HARVARD ELECTRICITY POLICY GROUP Natural Gas and Electricity Ron Walter Executive Vice President

2 CALPINE R0204151March 2, 2004 CALPINE CORPORATION — THE FIRST 20 YEARS Largest Independent Power Company in North America Most Modern, Efficient Fleet of Power Generation Assets  87 Plants, 22,130 mw in Operation Today  Growing to Over 30,000 mw in 2006 Proved Gas Reserves – 1 tcf Assets Managed by Calpine Energy Services  3.4% of U.S. Electrical Consumption  3% of U.S. Natural Gas Supply

3 CALPINE R0204152March 2, 2004 CALPINE’S GROWING PORTFOLIO Net Megawatts Assumes No New Projects

4 CALPINE R0204153March 2, 2004 CALPINE’S POWER PORTFOLIO In Operation 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 39 1 1 1 1 10 2 2 1 1 2 1 3 1 3 1 3 4 2 1 1 3 1 87 Under Construction 13 2 1 1 12 - New Projects 1 - Expansion Projects

5 CALPINE R0204154March 2, 2004 MOST EFFICIENT NORTH AMERICAN POWER GENERATION FLEET Combined-Cycle Megawatts By Company Operation Construction 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 FPL (1) FPL (2) Southern (2) Xcel (2) Southern (1) Progress (1) Exelon (2) Calpine Duke (2) Megawatts (1) Regulated (2) Non-Regulated Source: Company Data

6 CALPINE R0204155March 2, 2004 Natural Gas Will Remain the Fuel of Choice for Power Generation

7 CALPINE R0204156March 2, 2004 THE PRICE OF NATURAL GAS WILL BE REASONABLE Responds Well to Market Forces Spot Prices vs. Long-Term Prices Expected Range of Prices  < $2.50/mmbtu – No New Investment  > $5.00/mmbtu – New Supply Calpine Strategy to Manage Price Risk

8 CALPINE R0204157March 2, 2004 THE SUPPLY OF NATURAL GAS WILL REMAIN SUFFICIENT Proven Reserves Don’t Tell the Whole Story 2003 Report of Potential Gas Committee  1,311 Trillion Cubic Feet  65X Annual Production Rate  3.3% Increase in Supply From 2000 New Supply  Eastern Canada  Deep Gulf  MacKenzie Delta  Alaska  LNG LNG  Large World Resource Base  U.S. Deliverability  1 bcf 2003  4 bcf 2004  9 bcf 2007

9 CALPINE R0204158March 2, 2004 NATURAL GAS CONSUMPTION FOR POWER GENERATION GROWING MODESTLY New Natural Gas-Fired Plants are 40% More Efficient During the Height of the New Power Plant Additions January 2002 – January 2003  Megawatt-Hours Increased by 8%  Gas Consumption Increased by 2% Less Efficient Plants are Being Displaced / Retired

10 CALPINE R0204159March 2, 2004 ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFITS OF NATURAL GAS Lower Air Emissions  98.7% Less NOx Than Coal  99.9% Less SO 2  65% Less CO 2  100% Less Mercury Lower Land Use 40% – 60% Lower Water Consumption Reduces Global Warming

11 CALPINE R02041510March 2, 2004 MARKET FORCES ARE BEST DRIVER FOR CHOICES ON FUEL USE Government Intervention Has Not Been Successful  Nuclear Energy  Fuel Use Act  Clean Coal  Renewable Standards Economics and Environmental Considerations Should Shape Fuel Use Supply and Price of Natural Gas Will Best be Moderated by Market Forces


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